3477 S Siesta Rd · Yuma, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.7/15.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming furnished 2-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the desirable Rio Colorado 55+ community, offering an active and welcoming lifestyle with access to a community pool and a variety of resident activities year-round. This well-maintained single-wide home features an inviting living room that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, complete with a dining area and pantry for added convenience. The split floor plan provides privacy for both owners and guests, with the primary suite featuring its own private walk-in shower. A spacious laundry room offers flexible use as a home office, craft room, or additional storage space. The enclosed Arizona room provides extra living space perfect for relaxin
Key facts
- Split floor plan
- 3,733 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association (association fee $680); Community features include curbs and sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2 covered spaces; Attached carport (2 carport spaces); Open parking available
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home (mobile home); Residential property; Located in Rio Colorado Est subdivision; Senior community
- Construction: Manufactured home construction
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Shed on property; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Gas range
- Flooring: Carpet; Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Cooling present
- Interior features: Smoke detectors installed; No fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $322 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.9% in Yuma — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#30 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, employment D.
- Yuma Union High School District (4507) (urban): math 14% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #212 of 249 in AZ (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 472 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,399 units permitted in Yuma County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yuma County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $115k implies a 147% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.00%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $121,030
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3473 S Hermosa Rd | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 882 (-3%) | 2mo | $119,900 | $136 | 90 |
| 3470 S Redondo Rd | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-8%) | 5mo | $87,000 | $104 | 76 |
| 270 W El Camino Dr | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 958 (+5%) | 14mo | $145,000 | $151 | 74 |
| 3541 S Canyon Ave | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 824 (-10%) | 2mo | $98,000 | $119 | 73 |
| 52 W Casa Blanca Dr | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (+14%) | 3mo | $146,000 | $140 | 71 |
| 3529 S Banff Ave | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (-8%) | 14mo | $127,000 | $151 | 71 |
| 3571 S Kings Ct | 0.33mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 872 (-4%) | 8mo | $70,000 | $80 | 62 |
| 1100 W 34 Pl | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+6%) | 0mo | $128,000 | $133 | 61 |
| 3579 S Kings Ct | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 848 (-7%) | 14mo | $80,000 | $94 | 58 |
| 3667 S Century Dr | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 980 (+8%) | 12mo | $129,000 | $132 | 57 |
| 3420 S Kings Ct | 0.33mi | 2/1.5 | 814 (-10%) | 16mo | $104,000 | $128 | 52 |
| 707 W Ocotillo Ln | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 | 788 (-13%) | 8mo | $118,500 | $150 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-2,091
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $9,285
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85365
- Home prices YoY
- -23.6%
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 472
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,346 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$33 /mo · $400/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$57
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$283
- Net cashflow
- $322
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $387 | -5% $354 | +0% $322 | +5% $289 | +10% $257 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $216 | -5% $269 | +0% $322 | +5% $375 | +10% $428 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $380 | -0.5pp $351 | base $322 | +0.5pp $292 | +1.0pp $262 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3749 S 4th Ave Unit 224 Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,400 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 225 W Catalina Dr Yuma, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 777 | $1,363 | $1.75 | 13d | 7 | 0.54mi |
| 515 E Country Club Dr Unit 515B Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 517 E Country Club Dr Unit 517D Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2714 S Virginia Dr Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $925 | $1.23 | 13d | 2 | 0.90mi |
| 2621 S Virginia Dr Unit 206 Yuma, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $850 | $1.47 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 701 E 24th St Yuma, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $1,000 | $1.64 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1900 W 30th St Yuma, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $804 | $0.79 | 13d | 1 | 1.39mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $57 · $684/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $115,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $115,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $115,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $115,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-15$115,000 Active
-
1990-04-01soldstatus $46,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $400 · $33/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $759 · $63/mo
- Expected delta
- +$359/yr (+$30/mo · 89.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥113°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,150
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$400
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,292
- − Management
- −$1,292
- − HOA
- −$684
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $2,120
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$509
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,354/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yuma Union High School District (4507)
- NCES district ID
- 0409630
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,512
- Composite
- 12.86/100
- National rank
- #9592
- State rank
- #212 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Yuma
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #6635
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yuma, AZ
- County
- Yuma County · 149,809 people
- City population
- 149,809
- Metro
- Yuma, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,775
- Household income
- $70,331
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 766.0
Population outlook (Yuma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 211,633 people
- By 2030
- 214,114 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 217,856 · +2.9%
- By 2050
- 220,276 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 222,359 · +5.1%
- By 2100
- 198,880 · -6.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 47% White 44% Two or more races 23% Black 2% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 43%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 36% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yuma
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.3% · R 59.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+6.2 2016: R+5.5 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+13.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.03%
- Current HPI
- 242.8651
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.38%
- Metro
- Yuma, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+147.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $115,000 YAR
- 1990-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $46,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $400 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…