34687 Deck St Unit E-159 · Long Neck, DE
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step into a world of endless possibilities with this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home, offering a generous 1,656 sq ft of space just waiting for your personal touch. Nestled in the heart of Bayside, this property is more than just a house; it’s a canvas for your dream coastal lifestyle. Experience the joy of vaulted ceilings that create an airy atmosphere, allowing natural light to flood the living spaces. The open-concept design seamlessly connects the living area to the screened-in porch, making it the perfect spot to unwind with a book or enjoy your favorite beverage after a day spent on the bay.
Key facts
- Open-concept design
- Screened-in porch
- Fenced yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $159k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $812 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
- Recommended offer: $149k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 4.1% in Long Neck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#30 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Indian River School District (rural): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #14 of 26 in DE (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Long Neck Elementary School (math 22% / reading 35%, grade F, #57 of 105 statewide, top 55%, 693 students, 0% FRL); Millsboro Middle School (math 24% / reading 42%, grade F, #14 of 36 statewide, top 37%, 771 students, 0% FRL); Sussex Central High School (math 23% / reading 42%, grade F, #24 of 40 statewide, top 59%, 2,039 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 999 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.88%
- DSCR
- 1.97
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $193,205
- List price
- $159,000
- Delta
- -17.70%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34619 Sloop Loop | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,596 (-4%) | 4mo | $239,000 | $150 | 77 |
| 34695 Deck St Unit E-160 | 0.01mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,442 (-13%) | 0mo | $110,000 | $76 | 72 |
| 28220 Sloop Ave | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,792 (+8%) | 3mo | $280,000 | $156 | 70 |
| 27297 Waters Edge Rd | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-5%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $105 | 70 |
| 34648 West Hbr | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,643 (-1%) | 0mo | $250,000 | $152 | 67 |
| 34644 W Harbor Dr #45061 | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 | 1,716 (+4%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $105 | 67 |
| 34488 Easy St Unit E-810 | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-12%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $130 | 63 |
| 34840 W Harbor Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (+9%) | 2mo | $315,000 | $175 | 63 |
| 27012 Harbor Rd #876 | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,792 (+8%) | 2mo | $219,000 | $122 | 54 |
| 26545 Woodchuck Ln Unit E-862 | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-12%) | 2mo | $159,000 | $109 | 53 |
| 34104 Meadow Ln | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-12%) | 0mo | $126,000 | $87 | 49 |
| 27413 Grove Circle Rd #39 | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,444 (-13%) | 4mo | $190,000 | $132 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $25,974
- Equity at exit
- $23,707
- IRR
- 23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.01×
- Total profit
- $89,340
- Equity at exit
- $13,747
Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 41 active · 27 under contract
- Months of supply
- 7.5 mo (13%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $187,500 ($126/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 82 d
- This list price
- 27% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -7.6% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 19966
- Home prices YoY
- -6.4%
- Active inventory
- 999
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,418 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$199 /mo · $2,385/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$508
- Net cashflow
- $812
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $922 | -5% $867 | +0% $812 | +5% $757 | +10% $702 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $621 | -5% $716 | +0% $812 | +5% $907 | +10% $1,003 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $892 | -0.5pp $852 | base $812 | +0.5pp $771 | +1.0pp $729 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,750
- Closing costs
- $4,770
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35829 S Gloucester Cir Unit 35829 Long Neck, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,995 | $1.33 | 62d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 35805 S Gloucester Cir Millsboro, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $2,300 | $1.10 | 93d | 1 | 0.88mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Property in Federal Flood Zone AE6Accessible features include elevator and main-level rampPets allowed (dogs and cats)
- Financial info
- Ground rent exists with remaining term and annual ground lease (land lease) obligations
- HOA & community
- Community in-ground pool
Exterior
- Parking
- Asphalt driveway with 4 driveway spaces (4 total garage/parking spaces)Driveway parking
- Security
- Insulated sliding glass door(s)
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer100 amp electric service
- Home design
- Manufactured double-wide homeSingle-story (1 level)Land lease ownership (ground rent exists, years remaining noted)Assessor-listed year builtEntry accessible with ramp
- Construction
- Vinyl sidingArchitectural shingle roofPillar/post/pier foundationNot winterized
- Exterior features
- Deck(s)Porch(es)Screened porchSplit-rail fencingStreet lightsShedPrivate blacktop road access
Interior
- Kitchen
- Oven (self-cleaning)Range hoodIcemakerExtra refrigerator/freezerDishwasher
- Bedrooms
- Three main-level bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetLuxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms
- Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling
- 90% efficient forced air heatingPropane (leased) heating fuelCentral air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features
- Open floor planCombination dining/living areaFamily room off kitchenCrown moldingsCeiling fan(s)Walk-in closet(s)Window treatmentsStall showerDrywall walls/ceilingsElevatorEntry level bedroom
- Laundry & utility
- WasherDryer (electric)Main-floor laundryElectric water heater
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-07-01days on market $159,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $159,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $159,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $159,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $159,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $159,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $159,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $159,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $159,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $159,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $159,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $159,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-04-14$159,000 Active 2186-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,022
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,906
- − Property taxes
- −$2,385
- − Insurance
- −$795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,322
- − Management
- −$2,322
- − Depreciation
- −$4,625
- Taxable income
- $7,666
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,840
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,901/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a good condition with some cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen backsplash — existing backsplash could be replaced for a fresh look
- Minor bathroom vanity — existing vanity could be replaced for a more modern look
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance ↑
- Resale replace kitchen backsplash — A new backsplash can update the kitchen and add value ↑
- Resale replace bathroom vanity — A new vanity can enhance the bathroom's appeal and functionality ↑
- Both landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can improve curb appeal and add value ↑
- Rental HVAC maintenance — A clean and efficient HVAC system can attract tenants and reduce utility costs ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000680
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,838
- Composite
- 28.99/100
- National rank
- #6620
- State rank
- #14 of 26 in DE
Livability — Long Neck
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #8720
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Long Neck, DE
- County
- Sussex County · 248,853 people
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,884
- Household income
- $78,305
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5% of renters
Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,853 people
- By 2030
- 264,464 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 290,980 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 311,259 · +25.1%
- By 2075
- 352,488 · +41.6%
- By 2100
- 367,406 · +47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sussex
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.26%
- Current HPI
- 268.5609
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Listed $159,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…