46151 Bloomcrest Dr · Northville, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +9.3/15.0
- Cash flow +7.9/30.0
- Schools +6.6/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.0/10.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$475,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
What a great find in the quiet part of Northville! A lovely, well cared for raised ranch. Very solidly build and in great shape, however very "retro" :). Great bones to play with. Hardwood in living room, dining room and all. We expect there is hardwood under carpet in bedrooms, though no claim as to condition. A large kitchen and eating area. The 4 season porch is accessible from the kitchen and the dining room. A quaint covered patio in the back with lots of privacy. Downstairs is a large family room, wet bar and full bath. Electric is wired for a generator near front porch. A Gorgeous yard, beautifully landscaped with a shed. Home is sold "As Is"
Key facts
- Large family room
- Wet bar
- 4 season porch
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Basement access to parking
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior; Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Finished walk-out daylight basement
- Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Ground-level entry with steps; Shed(s); Gravel road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Gas water heater
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Attic fan; Ceiling fans; Forced air heating; Natural gas
- Interior features: Wet bar; Fireplace in the living room (gas and wood burning; basement location also has fireplace)
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $475k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-499 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $387k (18.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $311k (34.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $311k (34.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.4% in Northville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 88/100 on livability (#13 in MI, #205 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, amenities A+; Watch: commute F.
- Northville Public Schools (suburban): math 68% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #4 of 540 in MI (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 4% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($468k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $180k; list at $475k implies a 165% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.50%
- DSCR
- 0.80
- GRM
- 12.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $494,768
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19625 Clement Rd | 0.25mi | 3/2.5 | 1,806 (-1%) | 7mo | $459,000 | $254 | 78 |
| 46079 Sunset St | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,839 (+1%) | 1mo | $495,100 | $269 | 75 |
| 19737 Clement Rd | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,740 (-4%) | 11mo | $470,000 | $270 | 74 |
| 20001 Springwood St | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 | 1,839 (+1%) | 8mo | $660,000 | $359 | 71 |
| 20385 Lexington Blvd | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,910 (+5%) | 13mo | $675,000 | $353 | 62 |
| 21150 E Chigwidden St | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 | 1,827 (+0%) | 6mo | $390,000 | $213 | 56 |
| 19577 Clement Rd | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,587 (-13%) | 20mo | $432,000 | $272 | 46 |
| 306 W Main St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 2,009 (+10%) | 3mo | $646,400 | $322 | 46 |
| 46236 Sunset St | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,012 (+11%) | 23mo | $450,000 | $224 | 41 |
| 335 1st St | 0.60mi | 3/3.0 | 2,027 (+11%) | 10mo | $600,000 | $296 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-105,848
- Equity at exit
- $70,824
- IRR
- -15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-120,909
- Equity at exit
- $41,069
Cash invested: $133,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48167
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 213
- Price-to-rent
- 12.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,108 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,491
- Tax from tax record
- −$266 /mo · $3,188/yr
- Insurance
- −$198
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$653
- Net cashflow
- $-499
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $118,750
- Closing costs
- $14,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 416 S Center St Northville, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1997 | $5,000 | $2.50 | 4d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 695 River Park Village Blvd Northville, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1251 | $2,180 | $1.74 | 1d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $475,000 Pending 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $475,000 Active Under Contract 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $475,000 Active Under Contract 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $475,000 Active Under Contract 19 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $475,000 Active Under Contract 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $475,000 Active Under Contract 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $475,000 Active Under Contract 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $475,000 Active Under Contract 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $475,000 Active Under Contract 12 DOM
-
2026-05-23historical Accepting Backup Offers 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
What a great find in the quiet part of Northville! A lovely, well cared for raised ranch. Very solidly build and in great shape, however very "retro" :). Great bones to play with. Hardwood in living room, dining room and all. We expect there is hardwood under carpet in bedrooms, though no claim as to condition. A large kitchen and eating area. The 4 season porch is accessible from the kitchen and the dining room. A quaint covered patio in the back with lots of privacy. Downstairs is a large family room, wet bar and full bath. Electric is wired for a generator near front porch. A Gorgeous yard, beautifully landscaped with a shed. Home is sold "As Is"
