11750 Elmdale St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.48%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom, 1 bathroom with bonus room in basement that can be a 4th bedroom. The house has new paint throughout, updated kitchen and bathroom with marble floors, refinished hardwood floors and a partially finished basement.
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1938
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No additional financial details provided
- Financial info: No investor or income/expense details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Security: No security details provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water service available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half story; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick construction
- Construction: Block foundation; Brick exterior; Home warranty included
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 150 (0.14 acres)
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Partially finished basement; Basement present
- Laundry & utility: No laundry appliance details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $474 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 190 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,424/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1202% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $89k implies a 109% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.85%
- DSCR
- 2.02
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $65,082
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- 45.82%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12104 Elmdale St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,117 (-2%) | 13mo | $40,000 | $36 | 71 |
| 12578 Camden St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,123 (-1%) | 9mo | $47,000 | $42 | 59 |
| 12798 Corbett St | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,124 (-1%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $67 | 54 |
| 8750 E Outer Dr | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,070 (-6%) | 7mo | $102,000 | $95 | 51 |
| 6130 Beniteau St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,238 (+9%) | 13mo | $47,500 | $38 | 49 |
| 8801 E Outer Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,047 (-8%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $38 | 48 |
| 12518 Corbett St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,248 (+10%) | 11mo | $50,000 | $40 | 46 |
| 11816 Flanders St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+6%) | 12mo | $14,500 | $12 | 44 |
| 11151 Rosemary St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-12%) | 10mo | $29,900 | $30 | 43 |
| 12331 Promenade St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,180 (+4%) | 23mo | $22,000 | $19 | 41 |
| 12780 Evanston St | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,074 (-6%) | 9mo | $17,500 | $16 | 38 |
| 12570 Kilbourne St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,268 (+12%) | 22mo | $68,000 | $54 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $15,840
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $52,880
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48213
- Active inventory
- 190
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,424 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$147 /mo · $1,765/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $474
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12210 Longview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,100 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 12051 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $1,250 | $1.02 | 17d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 12840 Kilbourne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,350 | $1.19 | 18d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,400 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 13400 Longview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 11760 Nashville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 17d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5045 Fairview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1303 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 5966 Eastlawn St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1366 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 11785 Nashville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,450 | $1.07 | 3d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4667 Beniteau St Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1396 | $1,700 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 11700 Engleside St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,175 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 9142 Isham Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,344 | $1.34 | 17d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 9354 Bessemore St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,294 | $1.15 | 17d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 11074 Kennebec St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5342 Cooper St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4487 French Rd Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,800 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 14201 Mayfield St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $89,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $92,300 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $92,300 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $92,300 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $92,300 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (223 chars)
3 bedroom, 1 bathroom with bonus room in basement that can be a 4th bedroom. The house has new paint throughout, updated kitchen and bathroom with marble floors, refinished hardwood floors and a partially finished basement.
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Active 45 DOM
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2026-05-17price $99,900 959-char remark
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2026-05-17price $99,900 969-char remark
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2026-05-13price $104,900 959-char remark
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2026-05-13price $104,900 969-char remark
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2026-05-03price $109,900 959-char remark
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2026-05-03price $109,900 969-char remark
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2026-04-30price $114,900 959-char remark
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2026-04-30price $114,900 969-char remark
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2026-04-23price $119,000 959-char remark
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2026-04-23price $119,000 969-char remark
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2026-04-16$124,000 Active 969-char remark
-
2026-04-16$124,000 Active 959-char remark
-
2026-02-06soldstatus $42,500 Closed
-
2026-02-06soldstatus $42,500 Closed
-
2025-12-05status Pending
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2025-12-05status Pending
-
2025-10-28$49,900 Active
-
2025-10-28$49,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,765 · $147/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,765 · $147/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 48% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,094
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,765
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,368
- − Management
- −$1,368
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $4,574
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,098
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,596/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,075
- Household income
- $34,003
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1202.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 92% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Arabic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.86%
- Current HPI
- 217.2037
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+78.4% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Price Changed $89,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-12 Price Changed $89,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-03 Listed $92,300 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-03 Listed $92,300 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $94,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $94,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $99,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $104,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $104,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-03 Price Changed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-03 Price Changed $109,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $114,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $114,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $119,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $119,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-16 Listed $124,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-16 Listed $124,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-06 Sold (MLS) $42,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-06 Sold (MLS) $42,500 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-05 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-12-05 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-28 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-28 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,765 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…