98 K-T Ln #19 · Northfield, VT
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,873 – $10,026
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $480 – $892
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.9/15.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Inviting, Efficient, and Move in Ready in Northfield! Experience peaceful, country-style living just minutes from Norwich University and I-89. Located at the end of 98 K-T Ln, this tree lined lot includes 2 Storage Sheds (4x8 & 10x20), A cute, fenced garden ready for your Vision, A large Covered Porch, and 2 Parking Spots. Inside you'll find a Modern Layout, Primary Suite, 3/4 Bath and Walk-In Closet on one end of the home. Thinking of having a roommate or 2? Two Additional bedrooms and a Full Bath are at the Opposite end! Stackable Washer & Dryer and Coat Nook are conveniently located at the 2nd entrance. Do you have a College Student? Looking to downsize to single level livin
Key facts
- Fenced garden
- Large covered porch
- 2 storage sheds
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Sale includes additional buildings
- HOA & community: Homeowner association fee of $358 monthly; HOA covers plowing and sewer; Association provides snow removal
Exterior
- Parking: Crushed stone driveway
- Utilities: Public water on-site; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers (Northfield Electric); LP/Bottle gas available; High-speed internet available; Cable available; Telephone available
- Home design: Single-wide manufactured/mobile home (Eagle River, Chesapeake CL-80F666); Existing structure; Grey exterior color; Unit/Lot #19
- Construction: Built in 2018; Wood frame with vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Mobile anchored; Located in Tuckers Mobile Home Park (park-approved)
- Exterior features: Country setting; Neighborhood location; Near schools; Crushed stone driveway; Flood zone
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Exhaust hood; Microwave; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Propane heat; Forced air heating
- Interior features: 7 total rooms; Carpet and laminate flooring
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Domestic water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-256 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $53k (41.2% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (41.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.3% in Northfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#12 in VT, #2,938 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Zoned schools: Northfield Elementary School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #84 of 192 statewide, top 48%, 289 students, 20% FRL).
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 185 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $355 of equity ($622 loan paydown + $-267 appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
- Washington County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $496/mo; HOA is 23% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.41%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $78,514
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98 K-T Ln | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,064 (+0%) | 7mo | $78,500 | $74 | 93 |
| 45 Top Rd | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,165 (+10%) | 19mo | $63,000 | $54 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.3% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-19,643
- Equity at exit
- $24,805
- IRR
- -9.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.01×
- Total profit
- $-25,464
- Equity at exit
- $28,777
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Vermont
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 05663
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,544 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$496 /mo · $5,950/yr
- HOA
- −$358
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$324
- Net cashflow
- $-256
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $358 · $4,296/yr
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-16remarks 691-char remark
-
2026-06-16$90,000 Pending 32 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,527
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,350
- − Insurance
- −$6,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,482
- − Management
- −$1,482
- − HOA
- −$4,296
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable loss
- −$4,143
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$994
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,079/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in ready manufactured home in Northfield offers a modern layout, ample space, and a peaceful country setting. With minor cosmetic upgrades, it can significantly increase its value for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping and garden maintenance — Improves curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
- Resale Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and appeals to potential buyers.
- Resale Upgrading bathroom fixtures — Enhances the primary suite and adds value for potential buyers.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping and garden maintenance — Improves curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Resale Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and appeals to potential buyers. ↑
- Resale Upgrading bathroom fixtures — Enhances the primary suite and adds value for potential buyers. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Northfield
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #2938
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Northfield, VT
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,766
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 56,608 people
- By 2030
- 54,731 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 50,227 · -11.3%
- By 2050
- 45,893 · -18.9%
- By 2075
- 36,818 · -35.0%
- By 2100
- 28,143 · -50.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Slovak 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+43.4) · D 70.0% · R 26.6% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.4pp toward D · 2008: 41.0pp · 2024: 43.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+43.4 2020: D+46.1 2016: D+37.0 2012: D+42.2 2008: D+41.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.30%
- Current HPI
- 336.8287
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Pending — PrimeMLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $90,000 PrimeMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…