14890 SE 20th St · Williston Highlands, FL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.6/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$264,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This amazing property features a 1080 square foot 1996 manufactured home situated on 2.5 acres of land, providing a sense of privacy and ample room for a variety of uses, such as gardening, recreational activities, or accommodating animals. The expansive lot enhances the property’s rural character and offers flexibility for future improvements or outdoor projects. The residence includes 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, offering a practical and efficient layout suitable for a small household, seasonal residents, or those seeking a more manageable living space. A notable feature of the property is the spacious 4-car barn/garage, which can serve multiple purposes, including vehicle storage, a
Key facts
- 2.5 acres of land
- Spacious 4-car barn
- 2.57 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: R-1; Lot: approximately 2.57 acres (2 to less than 5 acres); Publicly maintained road; Direction faces east; Building area and living area reported in public records
- HOA & community: Horses allowed; Cats and dogs allowed; No association approvals required
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Carport with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Propane available; Phone available; Broadband / high-speed internet available; Water connected
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single-story; East-facing; Homesteaded property; Completed condition
- Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a manufactured home
- Exterior features: Covered, enclosed front porch; Sliding doors; Storage; Private mailbox; Wire and wood fencing; Mature landscaping with oak trees and wooded areas; Limerock road approach; One well; One septic system
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Range hood; Microwave; Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Living room / dining room combo; Split bedroom floorplan; Thermostat; Walk-in closet(s); Florida room
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located outside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $161 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (16.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $220k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#851 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Levy (rural): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Williston Elementary School (math 53% / reading 52%, grade C-, #976 of 2,144 statewide, top 46%, 488 students, 71% FRL); Williston Middle High School (math 44% / reading 36%, grade F, #296 of 667 statewide, top 45%, 1,119 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 66% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 199 units permitted in Levy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Levy County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $74k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($249k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.60%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $163,080
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2230 SE 143rd Ter | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,130 (+5%) | 11mo | $160,000 | $142 | 49 |
| 14250 SE 20th St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (+14%) | 8mo | $185,500 | $151 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.08×
- Total profit
- $154,389
- Equity at exit
- $238,643
- IRR
- 22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.02×
- Total profit
- $446,354
- Equity at exit
- $514,642
Cash invested: $74,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32668
- Home prices YoY
- 11.5%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,389
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $932/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$462
- Net cashflow
- $161
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,225
- Closing costs
- $7,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14651 SE 10th St Williston, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1101 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $264,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $264,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $264,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $264,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $264,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $264,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $264,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $264,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $264,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $264,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $264,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $264,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $264,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $264,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $264,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $264,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-04-17status Active
-
2026-03-30$264,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $932 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,199 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,267/yr (+$106/mo · 135.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,839
- − Property taxes
- −$932
- − Insurance
- −$1,324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,112
- − Management
- −$2,112
- − Depreciation
- −$7,706
- Taxable loss
- −$2,625
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$630
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,559/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Levy
- NCES district ID
- 1201140
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,254
- Composite
- 36.42/100
- National rank
- #4673
- State rank
- #54 of 73 in FL
Livability — Williston Highlands
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #851
- US rank
- #21745
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Williston Highlands, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,326
Population outlook (Levy County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,536 people
- By 2030
- 34,498 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 30,294 · -17.1%
- By 2050
- 26,368 · -27.8%
- By 2075
- 19,003 · -48.0%
- By 2100
- 13,169 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 4% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Levy
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.3) · D 24.6% · R 74.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -50.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.3 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+26.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 44.56%
- Current HPI
- 432.1581
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-30 Listed $264,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $932 · +25.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…