None · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 1299 Beach Avenue - a spacious split-level home just steps from the shoreline of Lake Ontario, offering flexible living space, a large fully fenced backyard, and an unbeatable location near the best of both the Greece and Charlotte Beach areas. Owned by the same family since the 1980s, this 4-bedroom, 2 full and 2 half bath home offers over 1,650 square feet of opportunity and character. The main living area features a bright and expansive layout with large windows and plenty of natural light. According to the sellers, hardwood flooring awaits under the current carpeting; see virtually staged photos to envision the possibilities! A secondary den, office, or flex space on the main
Key facts
- Flex space
- Large backyard
- 0.29 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: 3 stories; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Partial finished below-grade area; Block foundation; Resale property; Lot is rectangular with 85x150 dimensions; Road frontage on a main thoroughfare
- Construction: Built previously (existing); Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Enclosed porch; Fully fenced yard; Front porch; Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Varies
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Two half bathrooms; Two main-level bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Gas heating; Baseboard heating; Forced air heating; Hot water heating; See remarks for additional heating details
- Interior features: Accessible full bathroom; Accessible bedroom; Bathroom rough-in; Den; Separate/formal living room; Guest accommodations; Combined living/dining space; Main level primary bedroom; Primary suite
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Generator
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $190k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $529 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Greece Central School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #544 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.93%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $299,938
- List price
- $189,900
- Delta
- -36.69%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207 Edgemere Dr | 0.11mi | 4/1.5 | 1,696 (+2%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $177 | 84 |
| 297 Edgemere Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,740 (+5%) | 1mo | $381,000 | $219 | 77 |
| 1397 Beach Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,556 (-6%) | 11mo | $298,500 | $192 | 63 |
| 1495 Beach Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,494 (-10%) | 10mo | $200,000 | $134 | 51 |
| 42 Rigney Ln | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,512 (-9%) | 11mo | $235,000 | $155 | 51 |
| 760 Beach Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,450 (-12%) | 8mo | $550,000 | $379 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $8,616
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.42×
- Total profit
- $75,497
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14612
- Home prices YoY
- -33.0%
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,330 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$237 /mo · $2,848/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$489
- Net cashflow
- $529
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1495 Beach Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1494 | $2,800 | $1.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 130 N Park Dr Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $2,000 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-13$189,900 Active 2057-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,963
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$2,848
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,237
- − Management
- −$2,237
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable income
- $3,530
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$847
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,496/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This split-level home in a desirable location needs moderate updates to its exterior and interior, with a focus on painting and flooring. The property has good potential for increased value with these improvements.
Repairs flagged
- Minor exterior siding — Some discoloration
- Minor landscaping — Some overgrown areas
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls/paint — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value
- Both update flooring — Replacing carpet with hardwood or tile can increase both resale and rental value
- Both update bathrooms — Modernizing bathrooms can significantly boost both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Some discoloration | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| landscaping · Some overgrown areas | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls/paint — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value ↑
- Both update flooring — Replacing carpet with hardwood or tile can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both update bathrooms — Modernizing bathrooms can significantly boost both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greece Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3612630
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,718
- Composite
- 32.26/100
- National rank
- #5761
- State rank
- #544 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,152
- Household income
- $82,800
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1063.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.89%
- Current HPI
- 254.157
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.37%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $189,900 UNYREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…