36 Bermuda Colony #5 · Fox Lake, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$68,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
There are no remarks available.
Key facts
- Access to biking
- Access to clubhouse
- Access to fishing
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Not currently leased; School bus service and commuter train access
- Financial info: Homeowner tax exemption
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $355; Association fee covers parking, insurance, security, clubhouse, pool, exterior maintenance, lawn care, snow removal, and lake rights; Community amenities include boat dock, coin laundry, storage, on-site manager/engineer, park, party room, pool, and tennis courts; Pets allowed (cats and dogs) with limits; maximum pet weight 80 lbs
Exterior
- Parking: Two parking spaces (off-street, unassigned)
- Security: On-site manager; Community has guard house/entrance with check-in
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Attached single condo; Condo ownership; Model: CLIPPER; Entry level: 1; Built before 1978
- Construction: Cedar construction; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Building contains 6 units; Age: approximately 51–60 years
- Exterior features: In-ground pool; Balcony; Boat slip; Common lot/grounds
Interior
- Kitchen: Range
- Bedrooms: One bedroom (master bedroom on second level)
- Flooring: Carpet in living room and master bedroom; Vinyl flooring in kitchen
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Three total rooms; TV cable available; CO detectors
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $68k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $818 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $68k).
- Recommended offer: $67k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.7% vs local median 6.0% in Fox Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#247 in IL, #4,462 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: amenities D+, schools F, health & safety F.
- Grant Chsd 124 (suburban): math 23% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #296 of 620 in IL (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $27k; list at $68k implies a 152% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.54%
- DSCR
- 3.29
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 49.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.17×
- Total profit
- $41,327
- Equity at exit
- $10,139
- IRR
- 55.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.47×
- Total profit
- $104,133
- Equity at exit
- $5,879
Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60020
- Home prices YoY
- -30.7%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,115 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$357
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,355/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$355
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $818
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,000
- Closing costs
- $2,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 Montego Colony #1 Fox Lake, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,400 | $2.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 306 Waverly St Unit 1244943P Spring Grove, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $8,714 | $11.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 38381 N 6th Ave Spring Grove, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,095 | $1.82 | 1d | 1 | 1.04mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $355 · $4,260/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 30 events
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2026-06-13statusdays on market $68,000 Pending 30 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $68,000 Contingent - No Showings 27 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $68,000 Contingent - No Showings 26 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $68,000 Contingent - No Showings 25 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $68,000 Contingent - No Showings 22 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $68,000 Contingent - No Showings 21 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $68,000 Contingent - No Showings 20 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $68,000 Contingent - No Showings 19 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $68,000 Contingent - No Showings 18 DOM
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2026-05-16historical Contingent - No Showings
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2026-05-13$68,000 Active
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2016-06-10soldstatus $27,000
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2016-06-03soldstatus $27,000 Closed Sale 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
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2016-05-21status Contingent (Do Not Show) 31-char remark
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There are no remarks available.
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2016-05-04price $29,900 31-char remark
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There are no remarks available.
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2016-04-13price $33,900 31-char remark
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There are no remarks available.
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2016-03-04price $34,999 31-char remark
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There are no remarks available.
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2016-02-29price $37,900 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
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2016-02-03$39,900 New 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
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2013-11-25soldstatus $24,000 Closed Sale 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Nice 1BR Condo in Vacation Village, Balcony/Slider, All Electric, Cent A/C, Pool, Shed, Clubhouse, Party Room, Fishing, Biking, Tennis, Marina for fee & more. No FHA. Foreclosure. As Is. 3%BCC max (excl cash offers), HOW inctv avail own occ-conditions. 100% tax prorations. No survey. Include copy of cert EM funds & Prq/POF w/offer. Contract & Adn on MRED. Eligible under Freddie Mac First Look Initiative thru 10/3/13.
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2013-10-16historical Contingent 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Nice 1BR Condo in Vacation Village, Balcony/Slider, All Electric, Cent A/C, Pool, Shed, Clubhouse, Party Room, Fishing, Biking, Tennis, Marina for fee & more. No FHA. Foreclosure. As Is. 3%BCC max (excl cash offers), HOW inctv avail own occ-conditions. 100% tax prorations. No survey. Include copy of cert EM funds & Prq/POF w/offer. Contract & Adn on MRED. Eligible under Freddie Mac First Look Initiative thru 10/3/13.
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2013-09-19$25,900 New 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Nice 1BR Condo in Vacation Village, Balcony/Slider, All Electric, Cent A/C, Pool, Shed, Clubhouse, Party Room, Fishing, Biking, Tennis, Marina for fee & more. No FHA. Foreclosure. As Is. 3%BCC max (excl cash offers), HOW inctv avail own occ-conditions. 100% tax prorations. No survey. Include copy of cert EM funds & Prq/POF w/offer. Contract & Adn on MRED. Eligible under Freddie Mac First Look Initiative thru 10/3/13.
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2012-03-06historical
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2012-01-16price Price Change
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2011-09-23New
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2009-12-03historical
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2008-12-02
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2004-06-08soldstatus $51,500
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2003-06-12soldstatus $47,500
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1990-11-01soldstatus $21,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,355 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,449 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- +$94/yr (+$8/mo · 7.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,375
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,809
- − Property taxes
- −$1,355
- − Insurance
- −$340
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,030
- − Management
- −$2,030
- − HOA
- −$4,260
- − Depreciation
- −$1,978
- Taxable income
- $9,573
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,298
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,515/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grant Chsd 124
- NCES district ID
- 1717340
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,450
- Composite
- 22.95/100
- National rank
- #7989
- State rank
- #296 of 620 in IL
Livability — Fox Lake
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #247
- US rank
- #4462
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fox Lake, IL
- City population
- 10,846
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,846
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 700,217 people
- By 2030
- 693,290 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 673,588 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 643,556 · -8.1%
- By 2075
- 562,792 · -19.6%
- By 2100
- 457,715 · -34.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 15% Portuguese 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.8) · D 59.7% · R 38.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.1pp toward D · 2008: 19.6pp · 2024: 20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.8 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+20.3 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.19%
- Current HPI
- 219.6301
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+223.8% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-13 Listed $68,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
- 2016-06-03 Sold (MLS) $27,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-21 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-04 Price Changed $29,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-13 Price Changed $33,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-04 Price Changed $34,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-02-29 Price Changed $37,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-02-03 Listed $39,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-11-25 Sold (MLS) $24,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-10-16 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-09-19 Listed $25,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-03-06 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-01-16 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-09-23 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-12-03 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-12-02 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $51,500 Public Records
- 2003-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
- 1990-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2024): $1,355 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…