52078 Forestbrook Ave · Roseland, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,400
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Alert! Check out this great low price how with tons of upside potential. After a rehab this would make a great home to live in, flip it, or rental to add to your portfolio. Main floor has living room, kitchen, 2 bedrooms, laundry, & bathroom. Upstairs offers large additional bedroom or chop it up into a few rooms. Seller has very little info, never lived in home, and has not owned long. Utilities are off- Bring flashlight. Seller will only consider cash, AS-IS offers from buyers ready to close quickly. Buyer/buyer's agent to verify room dimensions, SF, zoning, utilities & schools.
Key facts
- 5,663 sq ft lot
- Built 1937
- Listed 66 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $39k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $922 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $39k).
- Recommended offer: $37k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#312 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety B; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- South Bend Community School Corporation (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #284 of 301 in IN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $272 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $23k; list at $39k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 34.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 100.27%
- DSCR
- 5.46
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $188,043
- List price
- $39,400
- Delta
- -79.05%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52303 Hollyhock Rd | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,312 (+0%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $141 | 84 |
| 19278 Brick Rd | 0.04mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,391 (+6%) | 9mo | $169,500 | $122 | 73 |
| 52236 Myrtle Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,421 (+9%) | 3mo | $198,900 | $140 | 66 |
| 52244 Lily Rd | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,113 (-15%) | 8mo | $198,000 | $178 | 56 |
| 51651 Hollyhock Rd | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-14%) | 3mo | $163,000 | $146 | 54 |
| 51700 Prescott Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (+11%) | 6mo | $429,900 | $296 | 54 |
| 19254 Helen Ave | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,374 (+5%) | 12mo | $220,000 | $160 | 53 |
| 51560 Hollyhock Rd | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,440 (+10%) | 6mo | $197,000 | $137 | 53 |
| 19175 Arthur St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-6%) | 11mo | $195,000 | $158 | 45 |
| 51613 Emmons Rd | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,218 (-7%) | 9mo | $266,900 | $219 | 44 |
| 19511 Eaton Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,497 (+14%) | 10mo | $227,000 | $152 | 42 |
| 19253 Hamilton St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (-12%) | 8mo | $193,000 | $169 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 5.74×
- Total profit
- $52,340
- Equity at exit
- $5,875
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 11.99×
- Total profit
- $121,231
- Equity at exit
- $3,407
Cash invested: $11,032 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46637
- Active inventory
- 112
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,492 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$207
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $406/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$313
- Net cashflow
- $922
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,850
- Closing costs
- $1,182
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52912 Francis St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,050 | $0.84 | 20d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 19025 Oakmont North Dr South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,800 | $1.09 | 20d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 924 Merrill Ct S Unit 924 South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1263 | $1,795 | $1.42 | 13d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 607-char remark
Show marketing remark (607 chars)
Investor Alert! Check out this great low price how with tons of upside potential. After a rehab this would make a great home to live in, flip it, or rental to add to your portfolio. Main floor has living room, kitchen, 2 bedrooms, laundry, & bathroom. Upstairs offers large additional bedroom or chop it up into a few rooms. Seller has very little info, never lived in home, and has not owned long. Utilities are off- Bring flashlight. Seller will only consider cash, AS-IS offers from buyers ready to close quickly. Buyer/buyer's agent to verify room dimensions, SF, zoning, utilities & schools.
-
2026-04-20price $39,400 607-char remark
Show marketing remark (607 chars)
Investor Alert! Check out this great low price how with tons of upside potential. After a rehab this would make a great home to live in, flip it, or rental to add to your portfolio. Main floor has living room, kitchen, 2 bedrooms, laundry, & bathroom. Upstairs offers large additional bedroom or chop it up into a few rooms. Seller has very little info, never lived in home, and has not owned long. Utilities are off- Bring flashlight. Seller will only consider cash, AS-IS offers from buyers ready to close quickly. Buyer/buyer's agent to verify room dimensions, SF, zoning, utilities & schools.
-
2026-04-09price $39,900 607-char remark
Show marketing remark (607 chars)
Investor Alert! Check out this great low price how with tons of upside potential. After a rehab this would make a great home to live in, flip it, or rental to add to your portfolio. Main floor has living room, kitchen, 2 bedrooms, laundry, & bathroom. Upstairs offers large additional bedroom or chop it up into a few rooms. Seller has very little info, never lived in home, and has not owned long. Utilities are off- Bring flashlight. Seller will only consider cash, AS-IS offers from buyers ready to close quickly. Buyer/buyer's agent to verify room dimensions, SF, zoning, utilities & schools.
