959 S Grand Ave · Evansville, IN
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Bungalow with recent updates include a newer roof, flooring, and fresh paint. Living room and dining room with stunning box beam ceilings. The den off the dining room could easily be converted into a 3rd bedroom, and the 2nd floor has the potential to add a 4th bedroom. Full unfinished basement. Previously rented for $600/month in rental income. Tenant was responsible for all utilities. Can be purchased as part of a package that includes 2 homes (959 S Grand Avenue and 1850 Lodge Avenue) for a TOTAL purchase price of $160,000. Sold as is.
Key facts
- 1,739 sq ft lot
- Built 1919
- Listed 565 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No parking or garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family, site-built home; One story
- Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Front porch; Level lot; Sidewalks in the community
Interior
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms included in total room count (5 rooms total)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring; One fireplace (no special features); Full unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $428 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Dexter Elementary School (math 17% / reading 12%, grade F, #862 of 994 statewide, top 88%, 328 students, 83% FRL); Washington Middle School (math 14% / reading 24%, grade F, #274 of 330 statewide, top 83%, 353 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 50% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 17% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-23 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.9%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 566 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 566 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.80% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.11%
- DSCR
- 2.38
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $184,376
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 665 S Kentucky Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 2,456 (+1%) | 6mo | $190,000 | $77 | 69 |
| 805 E Chandler Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,273 (-6%) | 7mo | $289,900 | $128 | 65 |
| 1111 S Evans Ave | 0.23mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 2,340 (-4%) | 15mo | $144,900 | $62 | 60 |
| 1101 Taylor Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,439 (+0%) | 14mo | $200,000 | $82 | 56 |
| 1028 Ravenswood Dr | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 2,688 (+11%) | 9mo | $122,500 | $46 | 52 |
| 864 Lincoln Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 2,548 (+5%) | 15mo | $55,000 | $22 | 51 |
| 1019 Ravenswood Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 2,244 (-8%) | 7mo | $217,500 | $97 | 51 |
| 1113 Ravenswood Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 2,666 (+10%) | 7mo | $196,500 | $74 | 47 |
| 728 College Hwy | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 2,614 (+8%) | 13mo | $405,000 | $155 | 40 |
| 1124 Covert Ave | 0.58mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 2,640 (+9%) | 11mo | $151,000 | $57 | 36 |
| 705 E Riverside Dr | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 2,160 (-11%) | 14mo | $32,000 | $15 | 36 |
| 820 S Governor St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,170 (-11%) | 16mo | $165,000 | $76 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $23,340
- Equity at exit
- $8,797
- IRR
- 41.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.91×
- Total profit
- $81,036
- Equity at exit
- $5,101
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47713
- Home prices YoY
- -34.1%
- Rents YoY
- 9.9%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,061 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $911/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $428
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,000 Active 566 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,000 Active 565 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,000 Active 564 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,000 Active 563 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $59,000 Active 561 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,000 Active 560 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $59,000 Active 558 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,000 Active 557 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,000 Active 556 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,000 Active 555 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,000 Active 550 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,000 Active 549 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,000 Active 548 DOM
-
2026-05-30pricedays on market $59,000 Active 547 DOM
-
2026-05-07status Active
-
2026-05-07historical
-
2025-12-01status Active
-
2025-11-24price $60,000
-
2024-11-29$80,000 Active
-
2019-11-15soldstatus $440,000
-
2014-01-29$21,250
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $911 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $911 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,731
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$911
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,018
- − Management
- −$1,018
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $4,467
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,072
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,067/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803450
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,270
- Composite
- 33.41/100
- National rank
- #5471
- State rank
- #153 of 301 in IN
Livability — Evansville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #15047
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Evansville, IN
- County
- Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
- City population
- 146,793
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,988
- Household income
- $40,873
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 735.0
Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,038 people
- By 2030
- 188,907 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 190,272 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 188,871 · +1.0%
- By 2075
- 180,751 · -3.4%
- By 2100
- 163,015 · -12.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 39% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Pacific Islander 1% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.22%
- Current HPI
- 229.9312
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.87%
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+182.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2026-05-07 Delisted — IRMLS
- 2025-12-01 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2025-11-24 Price Changed $60,000 IRMLS
- 2024-11-29 Listed $80,000 IRMLS
- 2019-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $440,000 Public Records
- 2014-01-29 Listed $21,250 IRMLS
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2024): $911 · -6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…