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640 Fairfield Ave
B Composite 74.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.1/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$59,900

640 Fairfield Ave · Westwood, PA 15906
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,110 sqft · SingleFamily · 20 Days on market
0.48 ac lot $54/sqft · 13% below area Est $68k · 13% under ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Really cute house!!! Move in condition! Sellers have done numerous updates! Pretty Hard wood floors! Large Liv R with working wood Fire Place! Mud R off Din area, into att garage. Lrg side porch to enjoy the outdoors! Sets on a private big lot. One extra parking space, besides the driveway. Large 24 x 28 shed in back. Street behind shed, makes it convenient to haul anything to the shed!

Key facts

  • 1/2 acre
  • Breakfast nook
  • 24 x 28 shed

Tags

1/2 ACREOAK FLOORSWOOD BURNING FIREPLACEWOODEN CABINETSBREAKFAST NOOK24 X 28 SHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-and-a-half to two levels; 2 total stories; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio and porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (natural gas); Ceiling fan cooling
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace (1); Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer (laundry located in basement)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($856 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#1,263 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Greater Johnstown SD (urban): math 9% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #509 of 539 in PA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,001 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
10.46%
Cash-on-cash
14.90%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$68,482
List price
$59,900
Delta
-12.53%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
640 Fairfield Ave 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,110 (0%) 0mo $50,000 $45 100
109 Lancer Ct 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,072 (-3%) 9mo $82,500 $77 84
116 Blawn St 0.25mi 3/1.5 1,088 (-2%) 8mo $30,000 $28 77
284 Wilson St 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,104 (-0%) 3mo $49,900 $45 64
205 Sauers Ave 0.20mi 3/1.5 1,236 (+11%) 13mo $139,500 $113 60
405 Chandler Ave 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,056 (-5%) 3mo $22,500 $21 56
217 Olds Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,148 (+3%) 8mo $50,000 $44 56
222 Strayer St 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,160 (+4%) 15mo $34,900 $30 53
420 Orange Ave 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (-14%) 14mo $45,000 $47 41
161.5 Barron Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 968 (-13%) 6mo $25,000 $26 36
149 Stone St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,232 (+11%) 15mo $50,000 $41 36
211 Comet Ct 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,248 (+12%) 16mo $72,500 $58 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.2%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$97
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
9.9%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$12,932
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15906

Home prices YoY
-4.0%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$856 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$129 /mo · $1,552/yr
Insurance
$25
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$180
Net cashflow
$153

Break-even live

Break-even rent $663
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
207 Burkhard St Johnstown, PA 2.0 1.0 856 $825 $0.96 23d 1 0.62mi
213 Stone St Johnstown, PA 2.0 1.0 989 $1,100 $1.11 23d 1 0.85mi
444 Stone St Johnstown, PA 2.0 1.0 908 $700 $0.77 43d 1 1.01mi
444 Stone St Unit 444 Johnstown, PA 2.0 1.0 950 $700 $0.74 23d 1 1.01mi
459 Stone St Johnstown, PA 3.0 1.0 1120 $900 $0.80 23d 1 1.03mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    listed $59,900 Active 375-char remark
  2. 2014-02-07
    soldstatus $46,000 389-char remark
    Show marketing remark (389 chars)

    Really cute house!!! Move in condition! Sellers have done numerous updates! Pretty Hard wood floors! Large Liv R with working wood Fire Place! Mud R off Din area, into att garage. Lrg side porch to enjoy the outdoors! Sets on a private big lot. One extra parking space, besides the driveway. Large 24 x 28 shed in back. Street behind shed, makes it convenient to haul anything to the shed!

  3. 2014-01-30
    soldstatus $46,000
  4. 2013-05-29
    listed $46,000 389-char remark
    Show marketing remark (389 chars)

    Really cute house!!! Move in condition! Sellers have done numerous updates! Pretty Hard wood floors! Large Liv R with working wood Fire Place! Mud R off Din area, into att garage. Lrg side porch to enjoy the outdoors! Sets on a private big lot. One extra parking space, besides the driveway. Large 24 x 28 shed in back. Street behind shed, makes it convenient to haul anything to the shed!

  5. 2011-11-23
    soldstatus $48,000
  6. 2006-07-12
    soldstatus $69,300
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    You will love realxing on the 8' x 15' porch after a hard days work in this lovely 3 bedroom 1 3/4 bath with charm and character situated on beautiful private oversized lot (almost 1/2 acre) with BONUS 23' x 28' Out-Building which would be great for a workshop or storage. Hurry. .. .Call today to tour! A rare find!

  7. 2006-06-15
    soldstatus $69,300
  8. 2006-05-04
    listed $67,500
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    You will love realxing on the 8' x 15' porch after a hard days work in this lovely 3 bedroom 1 3/4 bath with charm and character situated on beautiful private oversized lot (almost 1/2 acre) with BONUS 23' x 28' Out-Building which would be great for a workshop or storage. Hurry. .. .Call today to tour! A rare find!

  9. 2004-10-21
    soldstatus $57,500
  10. 2004-10-14
    soldstatus $57,500
  11. 2004-08-24
    listed $54,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,552 · $129/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,552 · $129/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,278
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$1,552
− Insurance
−$966
− Repairs & maintenance
−$822
− Management
−$822
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$1,017
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$244
After-tax cash flow
$1,588/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greater Johnstown SD
NCES district ID
4210950
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,890
Composite
13.25/100
National rank
#9550
State rank
#509 of 539 in PA

Livability — Westwood

Score
63/100
State rank
#1263
US rank
#15213

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing D- Health & safety C+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,654

Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,754 people
By 2030
115,827 · -5.6%
By 2040
101,309 · -17.5%
By 2050
88,379 · -28.0%
By 2075
65,237 · -46.9%
By 2100
46,909 · -61.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 11% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Polish 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cambria

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.26%
Current HPI
77.6797
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.9% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Sold (MLS) $50,000 CSMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Pending CSMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $59,900 CSMLS
  • 2014-02-07 Sold (MLS) $46,000 CSMLS
  • 2014-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
  • 2013-05-29 Listed $46,000 CSMLS
  • 2011-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
  • 2006-07-12 Sold (MLS) $69,300 CSMLS
  • 2006-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $69,300 Public Records
  • 2006-05-04 Listed $67,500 CSMLS
  • 2004-10-21 Sold (MLS) $57,500 CSMLS
  • 2004-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
  • 2004-08-24 Listed $54,900 CSMLS

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,552 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…