606 6th Ave · Ford City, PA
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.2/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this spacious 3-bedroom half duplex offering comfort, flexibility, and privacy all in one. Enjoy many updates including a newer metal roof and windows. The main floor features a full bath, a separate dining room, and an eat-in kitchen complete with brand-new appliances, making for everyday comfortable living. A versatile flex room on the first floor provides the perfect space for a home office, playroom, or main floor bedroom. Step outside to enjoy the covered concrete patio, ideal for entertaining or relaxing, along with a brick oven that comes with the property — perfect for hosting gatherings and outdoor dining. Enjoy the convenience of in-town living, while benefiting from the added privacy of this unique location at the edge of town, with peaceful woods stretching behind the property.
Key facts
- Brick oven
- New appliances
- Flex room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $500 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#378 in PA, #3,385 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, commute F.
- Armstrong SD (rural): math 38% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #233 of 539 in PA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Armstrong County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $993 of equity ($518 loan paydown + $475 appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
- Armstrong County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.80%
- DSCR
- 2.41
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $81,531
- List price
- $74,900
- Delta
- -8.13%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
0.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $31,988
- Equity at exit
- $24,156
- IRR
- 33.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.89×
- Total profit
- $81,580
- Equity at exit
- $31,035
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16226
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,375 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$106 /mo · $1,276/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $500
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $74,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $74,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $74,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $74,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $74,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $74,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $74,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $74,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $74,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $74,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $74,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $74,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $74,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $74,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-05-15status Active 822-char remark
Show marketing remark (822 chars)
Welcome home to this spacious 3-bedroom half duplex offering comfort, flexibility, and privacy all in one. Enjoy many updates including a newer metal roof and windows. The main floor features a full bath, a separate dining room, and an eat-in kitchen complete with brand-new appliances, making for everyday comfortable living. A versatile flex room on the first floor provides the perfect space for a home office, playroom, or main floor bedroom. Step outside to enjoy the covered concrete patio, ideal for entertaining or relaxing, along with a brick oven that comes with the property — perfect for hosting gatherings and outdoor dining. Enjoy the convenience of in-town living, while benefiting from the added privacy of this unique location at the edge of town, with peaceful woods stretching behind the property.
-
2026-05-02historical Contingent 822-char remark
Show marketing remark (822 chars)
Welcome home to this spacious 3-bedroom half duplex offering comfort, flexibility, and privacy all in one. Enjoy many updates including a newer metal roof and windows. The main floor features a full bath, a separate dining room, and an eat-in kitchen complete with brand-new appliances, making for everyday comfortable living. A versatile flex room on the first floor provides the perfect space for a home office, playroom, or main floor bedroom. Step outside to enjoy the covered concrete patio, ideal for entertaining or relaxing, along with a brick oven that comes with the property — perfect for hosting gatherings and outdoor dining. Enjoy the convenience of in-town living, while benefiting from the added privacy of this unique location at the edge of town, with peaceful woods stretching behind the property.
-
2026-04-10price $74,900 822-char remark
Show marketing remark (822 chars)
Welcome home to this spacious 3-bedroom half duplex offering comfort, flexibility, and privacy all in one. Enjoy many updates including a newer metal roof and windows. The main floor features a full bath, a separate dining room, and an eat-in kitchen complete with brand-new appliances, making for everyday comfortable living. A versatile flex room on the first floor provides the perfect space for a home office, playroom, or main floor bedroom. Step outside to enjoy the covered concrete patio, ideal for entertaining or relaxing, along with a brick oven that comes with the property — perfect for hosting gatherings and outdoor dining. Enjoy the convenience of in-town living, while benefiting from the added privacy of this unique location at the edge of town, with peaceful woods stretching behind the property.
-
2026-02-20$77,500 Active 822-char remark
Show marketing remark (822 chars)
Welcome home to this spacious 3-bedroom half duplex offering comfort, flexibility, and privacy all in one. Enjoy many updates including a newer metal roof and windows. The main floor features a full bath, a separate dining room, and an eat-in kitchen complete with brand-new appliances, making for everyday comfortable living. A versatile flex room on the first floor provides the perfect space for a home office, playroom, or main floor bedroom. Step outside to enjoy the covered concrete patio, ideal for entertaining or relaxing, along with a brick oven that comes with the property — perfect for hosting gatherings and outdoor dining. Enjoy the convenience of in-town living, while benefiting from the added privacy of this unique location at the edge of town, with peaceful woods stretching behind the property.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,276 · $106/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,276 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,496
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$1,276
- − Insurance
- −$1,041
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,320
- − Management
- −$1,320
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $5,165
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,240
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,762/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Armstrong SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202590
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,333
- Composite
- 40.41/100
- National rank
- #3729
- State rank
- #233 of 539 in PA
Livability — Ford City
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #378
- US rank
- #3385
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ford City, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,994
Population outlook (Armstrong County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,513 people
- By 2030
- 59,579 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 52,890 · -15.4%
- By 2050
- 45,904 · -26.6%
- By 2075
- 32,023 · -48.8%
- By 2100
- 20,415 · -67.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Serbian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China
Political lean MEDSL · Armstrong
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.2) · D 23.0% · R 76.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -53.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.2 2020: R+52.3 2016: R+52.0 2012: R+37.2 2008: R+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.63%
- Current HPI
- 252.2714
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
-3.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Relisted — West Penn MLS
- 2026-05-02 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $74,900 West Penn MLS
- 2026-02-20 Listed $77,500 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2026): $1,276 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…