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🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 71.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,000

959 S Grand Ave · Evansville, IN 47713
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,426 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 566 Days on market
Built 1919 1,739 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Bungalow with recent updates include a newer roof, flooring, and fresh paint. Living room and dining room with stunning box beam ceilings. The den off the dining room could easily be converted into a 3rd bedroom, and the 2nd floor has the potential to add a 4th bedroom. Full unfinished basement. Previously rented for $600/month in rental income. Tenant was responsible for all utilities. Can be purchased as part of a package that includes 2 homes (959 S Grand Avenue and 1850 Lodge Avenue) for a TOTAL purchase price of $160,000. Sold as is.

Key facts

  • 1,739 sq ft lot
  • Built 1919
  • Listed 565 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking or garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family, site-built home; One story
  • Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Level lot; Sidewalks in the community

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms included in total room count (5 rooms total)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring; One fireplace (no special features); Full unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $59,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$184,376) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $428 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Dexter Elementary School (math 17% / reading 12%, grade F, #862 of 994 statewide, top 88%, 328 students, 83% FRL); Washington Middle School (math 14% / reading 24%, grade F, #274 of 330 statewide, top 83%, 353 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 50% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 17% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-23 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.9%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 566 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $51,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 566 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.80%
Cap rate
15.00%
Cash-on-cash
31.11%
DSCR
2.38
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$184,376
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
665 S Kentucky Ave 0.36mi 3/1.5 (+1) 2,456 (+1%) 6mo $190,000 $77 69
805 E Chandler Ave 0.22mi 3/2.0 (+1) 2,273 (-6%) 7mo $289,900 $128 65
1111 S Evans Ave 0.23mi 3/2.5 (+1) 2,340 (-4%) 15mo $144,900 $62 60
1101 Taylor Ave 0.47mi 3/2.0 (+1) 2,439 (+0%) 14mo $200,000 $82 56
1028 Ravenswood Dr 0.48mi 2/1.0 2,688 (+11%) 9mo $122,500 $46 52
864 Lincoln Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 (+1) 2,548 (+5%) 15mo $55,000 $22 51
1019 Ravenswood Dr 0.51mi 3/1.5 (+1) 2,244 (-8%) 7mo $217,500 $97 51
1113 Ravenswood Dr 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 2,666 (+10%) 7mo $196,500 $74 47
728 College Hwy 0.54mi 3/2.5 (+1) 2,614 (+8%) 13mo $405,000 $155 40
1124 Covert Ave 0.58mi 3/3.0 (+1) 2,640 (+9%) 11mo $151,000 $57 36
705 E Riverside Dr 0.74mi 2/1.0 2,160 (-11%) 14mo $32,000 $15 36
820 S Governor St 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 2,170 (-11%) 16mo $165,000 $76 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.5%
Equity multiple
2.41×
Total profit
$23,340
Equity at exit
$8,797
10-year hold
IRR
41.3%
Equity multiple
5.91×
Total profit
$81,036
Equity at exit
$5,101

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47713

Home prices YoY
-34.1%
Rents YoY
9.9%
Active inventory
118
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,061 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $911/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$223
Net cashflow
$428

Break-even live

Break-even rent $519
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,000 Active 566 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,000 Active 565 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,000 Active 564 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,000 Active 563 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,000 Active 561 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,000 Active 560 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,000 Active 558 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,000 Active 557 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,000 Active 556 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,000 Active 555 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,000 Active 550 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,000 Active 549 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,000 Active 548 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    pricedays on market $59,000 Active 547 DOM
  15. 2026-05-07
    status Active
  16. 2026-05-07
    historical
  17. 2025-12-01
    status Active
  18. 2025-11-24
    price $60,000
  19. 2024-11-29
    listed $80,000 Active
  20. 2019-11-15
    soldstatus $440,000
  21. 2014-01-29
    listed $21,250

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$911 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$911 · $76/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,731
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$911
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,018
− Management
−$1,018
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$4,467
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,072
After-tax cash flow
$4,067/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803450
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,270
Composite
33.41/100
National rank
#5471
State rank
#153 of 301 in IN

Livability — Evansville

Score
63/100
State rank
#416
US rank
#15047

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Evansville, IN
County
Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
City population
146,793
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
Population (ZIP)
9,988
Household income
$40,873
Rent vs Own
61.6% rent · 38.4% own
Severe rent burden
735.0

Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,038 people
By 2030
188,907 · +1.0%
By 2040
190,272 · +1.7%
By 2050
188,871 · +1.0%
By 2075
180,751 · -3.4%
By 2100
163,015 · -12.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 39% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Pacific Islander 1% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh

2024 margin
R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -119.22%
Current HPI
229.9312
Rent YoY
▲ 9.87%
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+182.4% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Relisted IRMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Delisted IRMLS
  • 2025-12-01 Relisted IRMLS
  • 2025-11-24 Price Changed $60,000 IRMLS
  • 2024-11-29 Listed $80,000 IRMLS
  • 2019-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $440,000 Public Records
  • 2014-01-29 Listed $21,250 IRMLS

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $911 · -6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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