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313 N Elm St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 78.59
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

313 N Elm St · Bellefontaine, OH 43311
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,740 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 71 Days on market
Built 1920 4,356 sqft lot $57/sqft · 44% below area Est $178k · 44% under ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor opportunity in the heart of Bellefontaine! This 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers strong potential for the savvy buyer looking to build equity or expand their rental portfolio. Currently tenant-occupied at $700/month, this property provides immediate cash flow while leaving room for value-add improvements. With its spacious layout and great location close to local shopping, dining, parks, and everyday amenities with a ton of upside. Whether you're looking to renovate and rent or create a long-term investment, this fixer-upper is packed with opportunity.

Key facts

  • Immediate cash flow
  • Tenant occupied
  • Great location

Tags

INVESTOR OPPORTUNITYTENANT OCCUPIEDIMMEDIATE CASH FLOWVALUE ADD IMPROVEMENTSGREAT LOCATIONLOCAL SHOPPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $99,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$178,138) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $680 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 3.6% in Bellefontaine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#213 in OH, #3,316 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bellefontaine City (town): math 55% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #348 of 656 in OH (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 152 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 121 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Logan County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $93,906 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.70%
Cap rate
14.46%
Cash-on-cash
29.15%
DSCR
2.30
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$178,138
List price
$99,900
Delta
-43.92%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
208 W Williams Ave 0.18mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,672 (-4%) 4mo $205,900 $123 73
322 Clagg St 0.31mi 4/2.0 1,620 (-7%) 4mo $219,000 $135 67
316 N Madriver St 0.33mi 4/1.5 1,612 (-7%) 8mo $160,000 $99 64
633 N Detroit St 0.35mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,857 (+7%) 3mo $195,000 $105 63
413 E Sandusky Ave 0.58mi 4/2.0 1,673 (-4%) 1mo $80,000 $48 62
432 N Detroit St 0.18mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,560 (-10%) 7mo $177,000 $113 62
308 Plumvalley St 0.49mi 4/2.0 1,630 (-6%) 4mo $166,630 $102 60
201 E Spring Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,767 (+2%) 7mo $115,000 $65 52
221 E Patterson Ave 0.62mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,628 (-6%) 6mo $224,000 $138 46
137 N Stanley St 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,610 (-8%) 5mo $181,000 $112 45
921 N Main St 0.69mi 4/2.0 1,920 (+10%) 9mo $215,000 $112 39
313 Irving Ave 0.60mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,576 (-9%) 8mo $261,000 $166 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.6%
Equity multiple
1.97×
Total profit
$27,103
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
31.5%
Equity multiple
3.84×
Total profit
$79,371
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43311

Active inventory
152
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,700 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$98 /mo · $1,175/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$357
Net cashflow
$680

Break-even live

Break-even rent $840
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
520 N Madriver St Bellefontaine, OH 4.0 1.5 1600 $1,700 $1.06 44d 1 0.36mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 66 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,900 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,900 Active 56 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-04-27
    price $124,900 568-char remark
    Show marketing remark (568 chars)

    Investor opportunity in the heart of Bellefontaine! This 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers strong potential for the savvy buyer looking to build equity or expand their rental portfolio. Currently tenant-occupied at $700/month, this property provides immediate cash flow while leaving room for value-add improvements. With its spacious layout and great location close to local shopping, dining, parks, and everyday amenities with a ton of upside. Whether you're looking to renovate and rent or create a long-term investment, this fixer-upper is packed with opportunity.

  16. 2026-04-08
    listed $139,900 Active 568-char remark
    Show marketing remark (568 chars)

    Investor opportunity in the heart of Bellefontaine! This 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers strong potential for the savvy buyer looking to build equity or expand their rental portfolio. Currently tenant-occupied at $700/month, this property provides immediate cash flow while leaving room for value-add improvements. With its spacious layout and great location close to local shopping, dining, parks, and everyday amenities with a ton of upside. Whether you're looking to renovate and rent or create a long-term investment, this fixer-upper is packed with opportunity.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,175 · $98/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,367 · $114/mo
Expected delta
+$192/yr (+$16/mo · 16.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,400
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,175
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,632
− Management
−$1,632
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$6,959
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,670
After-tax cash flow
$6,485/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bellefontaine City
NCES district ID
3904358
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$43,270
Composite
47.94/100
National rank
#2207
State rank
#348 of 656 in OH

Livability — Bellefontaine

Score
76/100
State rank
#213
US rank
#3316

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bellefontaine, OH
County
Logan · 47,256 people
City population
20,074
Population (ZIP)
20,074
Household income
$64,217
Rent vs Own
31.5% rent · 68.5% own
Severe rent burden
10.1

Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,240 people
By 2030
43,166 · -2.4%
By 2040
40,495 · -8.5%
By 2050
37,511 · -15.2%
By 2075
30,453 · -31.2%
By 2100
23,081 · -47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Logan

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.2) · D 21.5% · R 77.7%
2008→2024 swing
-29.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -56.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.2 2020: R+55.2 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+31.8 2008: R+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -182.18%
Current HPI
243.9954
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $124,900 WRIST
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $139,900 WRIST

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,175 · +34.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…