5409 Valleyview Trl · Adamsville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.1/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming split level situated on level lot in convenient area. Brick front, living room, eat-in kitchen. Three bedrooms and a large ceramic tile bath, hardwood floors through-out house. Basement garage with laundry area and lots of storage. Covered deck for entertaining that looks out over level, fenced-in backyard. This home has been painted and new kitchen floor. MOTIVATED SELLER! Hurry, this one won't last!
Key facts
- Brick front
- Basement garage
- Level lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property in the LONGVIEW subdivision; Lot size approximately 0.35 acres
- Financial info: Down payment assistance available
Exterior
- Parking: Basement parking; Driveway parking; One garage space (basement level); total garage spaces: 1; Garage entry on the side
- Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Gas water heater; Internet service available
- Home design: Existing home; Basement foundation
- Construction: Brick over foundation; Wood siding; Basement is partial and unfinished (concrete block)
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Open deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Eating area; Laminate countertops; Dishwasher (built-in), Refrigerator, Electric stove
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo; Linen closet
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Ceilings: Other (see remarks); No additional interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located in the basement/garage area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 6.5% in Adamsville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#522 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Adamsville Elementary School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #568 of 627 statewide, top 94%, 302 students, 83% FRL); Minor High School (math 4% / reading 8%, grade F, #275 of 305 statewide, top 90%, 915 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 49% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 8% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Jefferson County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.94%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $138,552
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- -13.39%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 921 Shadyview Ln | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,237 (0%) | 14mo | $176,000 | $142 | 82 |
| 5709 Valleyview Trl | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 | 1,265 (+2%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $142 | 75 |
| 5616 Cruce Rd | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,188 (-4%) | 4mo | $63,500 | $53 | 70 |
| 5601 Crestview Dr | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 | 1,402 (+13%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $64 | 65 |
| 909 Longview Cir | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,066 (-14%) | 4mo | $148,500 | $139 | 62 |
| 5401 Valleyview Trl | 0.04mi | 3/1.5 | 1,056 (-15%) | 24mo | $172,100 | $163 | 52 |
| 601 Kimberly Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,364 (+10%) | 14mo | $161,000 | $118 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-7,088
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $9,704
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35005
- Home prices YoY
- -3.9%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,231 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,187/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $194
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $262 | -5% $228 | +0% $194 | +5% $160 | +10% $126 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $97 | -5% $146 | +0% $194 | +5% $243 | +10% $291 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $255 | -0.5pp $225 | base $194 | +0.5pp $163 | +1.0pp $131 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 933 Crestview Ln Adamsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,285 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 5616 Cruce Rd Adamsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1188 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 2d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 5308 Adams Ave Adamsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 816 | $1,195 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 216 Mountain St Adamsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1027 | $999 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 958 S Main St Graysville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1330 | $1,285 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1411 Bucks Dr Adamsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1392 | $1,331 | $0.96 | 11d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-17status $120,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Contingent 53 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Contingent 52 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Contingent 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $120,000 Contingent 49 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-25$120,000 Active 698-char remark
-
2019-02-08soldstatus $206,500
-
2018-09-17soldstatus $61,000
-
2018-09-14soldstatus $61,000 Sold 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Charming split level situated on level lot in convenient area. Brick front, living room, eat-in kitchen. Three bedrooms and a large ceramic tile bath, hardwood floors through-out house. Basement garage with laundry area and lots of storage. Covered deck for entertaining that looks out over level, fenced-in backyard. This home has been painted and new kitchen floor. MOTIVATED SELLER! Hurry, this one won't last!
-
2018-08-20historical Contingent 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Charming split level situated on level lot in convenient area. Brick front, living room, eat-in kitchen. Three bedrooms and a large ceramic tile bath, hardwood floors through-out house. Basement garage with laundry area and lots of storage. Covered deck for entertaining that looks out over level, fenced-in backyard. This home has been painted and new kitchen floor. MOTIVATED SELLER! Hurry, this one won't last!
-
2018-07-10$69,900 Active 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Charming split level situated on level lot in convenient area. Brick front, living room, eat-in kitchen. Three bedrooms and a large ceramic tile bath, hardwood floors through-out house. Basement garage with laundry area and lots of storage. Covered deck for entertaining that looks out over level, fenced-in backyard. This home has been painted and new kitchen floor. MOTIVATED SELLER! Hurry, this one won't last!
-
2008-06-06soldstatus $60,700
-
2000-01-25soldstatus $67,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,187 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,187 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,771
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,187
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,182
- − Management
- −$1,182
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $408
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$98
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,233/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Adamsville
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #522
- US rank
- #25480
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Adamsville, AL
- City population
- 10,982
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,143
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% White 38% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.72%
- Current HPI
- 237.5788
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+79.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-06-10 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-25 Listed $120,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2019-02-08 Sold (Public Records) $206,500 Public Records
- 2018-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
- 2018-09-14 Sold (MLS) $61,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-08-20 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-07-10 Listed $69,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2008-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $60,700 Public Records
- 2000-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,187 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…