11559 South Mountain Rd · Mont Alto, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$116,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
AFFORDABLE LIVING. .. on the mountain top! Country & rustic describes this doublewide home with fireplace & woodstove options! Charming kitchen, hand cut wood & plank flooring has been used in several rooms. 2-3 bedrooms, laundry room & enclosed porch! Nice sized lot with trees area rear. Good well & septic system. Attached garage & shop. Conventional financing only (pre 76 doublewide)
Key facts
- 0.71 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1972
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport with 2 spaces (2 total garage/parking spaces)
- Utilities: Well water; Septic system
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Wood siding; Above-grade living space only (no below-grade area reported); Year built per assessor
- Exterior features: Tidal water: none
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump(s); Wood burning stove; Ductless/mini-split cooling; Electric heating and hot water
- Interior features: Estimated living area; No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $116k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $116k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#656 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Waynesboro Area SD (town): math 36% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #283 of 539 in PA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Waynesboro Area Shs (math 69% / reading 24%, grade D-, #173 of 437 statewide, top 40%, 1,439 students, 47% FRL).
- Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $802 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $87k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.40%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-2,573
- Equity at exit
- $17,296
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $18,723
- Equity at exit
- $10,030
Cash invested: $32,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17222
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Active inventory
- 80
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,348 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$608
- Tax from tax record
- −$154 /mo · $1,845/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$283
- Net cashflow
- $254
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,000
- Closing costs
- $3,480
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $116,000 Pending 30 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $116,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $116,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $116,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $116,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $116,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $116,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-26price $116,000
-
2026-05-26status Active
-
2026-05-13status Pending
-
2026-04-24$124,900 Active
-
2026-04-01historical $124,900
-
2023-06-05soldstatus $87,000
-
2023-05-29soldstatus $87,000 Closed 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
AFFORDABLE LIVING. .. on the mountain top! Country & rustic describes this doublewide home with fireplace & woodstove options! Charming kitchen, hand cut wood & plank flooring has been used in several rooms. 2-3 bedrooms, laundry room & enclosed porch! Nice sized lot with trees area rear. Good well & septic system. Attached garage & shop. Conventional financing only (pre 76 doublewide)
-
2023-05-01historical Active Under Contract 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
AFFORDABLE LIVING. .. on the mountain top! Country & rustic describes this doublewide home with fireplace & woodstove options! Charming kitchen, hand cut wood & plank flooring has been used in several rooms. 2-3 bedrooms, laundry room & enclosed porch! Nice sized lot with trees area rear. Good well & septic system. Attached garage & shop. Conventional financing only (pre 76 doublewide)
-
2023-04-06$87,000 Active 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
AFFORDABLE LIVING. .. on the mountain top! Country & rustic describes this doublewide home with fireplace & woodstove options! Charming kitchen, hand cut wood & plank flooring has been used in several rooms. 2-3 bedrooms, laundry room & enclosed porch! Nice sized lot with trees area rear. Good well & septic system. Attached garage & shop. Conventional financing only (pre 76 doublewide)
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,845 · $154/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,845 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,173
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,498
- − Property taxes
- −$1,845
- − Insurance
- −$580
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,294
- − Management
- −$1,294
- − Depreciation
- −$3,375
- Taxable income
- $1,288
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$309
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,743/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waynesboro Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4225110
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,445
- Composite
- 37.79/100
- National rank
- #4342
- State rank
- #283 of 539 in PA
Livability — Mont Alto
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #656
- US rank
- #6404
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,261
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 157,827 people
- By 2030
- 158,933 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 159,060 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 155,132 · -1.7%
- By 2075
- 138,545 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 112,321 · -28.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.0) · D 28.1% · R 71.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -32.6pp · 2024: -43.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.0 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+32.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.58%
- Current HPI
- 284.4035
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+33.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $116,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-26 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-13 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-01 Coming Soon $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
- 2023-05-29 Sold (MLS) $87,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-05-01 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-04-06 Listed $87,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2026): $1,845 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…