-
2026-05-23historical Active Under Contract
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
What a great find in the quiet part of Northville! A lovely, well cared for raised ranch. Very solidly build and in great shape, however very "retro" :). Great bones to play with. Hardwood in living room, dining room and all. We expect there is hardwood under carpet in bedrooms, though no claim as to condition. A large kitchen and eating area. The 4 season porch is accessible from the kitchen and the dining room. A quaint covered patio in the back with lots of privacy. Downstairs is a large family room, wet bar and full bath. Electric is wired for a generator near front porch. A Gorgeous yard, beautifully landscaped with a shed. Home is sold "As Is"
-
2026-05-20status Pending
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
What a great find in the quiet part of Northville! A lovely, well cared for raised ranch. Very solidly build and in great shape, however very "retro" :). Great bones to play with. Hardwood in living room, dining room and all. We expect there is hardwood under carpet in bedrooms, though no claim as to condition. A large kitchen and eating area. The 4 season porch is accessible from the kitchen and the dining room. A quaint covered patio in the back with lots of privacy. Downstairs is a large family room, wet bar and full bath. Electric is wired for a generator near front porch. A Gorgeous yard, beautifully landscaped with a shed. Home is sold "As Is"
-
2026-05-20status Pending 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
What a great find in the quiet part of Northville! A lovely, well cared for raised ranch. Very solidly build and in great shape, however very "retro" :). Great bones to play with. Hardwood in living room, dining room and all. We expect there is hardwood under carpet in bedrooms, though no claim as to condition. A large kitchen and eating area. The 4 season porch is accessible from the kitchen and the dining room. A quaint covered patio in the back with lots of privacy. Downstairs is a large family room, wet bar and full bath. Electric is wired for a generator near front porch. A Gorgeous yard, beautifully landscaped with a shed. Home is sold "As Is"
-
2026-05-16$475,000 Active 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
What a great find in the quiet part of Northville! A lovely, well cared for raised ranch. Very solidly build and in great shape, however very "retro" :). Great bones to play with. Hardwood in living room, dining room and all. We expect there is hardwood under carpet in bedrooms, though no claim as to condition. A large kitchen and eating area. The 4 season porch is accessible from the kitchen and the dining room. A quaint covered patio in the back with lots of privacy. Downstairs is a large family room, wet bar and full bath. Electric is wired for a generator near front porch. A Gorgeous yard, beautifully landscaped with a shed. Home is sold "As Is"
-
2026-05-16$475,000 Active
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
What a great find in the quiet part of Northville! A lovely, well cared for raised ranch. Very solidly build and in great shape, however very "retro" :). Great bones to play with. Hardwood in living room, dining room and all. We expect there is hardwood under carpet in bedrooms, though no claim as to condition. A large kitchen and eating area. The 4 season porch is accessible from the kitchen and the dining room. A quaint covered patio in the back with lots of privacy. Downstairs is a large family room, wet bar and full bath. Electric is wired for a generator near front porch. A Gorgeous yard, beautifully landscaped with a shed. Home is sold "As Is"
-
1995-03-14soldstatus $179,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,188 · $266/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,251 · $438/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,064/yr (+$172/mo · 64.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,298
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,607
- − Property taxes
- −$3,188
- − Insurance
- −$2,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,984
- − Management
- −$2,984
- − Depreciation
- −$13,818
- Taxable loss
- −$14,658
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,518
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,471/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northville Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2625980
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $108,824
- Composite
- 66.21/100
- National rank
- #431
- State rank
- #4 of 540 in MI
Livability — Northville
- Score
- 88/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #205
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 24,713
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,713
- Household income
- $124,630
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 441.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Asian 10% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -275.65%
- Current HPI
- 176.171
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.97%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+164.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-23 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-20 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-20 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-16 Listed $475,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-16 Listed $475,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1995-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $179,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,188 · +54.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…