122 Reynolds Ave · Cynthiana, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wow - this beautiful home is gorgeously updated with new siding, a new roof and gutters (2020). You won't want to miss this gem. Step inside the cozy living room with a wood-burning fireplace and lots of space to relax or enjoy guests. Home has a separate, formal dining room which is wonderful for entertaining. Kitchen has tons of counter and cabinet space. Home has a 1st floor bedroom and a full bathroom (renovated with new tile and tub in 2018). Upstairs you will find an additional, oversized bedroom with stunning hardwood floors. Home sits on a full basement that is partially finished with a big family room (could easily be 3rd bedroom (no window). Unfinished basement space allows for tons of extra storage and even has some cabinetry. Step outside onto the spacious and freshly-stained deck to enjoy the hot tub and view of the pool. Yard has a mature tree for shade and added privacy. Property has a 1-car detached garage and a storage shed. Don't miss this home - call today for a private showing.
Key facts
- 7,841 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Listed 26 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.18 acres (7,841 sq ft)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Driveway; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: House; Two levels
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Dimensional style shingle roof; Building area total approximately 1,665 sq ft
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; Shed(s) on property; Public water; Not on waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Oven/Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 total rooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Partially finished basement with sump pump; Finished area below grade (approximately 315 sq ft); Fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $253 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (8.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $220k (8.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.5% in Cynthiana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#113 in KY, #4,911 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Harrison County (town): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #133 of 165 in KY (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Eastside Elementary School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #489 of 676 statewide, top 76%, 411 students, 61% FRL); Harrison County Middle School (math 19% / reading 35%, grade F, #172 of 217 statewide, top 80%, 607 students, 58% FRL); Harrison County High School (math 29% / reading 41%, grade F, #74 of 254 statewide, top 29%, 865 students, 46% FRL).
- Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 69 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Harrison County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $155k; list at $240k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.51%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.18×
- Total profit
- $146,670
- Equity at exit
- $216,121
- IRR
- 24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.24×
- Total profit
- $419,123
- Equity at exit
- $466,073
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41031
- Home prices YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax from tax record
- −$127 /mo · $1,529/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$462
- Net cashflow
- $253
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Heron Pl Cynthiana, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $2,200 | $1.70 | 14d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-07status $239,900 Pending 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $239,900 Contingent 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $239,900 Contingent 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $239,900 Contingent 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,900 Contingent 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,900 Contingent 22 DOM
-
2026-05-10historical Contingent
-
2026-05-08$239,900 Active
-
2021-08-30soldstatus $154,900 Closed 1012-char remark
Show marketing remark (1012 chars)
Wow - this beautiful home is gorgeously updated with new siding, a new roof and gutters (2020). You won't want to miss this gem. Step inside the cozy living room with a wood-burning fireplace and lots of space to relax or enjoy guests. Home has a separate, formal dining room which is wonderful for entertaining. Kitchen has tons of counter and cabinet space. Home has a 1st floor bedroom and a full bathroom (renovated with new tile and tub in 2018). Upstairs you will find an additional, oversized bedroom with stunning hardwood floors. Home sits on a full basement that is partially finished with a big family room (could easily be 3rd bedroom (no window). Unfinished basement space allows for tons of extra storage and even has some cabinetry. Step outside onto the spacious and freshly-stained deck to enjoy the hot tub and view of the pool. Yard has a mature tree for shade and added privacy. Property has a 1-car detached garage and a storage shed. Don't miss this home - call today for a private showing.
