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98 K-T Ln #19
B- Composite 66.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.9/15.0

$90,000

98 K-T Ln #19 · Northfield, VT 05663
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,061 sqft · Manufactured · 32 Days on market
Built 2018 Good condition Est $79k · 15% over $358/mo HOA · 23% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Inviting, Efficient, and Move in Ready in Northfield! Experience peaceful, country-style living just minutes from Norwich University and I-89. Located at the end of 98 K-T Ln, this tree lined lot includes 2 Storage Sheds (4x8 & 10x20), A cute, fenced garden ready for your Vision, A large Covered Porch, and 2 Parking Spots. Inside you'll find a Modern Layout, Primary Suite, 3/4 Bath and Walk-In Closet on one end of the home. Thinking of having a roommate or 2? Two Additional bedrooms and a Full Bath are at the Opposite end! Stackable Washer & Dryer and Coat Nook are conveniently located at the 2nd entrance. Do you have a College Student? Looking to downsize to single level livin

Key facts

  • Fenced garden
  • Large covered porch
  • 2 storage sheds

Tags

TREE LINED LOT2 STORAGE SHEDSFENCED GARDENLARGE COVERED PORCHMODERN LAYOUTWALK IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Sale includes additional buildings
  • HOA & community: Homeowner association fee of $358 monthly; HOA covers plowing and sewer; Association provides snow removal

Exterior

  • Parking: Crushed stone driveway
  • Utilities: Public water on-site; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers (Northfield Electric); LP/Bottle gas available; High-speed internet available; Cable available; Telephone available
  • Home design: Single-wide manufactured/mobile home (Eagle River, Chesapeake CL-80F666); Existing structure; Grey exterior color; Unit/Lot #19
  • Construction: Built in 2018; Wood frame with vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Mobile anchored; Located in Tuckers Mobile Home Park (park-approved)
  • Exterior features: Country setting; Neighborhood location; Near schools; Crushed stone driveway; Flood zone

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Exhaust hood; Microwave; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heat; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; Carpet and laminate flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Domestic water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-256 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $53k (41.2% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (41.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.3% in Northfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#12 in VT, #2,938 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Zoned schools: Northfield Elementary School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #84 of 192 statewide, top 48%, 289 students, 20% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 185 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $355 of equity ($622 loan paydown + $-267 appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
  • Washington County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $496/mo; HOA is 23% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $52,945 (41.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.72%
Cap rate
9.49%
Cash-on-cash
11.41%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$78,514
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
98 K-T Ln 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,064 (+0%) 7mo $78,500 $74 93
45 Top Rd 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,165 (+10%) 19mo $63,000 $54 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.3% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.2%
Equity multiple
0.22×
Total profit
$-19,643
Equity at exit
$24,805
10-year hold
IRR
-9.9%
Equity multiple
-0.01×
Total profit
$-25,464
Equity at exit
$28,777

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Vermont
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause in Burlington (2022); strong habitability.

ZIP-level market 05663

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
26
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,544 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax est. 1.5%
$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
Insurance
$38
Flood insurance flood zone
−$496 /mo · $5,950/yr
HOA
$358
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$324
Net cashflow
$-256

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,868
Max offer price $52,945
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$358 · $4,296/yr

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    remarks 691-char remark
  2. 2026-06-16
    listed $90,000 Pending 32 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,527
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,350
− Insurance
−$6,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,482
− Management
−$1,482
− HOA
−$4,296
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable loss
−$4,143
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$994
After-tax cash flow
$-2,079/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready manufactured home in Northfield offers a modern layout, ample space, and a peaceful country setting. With minor cosmetic upgrades, it can significantly increase its value for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping and garden maintenance — Improves curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
  • Resale Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and appeals to potential buyers.
  • Resale Upgrading bathroom fixtures — Enhances the primary suite and adds value for potential buyers.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping and garden maintenance — Improves curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
  • Resale Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and appeals to potential buyers.
  • Resale Upgrading bathroom fixtures — Enhances the primary suite and adds value for potential buyers.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Northfield

Score
77/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#2938

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Northfield, VT
Population (ZIP)
6,766

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
56,608 people
By 2030
54,731 · -3.3%
By 2040
50,227 · -11.3%
By 2050
45,893 · -18.9%
By 2075
36,818 · -35.0%
By 2100
28,143 · -50.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 7% Slovak 3% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Solid D (+43.4) · D 70.0% · R 26.6% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+2.4pp toward D · 2008: 41.0pp · 2024: 43.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+43.4 2020: D+46.1 2016: D+37.0 2012: D+42.2 2008: D+41.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.30%
Current HPI
336.8287
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Pending PrimeMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $90,000 PrimeMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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