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9060 Auburn Folsom Rd #19
B- Composite 66.73
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,500

9060 Auburn Folsom Rd #19 · Granite Bay, CA 95746
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 504 sqft · Manufactured · 92 Days on market
Built 1972 Excellent condition Est $61k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

A MUST SEE Inside!! Full remodel with no expense spared! All the appliances are new and will stay including the washer and dryer. All new plumbing and gas lines to bathroom and laundry. New Sub-floors under your New floors, New Kitchen everything and baseboards, new bath vanity, and toilet, new water heater, newer AC mini-split, new 4x6 support beams, new floor joist to rim joist, no dry-rot - it feels like a 2026 model! Come see for yourself, the home is on a corner lot with 2 sheds, 2 spots for parking, age-restricted 55+ Ridgeview Park off Auburn Folsom Rd. Space rent is $1,075.month. Quiet, Safe, Location and like New!

Key facts

  • New plumbing
  • New kitchen
  • New sub-floors

Tags

NEW APPLIANCESNEW PLUMBINGNEW GAS LINESNEW SUB-FLOORSNEW KITCHENNEW BATH VANITY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Land lease amount: $1,075
  • Financial info: Land lease required
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces; Off-street covered parking; Guest parking available
  • Utilities: Individual electric meter; Individual gas meter; Public water; Public sewer; Internet available
  • Home design: Manufactured home in park; Single wide; Built in 1972; Kaufman Broad make; Skirted with vinyl
  • Construction: Metal roof; Vinyl skirting
  • Exterior features: Carport awning; Porch awning; Corner lot; Garden; Landscaped backyard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free standing gas range; Free standing refrigerator; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Breakfast area; Dining space in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with shower stall
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Ductless cooling
  • Interior features: Updated/remodeled interior; Covered patio; Dual-pane windows with coverings and screens; Storage shed(s); Living room with additional features
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included (stacked); Laundry located inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $74k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $74k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 27.5% vs local median 1.2% in Granite Bay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#386 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Eureka Union (suburban): math 61% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #48 of 517 in CA (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 164 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 3,535 units permitted in Placer County in 2024 (689 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($183k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $515 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Placer County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $67,795 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.11%
Cap rate
27.51%
Cash-on-cash
75.77%
DSCR
4.37
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$60,984
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9060 Auburn Folsom Rd #21 0.04mi 1/1.0 490 (-3%) 20mo $42,000 $86 77
8880 Auburn Folsom Blvd #52 0.19mi 1/1.0 430 (-15%) 9mo $52,000 $121 59
6805 Douglas Blvd #96 0.66mi 2/1.0 (+1) 566 (+12%) 21mo $75,000 $133 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
75.7%
Equity multiple
4.44×
Total profit
$71,853
Equity at exit
$11,108
10-year hold
IRR
79.4%
Equity multiple
9.18×
Total profit
$170,733
Equity at exit
$6,441

Cash invested: $20,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95746

Active inventory
164
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,319 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$391
Tax est. 1.5%
$93 /mo · $1,118/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$487
Net cashflow
$1,317

Break-even live

Break-even rent $652
Max offer price $74,500
Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,625
Closing costs
$2,235
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,500 Active 92 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,500 Active 91 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,500 Active 90 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,500 Active 89 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,500 Active 87 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,500 Active 86 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,500 Active 83 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,500 Active 82 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,500 Active 81 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $74,500 Active 77 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,500 Active 76 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,500 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,500 Active 74 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 30 unhealthy d/yr today · 38 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,828
− Mortgage interest
−$4,173
− Property taxes
−$1,118
− Insurance
−$372
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,226
− Management
−$2,226
− Depreciation
−$2,167
Taxable income
$15,545
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,731
After-tax cash flow
$12,075/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This fully remodeled manufactured home is in excellent condition with no repairs needed. It's move-in ready and offers a great value for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value.
  • Both Upgrade to LED lighting — Saves on energy costs and enhances ambiance.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value.
  • Both Upgrade to LED lighting — Saves on energy costs and enhances ambiance.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Eureka Union
NCES district ID
0613080
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
74% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$103,282
Composite
62.34/100
National rank
#695
State rank
#48 of 517 in CA

Livability — Granite Bay

Score
65/100
State rank
#386
US rank
#13127

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Granite Bay, CA
County
Placer County · 390,510 people
City population
22,985
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Population (ZIP)
22,985
Household income
$183,305
Rent vs Own
11.2% rent · 88.8% own
Severe rent burden
176.0

Population outlook (Placer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
422,709 people
By 2030
444,249 · +5.1%
By 2040
480,192 · +13.6%
By 2050
506,390 · +19.8%
By 2075
550,219 · +30.2%
By 2100
547,760 · +29.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Asian 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Placer

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.5) · D 44.3% · R 52.8% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+2.8pp toward D · 2008: -11.3pp · 2024: -8.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.5 2020: R+6.7 2016: R+11.3 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+11.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -664.09%
Current HPI
264.5367
Rent YoY
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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