20043 Hillsborough St · Athens, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.4/15.0
- Cash flow +10.1/30.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$257,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Under Construction- * * * COMING SOON * * - The EVERETT V - Situated on a Large 0.51 Acre Lot this exceptional one-level home features a beautiful Wide Foyer that transitions seamlessly into the open-concept Living/Kitchen/Dining Areas. The stylish kitchen features a Large Island with Seating, quartz counters, stainless-steel appliances, and a corner pantry. The spacious family room provides and ample amount of space, perfect for gatherings. The isolated primary suite serves as a private retreat with a luxurious bathroom, complete with Private Toilet, Separate Shower and Soaker Tub, Double Vanity, and a generous Walk-In Closet.
Key facts
- Large 0.51 acre lot
- Corner pantry
- Wide foyer
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $258k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-153 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $236k (8.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (19.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $209k (19.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.5% in Athens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#18 in AL, #4,019 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
- Limestone County (rural): math 21% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #52 of 129 in AL (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Piney Chapel Elementary School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #213 of 627 statewide, top 37%, 203 students, 75% FRL); Elkmont High School (math 9% / reading 34%, grade F, #156 of 305 statewide, top 52%, 643 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 40% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 1202 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 494 units permitted in Limestone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Limestone County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $37k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.55%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $296,730
- List price
- $257,900
- Delta
- -14.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20137 Hillsborough St | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 | 1,964 (-8%) | 1mo | $274,900 | $140 | 77 |
| 20097 Yarbrough Rd | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,008 (-6%) | 2mo | $320,000 | $159 | 75 |
| 20101 Hillsborough St | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 | 1,964 (-8%) | 5mo | $269,900 | $137 | 75 |
| 22601 Quarry Rd | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,837 (-14%) | 7mo | $309,000 | $168 | 58 |
| 20571 Elkton Rd | 0.95mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,240 (+5%) | 6mo | $265,000 | $118 | 45 |
| 21746 Pinebrook Dr | 1.12mi | 4/3.0 | 2,311 (+8%) | 8mo | $375,000 | $162 | 44 |
| 20767 Yarbrough Rd | 0.77mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,890 (-12%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $164 | 36 |
| 21764 Pinebrook Dr | 1.12mi | 4/3.5 | 2,363 (+11%) | 11mo | $386,500 | $164 | 36 |
| 21911 Pinebrook Dr | 1.04mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,755 (-18%) | 14mo | $270,000 | $154 | 20 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-51,509
- Equity at exit
- $38,454
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-57,243
- Equity at exit
- $22,298
Cash invested: $72,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 5 active · 7 under contract
- Months of supply
- 5.0 mo (20%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $252,900 ($126/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 289 d
- This list price
- 60% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +9.9% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 35613
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Active inventory
- 1202
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,089 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,352
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$322 /mo · $3,868/yr
- Insurance
- −$107
- HOA
- −$21
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$439
- Net cashflow
- $-153
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $25 | -5% $-64 | +0% $-153 | +5% $-242 | +10% $-332 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-318 | -5% $-236 | +0% $-153 | +5% $-71 | +10% $12 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-23 | -0.5pp $-88 | base $-153 | +0.5pp $-220 | +1.0pp $-288 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,475
- Closing costs
- $7,737
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Living area approximately 2,136 square feet
- HOA & community
- HOA with annual fee of $200Subdivision: Chapel Hill
Exterior
- Parking
- Two-car garage
- Utilities
- Public waterSeptic sewer
- Home design
- Single-family residenceOne level
- Construction
- Vinyl sidingSlab foundationBuilt in 2026 (new construction)
- Exterior features
- Common grounds (HOA)
Interior
- Kitchen
- RangeDishwasherMicrowaveGarbage disposalElectric water heater
- Bathrooms
- Three full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral cooling
- Interior features
- 10 total roomsNew construction
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $257,900 Active 127 DOM
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2026-09-22pricedays on market $257,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $254,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $254,900 Active 124 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $254,900 Active 123 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $254,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $254,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $254,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $254,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $254,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $254,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $254,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $254,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $254,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $254,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-09-03pricedays on market $254,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $294,900 Active 104 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $294,900 Active 103 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $294,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $294,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $294,900 Active 100 DOM
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2026-08-26days on market $294,900 Active 99 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $294,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $294,900 Active 97 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $294,900 Active 96 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $294,900 Active 95 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $294,900 Active 94 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $294,900 Active 93 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $294,900 Active 92 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $294,900 Active 91 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $294,900 Active 90 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $294,900 Active 89 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $294,900 Active 88 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $294,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $294,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $294,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $294,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $294,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $294,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $294,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $294,900 Active 80 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $294,900 Active 79 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $294,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $294,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $294,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $294,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $294,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $294,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $294,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $294,900 Active 65 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,063
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,446
- − Property taxes
- −$3,868
- − Insurance
- −$1,290
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,005
- − Management
- −$2,005
- − HOA
- −$252
- − Depreciation
- −$7,503
- Taxable loss
- −$6,306
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,513
- After-tax cash flow
- $-326/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
This home is under construction and will be move-in ready by November/December 2026. It features a beautiful wide foyer and open-concept living areas, making it an excellent investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Kitchen appliances — Appliances enhance both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Bathroom fixtures — Bathroom fixtures improve both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Flooring — Flooring enhances both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Paint — Fresh paint improves both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both HVAC and mechanical systems — Upgraded HVAC and mechanical systems improve both resale and rental value. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Limestone County
- NCES district ID
- 0102100
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,972
- Composite
- 28.09/100
- National rank
- #6829
- State rank
- #52 of 129 in AL
Livability — Athens
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #4019
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Limestone County · 111,441 people
- City population
- 55,492
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,523
- Household income
- $100,845
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1% of renters
Population outlook (Limestone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,441 people
- By 2030
- 121,272 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 140,705 · +26.3%
- By 2050
- 159,069 · +42.7%
- By 2075
- 202,231 · +81.5%
- By 2100
- 230,608 · +106.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Limestone
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.9) · D 27.5% · R 71.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.0pp toward R · 2008: -41.9pp · 2024: -43.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.9 2020: R+42.6 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+41.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.56%
- Current HPI
- 173.0763
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $294,900 Zillow
- 2026-05-19 Listed $294,900 VMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…