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817 Pickford Pt
C+ Composite 62.28
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.8/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$234,900

817 Pickford Pt · Madison, MS 39110
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,468 sqft · SingleFamily · 5 Days on market
Built 1988 Good condition 0.50 ac lot $160/sqft · 14% below area Est $273k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A steal in Madison County! Great location in a quite cul-de-sac in Hunters Pointe, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home features beautiful flooring in the living room, dining room and kitchen, a two year old roof, lots of fresh paint, and the refrigerator, washer and dryer can remain with an acceptable offer. Located in the top-rated Madison School District! Call your REALTOR to see this home before it's too late.

Key facts

  • Laminate flooring
  • Eat-in kitchen
  • Cul-de-sac

Tags

CUL-DE-SACLAMINATE FLOORINGFIREPLACEEAT-IN KITCHENCOVERED BACK PORCHFENCED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.5 acres

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family house; One story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Built (year per public records)
  • Exterior features: Full yard fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Fireplace heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Move-in ready condition

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $235k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $311 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $235k).
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.7% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#4 in MS, #1,556 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
  • Madison County School District (rural): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #3 of 130 in MS (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Madison Avenue Lower Elementary (437 students, 99% FRL); Madison Middle School (math 66% / reading 57%, grade B+, #6 of 179 statewide, top 3%, 1,154 students, 100% FRL); Madison Central High School (math 5% / reading 63%, grade F, #78 of 197 statewide, top 39%, 1,246 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 29% district-wide (70 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 634 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 553 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $234,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.88%
Cash-on-cash
5.68%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$272,939
List price
$234,900
Delta
-13.94%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
559 Spring Hill Dr 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,542 (+5%) 2mo $274,900 $178 84
231 Clark Farms Rd 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,488 (+1%) 11mo $190,000 $128 77
209 Pine Pl 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,553 (+6%) 3mo $270,000 $174 72
707 Spring Hill Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,573 (+7%) 12mo $255,000 $162 68
409 Mockingbird Ln 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,636 (+11%) 9mo $269,900 $165 68
113 N Ridge Dr 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,578 (+8%) 5mo $272,000 $172 68
820 Strawberry Pointe 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,443 (-2%) 15mo $255,000 $177 68
332 South Place Dr 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,448 (-1%) 12mo $246,000 $170 67
800 Strawberry Pointe 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,523 (+4%) 11mo $260,000 $171 66
237 N Ridge Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,541 (+5%) 9mo $250,000 $162 65
418 Wildwood Pointe 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,670 (+14%) 4mo $293,000 $175 60
352 South Pl 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,570 (+7%) 11mo $279,000 $178 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.9%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-19,153
Equity at exit
$35,024
10-year hold
IRR
1.1%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$5,110
Equity at exit
$20,310

Cash invested: $65,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39110

Home prices YoY
-28.3%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
634
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,449 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,232
Tax est. 1.5%
$294 /mo · $3,524/yr
Insurance
$98
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$514
Net cashflow
$311

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,055
Max offer price $234,900
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $474 -5% $393 +0% $311 +5% $230 +10% $149
Rent -10% $118 -5% $215 +0% $311 +5% $408 +10% $505
Rate -1.0pp $430 -0.5pp $371 base $311 +0.5pp $251 +1.0pp $189

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,725
Closing costs
$7,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 350-char remark
  2. 2026-04-30
    listed $234,900 Active 350-char remark
  3. 2025-09-22
    historical $1,945
  4. 2025-08-31
    listed $1,945
  5. 2024-08-16
    historical $1,895
  6. 2024-08-08
    price $1,895
  7. 2024-07-02
    listed $1,925
  8. 2020-05-14
    soldstatus 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    A steal in Madison County! Great location in a quite cul-de-sac in Hunters Pointe, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home features beautiful flooring in the living room, dining room and kitchen, a two year old roof, lots of fresh paint, and the refrigerator, washer and dryer can remain with an acceptable offer. Located in the top-rated Madison School District! Call your REALTOR to see this home before it's too late.

  9. 2020-02-27
    listed $165,000 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    A steal in Madison County! Great location in a quite cul-de-sac in Hunters Pointe, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home features beautiful flooring in the living room, dining room and kitchen, a two year old roof, lots of fresh paint, and the refrigerator, washer and dryer can remain with an acceptable offer. Located in the top-rated Madison School District! Call your REALTOR to see this home before it's too late.

  10. 2020-02-17
    historical
  11. 2019-11-03
    listed $167,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,388
− Mortgage interest
−$13,158
− Property taxes
−$3,524
− Insurance
−$1,174
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,351
− Management
−$2,351
− Depreciation
−$6,833
Taxable loss
−$4
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1
After-tax cash flow
$3,737/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in-ready home in a quiet cul-de-sac offers updated interiors and a well-maintained exterior, making it an attractive option for buyers and renters alike.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
  • Resale landscaping — improves curb appeal
  • Both update countertops — increases both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
  • Resale landscaping — improves curb appeal
  • Both update countertops — increases both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County School District
NCES district ID
2802790
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$70,579
Composite
48.08/100
National rank
#2188
State rank
#3 of 130 in MS

Livability — Madison

Score
81/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#1556

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Madison, MS
County
Madison County · 75,005 people
City population
50,443
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
50,443
Household income
$125,506
Rent vs Own
9.1% rent · 90.9% own
Severe rent burden
227.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,509 people
By 2030
131,737 · +7.5%
By 2040
148,930 · +21.6%
By 2050
164,300 · +34.1%
By 2075
197,495 · +61.2%
By 2100
211,429 · +72.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 15% Asian 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · China, Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+17.3) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-1.7pp toward R · 2008: -15.6pp · 2024: -17.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.3 2020: R+11.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+15.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.99%
Current HPI
154.6909
Rent YoY
▲ 2.61%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+40.7% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2026-05-05 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $234,900 MLSU
  • 2025-09-22 Rental Removed $1,945 RENTLY
  • 2025-08-31 Listed for Rent $1,945 RENTLY
  • 2024-08-16 Rental Removed $1,895 RENTLY
  • 2024-08-08 Price Changed $1,895 RENTLY
  • 2024-07-02 Listed for Rent $1,925 RENTLY
  • 2020-05-14 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2020-02-27 Listed $165,000 MLSU
  • 2020-02-17 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2019-11-03 Listed $167,000 MLSU

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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