-
2021-08-30soldstatus $154,900
Show marketing remark (1012 chars)
Wow - this beautiful home is gorgeously updated with new siding, a new roof and gutters (2020). You won't want to miss this gem. Step inside the cozy living room with a wood-burning fireplace and lots of space to relax or enjoy guests. Home has a separate, formal dining room which is wonderful for entertaining. Kitchen has tons of counter and cabinet space. Home has a 1st floor bedroom and a full bathroom (renovated with new tile and tub in 2018). Upstairs you will find an additional, oversized bedroom with stunning hardwood floors. Home sits on a full basement that is partially finished with a big family room (could easily be 3rd bedroom (no window). Unfinished basement space allows for tons of extra storage and even has some cabinetry. Step outside onto the spacious and freshly-stained deck to enjoy the hot tub and view of the pool. Yard has a mature tree for shade and added privacy. Property has a 1-car detached garage and a storage shed. Don't miss this home - call today for a private showing.
-
2021-07-19status Pending 1012-char remark
Show marketing remark (1012 chars)
Wow - this beautiful home is gorgeously updated with new siding, a new roof and gutters (2020). You won't want to miss this gem. Step inside the cozy living room with a wood-burning fireplace and lots of space to relax or enjoy guests. Home has a separate, formal dining room which is wonderful for entertaining. Kitchen has tons of counter and cabinet space. Home has a 1st floor bedroom and a full bathroom (renovated with new tile and tub in 2018). Upstairs you will find an additional, oversized bedroom with stunning hardwood floors. Home sits on a full basement that is partially finished with a big family room (could easily be 3rd bedroom (no window). Unfinished basement space allows for tons of extra storage and even has some cabinetry. Step outside onto the spacious and freshly-stained deck to enjoy the hot tub and view of the pool. Yard has a mature tree for shade and added privacy. Property has a 1-car detached garage and a storage shed. Don't miss this home - call today for a private showing.
-
2021-07-15$154,900 Active 1012-char remark
Show marketing remark (1012 chars)
Wow - this beautiful home is gorgeously updated with new siding, a new roof and gutters (2020). You won't want to miss this gem. Step inside the cozy living room with a wood-burning fireplace and lots of space to relax or enjoy guests. Home has a separate, formal dining room which is wonderful for entertaining. Kitchen has tons of counter and cabinet space. Home has a 1st floor bedroom and a full bathroom (renovated with new tile and tub in 2018). Upstairs you will find an additional, oversized bedroom with stunning hardwood floors. Home sits on a full basement that is partially finished with a big family room (could easily be 3rd bedroom (no window). Unfinished basement space allows for tons of extra storage and even has some cabinetry. Step outside onto the spacious and freshly-stained deck to enjoy the hot tub and view of the pool. Yard has a mature tree for shade and added privacy. Property has a 1-car detached garage and a storage shed. Don't miss this home - call today for a private showing.
-
2018-08-07soldstatus $135,000
-
2007-09-06historical
-
2006-11-06$130,000
-
2003-08-05soldstatus $110,000
-
1996-05-23soldstatus $71,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,529 · $127/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,063 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- +$534/yr (+$45/mo · 34.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$1,529
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,112
- − Management
- −$2,112
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable loss
- −$969
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$233
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,264/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrison County
- NCES district ID
- 2102580
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -19.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,744
- Composite
- 22.28/100
- National rank
- #8138
- State rank
- #133 of 165 in KY
Livability — Cynthiana
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #113
- US rank
- #4911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cynthiana, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,748
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,605 people
- By 2030
- 18,361 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 17,685 · -4.9%
- By 2050
- 16,845 · -9.5%
- By 2075
- 14,882 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 12,314 · -33.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.5) · D 25.1% · R 73.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: -21.1pp · 2024: -48.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.5 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+29.1 2008: R+21.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.31%
- Current HPI
- 339.482
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+235.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Contingent — ImagineMLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $239,900 ImagineMLS
- 2021-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $154,900 Public Records
- 2021-08-30 Sold (MLS) $154,900 ImagineMLS
- 2021-07-19 Pending — ImagineMLS
- 2021-07-15 Listed $154,900 ImagineMLS
- 2018-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2007-09-06 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2006-11-06 Listed $130,000 ImagineMLS
- 2003-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 1996-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $71,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,529 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…