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110 Birch St
B- Composite 65.26
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$68,900

110 Birch St · Shamokin, PA 17872
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · Land · 53 Days on market
Built 1900 3,049 sqft lot $57/sqft · 31% above area Est $53k · 31% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Bring your ideas to this spacious 2 and 1/2 story home. Large living and dining room with a galley style kitchen which needs completed. Upstairs has a large bathroom and 3 spacious bedrooms plus the possibility of another bedroom in the upper level. This home has newly sheet rocked walls and ceilings along with some newer replacement windows and a rear deck along with an extra side lot for off street parking availability! Home needs some finishing touches! Call Freda for a showing today at 570-259 2428

Key facts

  • Rear deck
  • Extra side lot
  • Galley style kitchen

Tags

GALLEY STYLE KITCHENNEWLY SHEET ROCKED WALLSNEWER REPLACEMENT WINDOWSREAR DECKEXTRA SIDE LOT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Residential zoning

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking potential; See remarks for parking details
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Single family residence (Residential property); 1,200 above-grade finished area; 50 x 60 lot dimensions
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Construction includes asbestos (see remarks); No foundation details listed
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Sidewalks

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedrooms and other living spaces combined)
  • Bathrooms: 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath land listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $257 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($928 rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#887 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, commute F, employment F.
  • Shamokin Area SD (town): math 19% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #450 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($476 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
  • Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,833 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
10.77%
Cash-on-cash
16.00%
DSCR
1.71
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$52,535
List price
$68,900
Delta
31.15%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
2.08×
Total profit
$20,784
Equity at exit
$26,818
10-year hold
IRR
22.3%
Equity multiple
3.91×
Total profit
$56,154
Equity at exit
$38,345

Cash invested: $19,292 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17872

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$928 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$361
Tax est. 1.5%
$86 /mo · $1,034/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$195
Net cashflow
$257

Break-even live

Break-even rent $603
Max offer price $68,900
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,225
Closing costs
$2,067
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11 S Market St Fl Rear Shamokin, PA 3.0 1.0 950 $1,000 $1.05 43d 1 0.20mi
11 S Market St Apt B Rear Shamokin, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $900 $0.82 43d 1 0.20mi
2 S Vine St Shamokin, PA 3.0 1.0 1450 $975 $0.67 43d 1 0.33mi
863 W Spruce St Coal Township, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $695 $0.58 43d 1 0.62mi
804 W Mulberry St Coal Township, PA 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,075 $0.80 43d 1 0.62mi
1309 W Spruce St Coal Township, PA 3.0 1.0 1275 $825 $0.65 43d 1 0.94mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $68,900 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $68,900 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $68,900 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $68,900 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $68,900 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $68,900 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $68,900 Active 46 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $68,900 Active 43 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $68,900 Active 42 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $68,900 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $68,900 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $68,900 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $68,900 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $68,900 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $68,900 Active 33 DOM
  16. 2026-04-27
    listed $68,900 Active 510-char remark
  17. 2022-12-15
    historical
  18. 2022-11-09
    price $15,000
  19. 2022-10-26
    price $19,400
  20. 2022-10-18
    listed $19,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,140
− Mortgage interest
−$3,859
− Property taxes
−$1,034
− Insurance
−$344
− Repairs & maintenance
−$891
− Management
−$891
− Depreciation
−$2,004
Taxable income
$2,116
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$508
After-tax cash flow
$2,579/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shamokin Area SD
NCES district ID
4221240
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$35,380
Composite
24.31/100
National rank
#7709
State rank
#450 of 539 in PA

Livability — Shamokin

Score
68/100
State rank
#887
US rank
#9448

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shamokin, PA
City population
9,808
Population (ZIP)
8,950

Population outlook (Northumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
90,896 people
By 2030
89,084 · -2.0%
By 2040
84,822 · -6.7%
By 2050
80,521 · -11.4%
By 2075
72,152 · -20.6%
By 2100
62,257 · -31.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Iranian 6% Subsaharan African 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Northumberland

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.90%
Current HPI
124.6288
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+246.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $68,900 CSVBR
  • 2022-12-15 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-11-09 Price Changed $15,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-10-26 Price Changed $19,400 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-10-18 Listed $19,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

-11.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $135 · +61.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…