317 W Hamilton St · Morrill, NE
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.17%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Built 1935
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential single-family home
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; Asphalt roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Interior features: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $126 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($756 rent vs $75k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#226 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Morrill Public Schools (rural): math 34% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #216 of 245 in NE (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 33 units permitted in Scotts Bluff County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- Scotts Bluff County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $59k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.17%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $36,864
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 W Charles St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 625 (+8%) | 17mo | $40,000 | $64 | 65 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.77% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.96×
- Total profit
- $20,112
- Equity at exit
- $37,018
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.70×
- Total profit
- $56,669
- Equity at exit
- $59,756
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 69358
- Home prices YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $756 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $568/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$159
- Net cashflow
- $126
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-06-18$75,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $568 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,298 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- +$730/yr (+$61/mo · 128.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate 17% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,075
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$568
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$726
- − Management
- −$726
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $297
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$71
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,435/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morrill Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3100097
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,812
- Composite
- 36.2/100
- National rank
- #9447
- State rank
- #216 of 245 in NE
Livability — Morrill
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #226
- US rank
- #8088
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Morrill, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,976
Population outlook (Scotts Bluff County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,740 people
- By 2030
- 35,229 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 34,160 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 33,656 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 35,257 · -1.4%
- By 2100
- 39,158 · +9.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Scotts Bluff
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.7) · D 25.6% · R 73.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.0pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -47.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.7 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+48.9 2012: R+37.7 2008: R+33.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.77%
- Current HPI
- 200.6174
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+134.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $75,000 WNBOR
- 2024-02-29 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 2024-02-29 Sold (MLS) $59,000 WNBOR
- 2024-01-24 Pending — WNBOR
- 2024-01-17 Relisted — WNBOR
- 2024-01-05 Pending — WNBOR
- 2023-12-15 Listed $59,000 WNBOR
- 2000-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $568 · -6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…