CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
11559 South Mountain Rd
C Composite 59.73
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.0/30.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$116,000

11559 South Mountain Rd · Mont Alto, PA 17222
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,044 sqft · Manufactured · 30 Days on market
Built 1972 0.71 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

AFFORDABLE LIVING. .. on the mountain top! Country & rustic describes this doublewide home with fireplace & woodstove options! Charming kitchen, hand cut wood & plank flooring has been used in several rooms. 2-3 bedrooms, laundry room & enclosed porch! Nice sized lot with trees area rear. Good well & septic system. Attached garage & shop. Conventional financing only (pre 76 doublewide)

Key facts

  • 0.71 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1972

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport with 2 spaces (2 total garage/parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic system
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Wood siding; Above-grade living space only (no below-grade area reported); Year built per assessor
  • Exterior features: Tidal water: none

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump(s); Wood burning stove; Ductless/mini-split cooling; Electric heating and hot water
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $116k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $116k).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#656 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Waynesboro Area SD (town): math 36% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #283 of 539 in PA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Waynesboro Area Shs (math 69% / reading 24%, grade D-, #173 of 437 statewide, top 40%, 1,439 students, 47% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $802 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $87k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $114,260 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
8.92%
Cash-on-cash
9.40%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.1%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-2,573
Equity at exit
$17,296
10-year hold
IRR
7.6%
Equity multiple
1.58×
Total profit
$18,723
Equity at exit
$10,030

Cash invested: $32,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17222

Home prices YoY
-17.8%
Active inventory
80
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,348 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$608
Tax from tax record
$154 /mo · $1,845/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$283
Net cashflow
$254

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,026
Max offer price $116,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,000
Closing costs
$3,480
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $116,000 Pending 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $116,000 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $116,000 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $116,000 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $116,000 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $116,000 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-05-30
    days on market $116,000 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-05-26
    price $116,000
  9. 2026-05-26
    status Active
  10. 2026-05-13
    status Pending
  11. 2026-04-24
    listed $124,900 Active
  12. 2026-04-01
    historical $124,900
  13. 2023-06-05
    soldstatus $87,000
  14. 2023-05-29
    soldstatus $87,000 Closed 427-char remark
    Show marketing remark (427 chars)

    AFFORDABLE LIVING. .. on the mountain top! Country & rustic describes this doublewide home with fireplace & woodstove options! Charming kitchen, hand cut wood & plank flooring has been used in several rooms. 2-3 bedrooms, laundry room & enclosed porch! Nice sized lot with trees area rear. Good well & septic system. Attached garage & shop. Conventional financing only (pre 76 doublewide)

  15. 2023-05-01
    historical Active Under Contract 427-char remark
    Show marketing remark (427 chars)

    AFFORDABLE LIVING. .. on the mountain top! Country & rustic describes this doublewide home with fireplace & woodstove options! Charming kitchen, hand cut wood & plank flooring has been used in several rooms. 2-3 bedrooms, laundry room & enclosed porch! Nice sized lot with trees area rear. Good well & septic system. Attached garage & shop. Conventional financing only (pre 76 doublewide)

  16. 2023-04-06
    listed $87,000 Active 427-char remark
    Show marketing remark (427 chars)

    AFFORDABLE LIVING. .. on the mountain top! Country & rustic describes this doublewide home with fireplace & woodstove options! Charming kitchen, hand cut wood & plank flooring has been used in several rooms. 2-3 bedrooms, laundry room & enclosed porch! Nice sized lot with trees area rear. Good well & septic system. Attached garage & shop. Conventional financing only (pre 76 doublewide)

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,845 · $154/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,845 · $154/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,173
− Mortgage interest
−$6,498
− Property taxes
−$1,845
− Insurance
−$580
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,294
− Management
−$1,294
− Depreciation
−$3,375
Taxable income
$1,288
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$309
After-tax cash flow
$2,743/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waynesboro Area SD
NCES district ID
4225110
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$50,445
Composite
37.79/100
National rank
#4342
State rank
#283 of 539 in PA

Livability — Mont Alto

Score
72/100
State rank
#656
US rank
#6404

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,261

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
157,827 people
By 2030
158,933 · +0.7%
By 2040
159,060 · +0.8%
By 2050
155,132 · -1.7%
By 2075
138,545 · -12.2%
By 2100
112,321 · -28.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.0) · D 28.1% · R 71.1%
2008→2024 swing
-10.4pp toward R · 2008: -32.6pp · 2024: -43.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.0 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+32.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -61.58%
Current HPI
284.4035
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+33.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Price Changed $116,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-26 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-13 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-01 Coming Soon $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
  • 2023-05-29 Sold (MLS) $87,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-05-01 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-04-06 Listed $87,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,845 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…