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B Composite 71.6
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$122,000

143 Waywood Dr · Jackson, MS 39212
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,506 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 416 Days on market
Built 1977 0.26 ac lot Est $154k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

MUST SEE - Looking for your next home or interested in starting or building your portfolio, consider this updated 3/2 with walk-in closets in South Jackson. Contact your favorite realtor today!

Key facts

  • 0.26 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1977

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; One level
  • Construction: Brick veneer exterior; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Built (year source: public records)
  • Exterior features: City lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Move-in ready condition; Public records used for living area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $122k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $378 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $122k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Timberlawn Elementary School (math 5% / reading 11%, grade F, #334 of 375 statewide, top 89%, 353 students, 100% FRL); Cardozo Middle School (math 5% / reading 10%, grade F, #168 of 179 statewide, top 94%, 625 students, 100% FRL); Forest Hill High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #168 of 197 statewide, top 86%, 991 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $843 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 416 days — a 12% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask is 8614% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $107,360 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 416 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
10.01%
Cash-on-cash
13.28%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$153,612
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
160 Waxwing Dr 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,500 (-0%) 1mo $189,900 $127 91
315 Cedarwood Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,501 (-0%) 1mo $92,500 $62 86
346 Sharon Hills Dr 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,522 (+1%) 14mo $155,000 $102 78
337 Woodcliff Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,561 (+4%) 7mo $165,000 $106 76
423 Cedarwood Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,477 (-2%) 13mo $180,000 $122 60
236 Lake Cove Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,422 (-6%) 15mo $174,900 $123 58
4251 Cypress Dr 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,644 (+9%) 9mo $100,000 $61 54
405 Greenmont Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,380 (-8%) 9mo $182,900 $133 52
4210 Will O Wood Blvd 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,723 (+14%) 23mo $155,000 $90 43
361 Park Ln 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,406 (-7%) 21mo $138,000 $98 40
539 Winnwood 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,324 (-12%) 16mo $109,900 $83 39
525 Cedarwood Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,674 (+11%) 14mo $154,000 $92 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.23% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.7%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$6,375
Equity at exit
$18,191
10-year hold
IRR
15.4%
Equity multiple
2.32×
Total profit
$45,254
Equity at exit
$10,548

Cash invested: $34,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39212

Home prices YoY
-11.7%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
302
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,609 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$640
Tax from tax record
$203 /mo · $2,430/yr
Insurance
$51
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$338
Net cashflow
$378

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,131
Max offer price $122,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,500
Closing costs
$3,660
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
296 Woodcliff Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 2242 $1,756 $0.78 13d 1 0.21mi
4954 Hanging Oak Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1082 $1,215 $1.12 43d 1 1.02mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    historical $1,400
  2. 2026-04-20
    status Pending
  3. 2026-02-05
    listed $1,400
  4. 2025-05-29
    price $122,000
  5. 2025-04-23
    price $135,000
  6. 2025-02-28
    listed $140,000 Active
  7. 2017-09-14
    soldstatus
  8. 2004-11-20
    historical
  9. 2001-06-14
    listed $88,500
  10. 1996-03-08
    soldstatus
  11. 1980-09-11
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,430 · $203/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,430 · $203/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,308
− Mortgage interest
−$6,834
− Property taxes
−$2,430
− Insurance
−$610
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,545
− Management
−$1,545
− Depreciation
−$3,549
Taxable income
$2,795
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$671
After-tax cash flow
$3,865/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
25,659
Household income
$50,722
Rent vs Own
37.8% rent · 62.2% own
Severe rent burden
1314.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.01%
Current HPI
174.4025
Rent YoY
▲ 4.23%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-98.4% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Rental Removed $1,400 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-04-20 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-02-05 Listed for Rent $1,400 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-05-29 Price Changed $122,000 MLSU
  • 2025-04-23 Price Changed $135,000 MLSU
  • 2025-02-28 Listed $140,000 MLSU
  • 2017-09-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-11-20 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2001-06-14 Listed $88,500 MLSU
  • 1996-03-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1980-09-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,430 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…