🏷️ Likely Rental
53 Brett St · Verona, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Look at this property AS a PRIME, UPDATED, 14' x 80' MANUFACTURED Home in excellent Well kept move-in Condition. Central Air Conditioning, Newer Hi efficiency Propane fired Forced Air Furnace, New Windows, Washer and Dryer, New Flooring, and New Kitchen Appliances. Almost everything New. Spectrum Internet Service available. Buyers must be Financially Pre-qualified in writing or show Proof of Cash Funds to write a purchase offer. Buyers must complete an application to Park Management and be accepted. Verona Park charges an Application fee due from the buyer at time of application. Current Verona Park Rent is $594/month for this home, which includes Major Snow Plowing, Trash, Sewer and Water.
Key facts
- New flooring
- New windows
- Built 1996
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $69k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#629 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Sherrill City School District (rural): math 38% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #439 of 590 in NY (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($477 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
- Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.78%
- DSCR
- 2.10
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $192,640
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5619 Sunwood Ln | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,200 (+7%) | 8mo | $243,000 | $203 | 53 |
| 5633 Fairlane Rd | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,148 (+2%) | 18mo | $180,000 | $157 | 53 |
| 5689 Merry St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 990 (-12%) | 19mo | $169,900 | $172 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.53% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.15×
- Total profit
- $60,792
- Equity at exit
- $59,801
- IRR
- 36.7%
- Equity multiple
- 9.21×
- Total profit
- $158,534
- Equity at exit
- $126,533
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13478
- Home prices YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,109 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $399
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-12historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-02$69,000 Active
-
2019-10-01historical
-
2019-04-16$28,000
-
2019-04-02historical
-
2019-01-25$28,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,304
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$1,035
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,064
- − Management
- −$1,064
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $3,923
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$942
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,847/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This single-family home is in excellent condition with recent updates, making it a prime candidate for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both Interior paint touch-ups — Fresh paint can make a home more appealing
- Both Add a smart home system — Improves convenience and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Interior paint touch-ups — Fresh paint can make a home more appealing ↑
- Both Add a smart home system — Improves convenience and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sherrill City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3626760
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,927
- Composite
- 39.76/100
- National rank
- #3888
- State rank
- #439 of 590 in NY
Livability — Verona
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #629
- US rank
- #11423
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,331
Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 225,223 people
- By 2030
- 220,384 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 209,071 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 197,920 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 175,541 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 148,491 · -34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 6% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oneida
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.53%
- Current HPI
- 304.2112
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+146.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-04-12 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $69,000 CNYIS
- 2019-10-01 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2019-04-16 Listed $28,000 CNYIS
- 2019-04-02 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2019-01-25 Listed $28,000 CNYIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…