7729 Charlesmont Rd · Dundalk, MD
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 61.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LOVELY INSIDE GROUP WITH PLENTY OF PARKING TO REAR. HOUSE BACKS UP TO A FIELD. HOME RECENTLY UPDATED WITH NEW WINDOWS, NEW PAINT, BEAUTIFUL HARDWOOD FLOORS THRU OUT. FLUSH IN BASEMENT. THIS IS A MUST SEE TO BELIEVE.
Key facts
- Brick exterior
- Wood floors
- Recessed lighting
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total below-grade finished area: 234 (assessor); Above-grade finished area: 1,080 (assessor); Ownership interest: Ground Rent
- Financial info: Ground rent exists; paid semi-annually; Annual ground rent listed among income/expense items
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking; Other parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling fuel; Natural gas heating and hot water
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Estimated year built; Property condition: Excellent
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Water-oriented property on a canal
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Built-in range; Oven (single); Stove; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Icemaker; Stainless steel appliances; Exhaust fan; Pantry / table space in kitchen
- Basement: Fully finished basement with outside entrance
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate plank; Wood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s); Hot water heated by natural gas
- Interior features: Attic; Combination kitchen/dining; Floor plan - Traditional; Kitchen with table space; Pantry; Recessed lighting; Ceiling fan(s); Brick and block walls
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $30 ($364/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (17.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $207k (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#16 in MD, #510 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 236 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $165k; list at $250k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.52%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $201,042
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7723 Charlesmont Rd | 0.01mi | 3/1.0 | 1,350 (+3%) | 3mo | $172,000 | $127 | 92 |
| 7719 Charlesmont Rd | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,196 (-9%) | 7mo | $195,000 | $163 | 73 |
| 3125 Vulcan Rd | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,386 (+6%) | 7mo | $205,000 | $148 | 65 |
| 7842 Saint Boniface Ln | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,319 (+0%) | 7mo | $170,000 | $129 | 59 |
| 8055 Park Haven Rd | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,466 (+12%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $119 | 58 |
| 8146 Del Haven Rd | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,424 (+8%) | 6mo | $227,900 | $160 | 58 |
| 8142 Del Haven Rd | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (-13%) | 3mo | $171,000 | $149 | 52 |
| 1617 Lynch Rd | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,272 (-3%) | 11mo | $255,000 | $200 | 50 |
| 8104 Mid Haven Rd | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (-13%) | 13mo | $206,000 | $180 | 49 |
| 1611 Gray Haven Ct | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,440 (+10%) | 10mo | $220,000 | $153 | 48 |
| 8037 N Boundary Rd | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (-8%) | 13mo | $230,566 | $190 | 48 |
| 7904 Saint Monica Dr | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (-13%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $114 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-44,675
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- -18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-60,048
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21222
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 236
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,071 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$191 /mo · $2,298/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$435
- Net cashflow
- $30
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3413 Wallford Dr Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1016 | $2,000 | $1.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 3221 Wallford Dr Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,750 | $1.74 | 3d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3221 Wallford Dr Unit 3221 Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,750 | $1.74 | 5d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3314 Wallford Dr Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1258 | $1,850 | $1.47 | 15d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 3427 North Point Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $2,250 | $2.23 | 20d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3317 Belsford Ct Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1258 | $1,950 | $1.55 | 11d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 8146 Del Haven Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $2,700 | $1.90 | 16d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 7412 Saint Patricia Ct Dundalk, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $2,800 | $2.73 | 18d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4004 St Monica Dr Unit 1 Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,895 | $1.85 | 5d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4004 Saint Monica Dr Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,925 | $1.88 | 5d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1760 Langport Ave Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,795 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 7 Robinson Ave Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,600 | $2.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2711 Gray Manor Ct Unit NA Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1570 | $2,500 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 414 Westfield Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $2,300 | $2.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 7860 Saint Claire Ln Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $2,200 | $2.15 | 5d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 7917 Wise Ave Dundalk, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 7860 Saint Bridget Ln Dundalk, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1216 | $2,300 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 7962 Kavanagh Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $1,947 | $1.90 | 15d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 7930 Kavanagh Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $2,195 | $2.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 11 Seabright Ave Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,874 | $1.98 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1930 Frames Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $2,099 | $1.82 | 5d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 7863 Saint Fabian Ln Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,950 | $1.37 | 5d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1964 Frames Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1528 | $2,400 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 7851 Saint Fabian Ln Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,595 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2020 Dineen Dr Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1258 | $1,850 | $1.47 | 5d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1925 Jasmine Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $1,825 | $1.78 | 11d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 7901 Stratman Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,647 | $1.85 | 2d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2004 Larkhall Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,500 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2025 Kelmore Rd Unit 1 Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $2,000 | $1.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2032 Kelmore Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,700 | $1.66 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1907 Penhall Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $2,300 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 7508 Ives Ln Dundalk, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,750 | $1.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 8499 Lynch Rd Dundalk, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $2,202 | $2.32 | 1d | 32 | 1.37mi |
| 849 Loalan Ave Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $1,850 | $1.81 | 15d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1915 Merritt Blvd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1208 | $2,500 | $2.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$249,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,298 · $191/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,511 · $209/mo
- Expected delta
- +$213/yr (+$18/mo · 9.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,857
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$2,298
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,989
- − Management
- −$1,989
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$3,935
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$944
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,309/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400120
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,746
- Composite
- 23.17/100
- National rank
- #7948
- State rank
- #11 of 24 in MD
Livability — Dundalk
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #510
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dundalk, MD
- County
- Baltimore County · 769,527 people
- City population
- 59,407
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 59,407
- Household income
- $64,141
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2566.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 885,518 people
- By 2030
- 909,272 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 951,547 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 990,955 · +11.9%
- By 2075
- 1,086,411 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 1,135,078 · +28.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 18% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 7% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -251.44%
- Current HPI
- 228.4218
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.09%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+524.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $249,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2007-07-12 Sold (MLS) $165,000 MRIS
- 2007-05-29 Delisted — MRIS
- 2007-04-05 Listed $175,900 MRIS
- 2000-08-29 Delisted — MRIS
- 2000-02-23 Listed — MRIS
- 1982-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,298 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…