-
2026-04-02price $44,900 607-char remark
Show marketing remark (607 chars)
Investor Alert! Check out this great low price how with tons of upside potential. After a rehab this would make a great home to live in, flip it, or rental to add to your portfolio. Main floor has living room, kitchen, 2 bedrooms, laundry, & bathroom. Upstairs offers large additional bedroom or chop it up into a few rooms. Seller has very little info, never lived in home, and has not owned long. Utilities are off- Bring flashlight. Seller will only consider cash, AS-IS offers from buyers ready to close quickly. Buyer/buyer's agent to verify room dimensions, SF, zoning, utilities & schools.
-
2026-03-26price $46,900 607-char remark
Show marketing remark (607 chars)
Investor Alert! Check out this great low price how with tons of upside potential. After a rehab this would make a great home to live in, flip it, or rental to add to your portfolio. Main floor has living room, kitchen, 2 bedrooms, laundry, & bathroom. Upstairs offers large additional bedroom or chop it up into a few rooms. Seller has very little info, never lived in home, and has not owned long. Utilities are off- Bring flashlight. Seller will only consider cash, AS-IS offers from buyers ready to close quickly. Buyer/buyer's agent to verify room dimensions, SF, zoning, utilities & schools.
-
2026-03-16price $48,400 607-char remark
Show marketing remark (607 chars)
Investor Alert! Check out this great low price how with tons of upside potential. After a rehab this would make a great home to live in, flip it, or rental to add to your portfolio. Main floor has living room, kitchen, 2 bedrooms, laundry, & bathroom. Upstairs offers large additional bedroom or chop it up into a few rooms. Seller has very little info, never lived in home, and has not owned long. Utilities are off- Bring flashlight. Seller will only consider cash, AS-IS offers from buyers ready to close quickly. Buyer/buyer's agent to verify room dimensions, SF, zoning, utilities & schools.
-
2026-03-06$49,900 Active 607-char remark
Show marketing remark (607 chars)
Investor Alert! Check out this great low price how with tons of upside potential. After a rehab this would make a great home to live in, flip it, or rental to add to your portfolio. Main floor has living room, kitchen, 2 bedrooms, laundry, & bathroom. Upstairs offers large additional bedroom or chop it up into a few rooms. Seller has very little info, never lived in home, and has not owned long. Utilities are off- Bring flashlight. Seller will only consider cash, AS-IS offers from buyers ready to close quickly. Buyer/buyer's agent to verify room dimensions, SF, zoning, utilities & schools.
-
2026-02-21price $49,900
-
2026-02-09price $54,900
-
2026-01-30price $59,900
-
2026-01-21price $64,900
-
2026-01-07$69,900 Active
-
2016-09-08soldstatus $23,000
-
2016-07-30$24,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $406 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $406 · $34/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,905
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,207
- − Property taxes
- −$406
- − Insurance
- −$197
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,432
- − Management
- −$1,432
- − Depreciation
- −$1,146
- Taxable income
- $11,083
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,660
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,402/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Bend Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1810290
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,935
- Composite
- 14.21/100
- National rank
- #9452
- State rank
- #284 of 301 in IN
Livability — Roseland
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #312
- US rank
- #12324
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,079
Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 273,186 people
- By 2030
- 273,594 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 271,641 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 269,187 · -1.5%
- By 2075
- 263,136 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 245,659 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 17% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Italian 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -128.33%
- Current HPI
- 210.1124
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+64.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $39,400 IRMLS
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $39,900 IRMLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $44,900 IRMLS
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $46,900 IRMLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $48,400 IRMLS
- 2026-03-06 Listed $49,900 IRMLS
- 2026-02-21 Price Changed $49,900 IRMLS
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $54,900 IRMLS
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $59,900 IRMLS
- 2026-01-21 Price Changed $64,900 IRMLS
- 2026-01-07 Listed $69,900 IRMLS
- 2016-09-08 Sold (MLS) $23,000 IRMLS
- 2016-07-30 Listed $24,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
-11.8%/yrLatest (2023): $406 · -17.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…