1921 W A Ave · Elk City, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located on a . 48 acre corner lot in the College Hill subdivision, this 1,657 sq ft home features a 3-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom floor plan plus a dedicated office/study. The property is all-electric and serviced by a private well, providing significant utility savings. Additional features include a storm shelter, an attached garage, and an additional concrete outbuilding for storage or workshop use. The exterior is brick with a hip-style roof. While the home is functional and livable, it requires cosmetic updates, specifically regarding flooring or finishing existing concrete. Sold as-is.
Key facts
- Private well
- Storm shelter
- Concrete outbuilding
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Corner lot; Located in College Hill addition; Homestead not indicated
- Financial info: Sold as-is; financing options include cash and conventional
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete driveway/parking; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public utilities available; Private well available
- Home design: Single family residence; One-level; Existing property
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Brick exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Outbuildings; Storm shelter (outdoors)
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in electric range; Built-in electric oven
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Concrete floors; Laminate floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump
- Interior features: Water heater; Office / study; Living area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.1% in Elk City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#141 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Elk City (town): math 14% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #218 of 270 in OK (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Elk City Es (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #479 of 845 statewide, top 63%, 753 students, 0% FRL); Elk City Hs (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #332 of 447 statewide, top 78%, 615 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 48% district-wide (48 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Beckham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Beckham County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.94%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $198,840
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310 Ellis Ln | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,665 (+0%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $120 | 60 |
| 1006 Kathys Pl | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,768 (+7%) | 23mo | $222,000 | $126 | 41 |
| 207 Ellis Ln | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,839 (+11%) | 15mo | $275,000 | $150 | 38 |
| 2042 W 7th Pl | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,576 (-5%) | 14mo | $125,500 | $80 | 37 |
| 1317 W 8th St | 0.72mi | 5/2.0 | 1,900 (+15%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $89 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,738
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $21,217
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73644
- Home prices YoY
- -24.0%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,310 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$77 /mo · $925/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $278
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-19status Pending
-
2026-05-14price $120,000
-
2026-04-21price $139,000
-
2026-03-21$149,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $925 · $77/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,080 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- +$155/yr (+$13/mo · 16.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,718
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$925
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,257
- − Management
- −$1,257
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $1,466
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$352
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,989/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elk City
- NCES district ID
- 4010740
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,040
- Composite
- 13.26/100
- National rank
- #9547
- State rank
- #218 of 270 in OK
Livability — Elk City
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #141
- US rank
- #13090
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elk City, OK
- City population
- 13,687
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,687
Population outlook (Beckham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,564 people
- By 2030
- 28,217 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 31,865 · +20.0%
- By 2050
- 35,862 · +35.0%
- By 2075
- 47,189 · +77.6%
- By 2100
- 55,622 · +109.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 6% Black 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Beckham
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+70.1) · D 14.2% · R 84.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.0pp toward R · 2008: -56.1pp · 2024: -70.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+70.1 2020: R+72.0 2016: R+70.8 2012: R+59.1 2008: R+56.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.11%
- Current HPI
- 178.0217
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-19.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — MLSOK
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $120,000 MLSOK
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $139,000 MLSOK
- 2026-03-21 Listed $149,000 MLSOK
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $925 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…