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454 Center St
D+ Composite 49.55
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +9.6/30.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0

$120,000

454 Center St · Adams, WI 53910
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · Other · 452 Days on market
Built 1951 6,534 sqft lot $120/sqft · 23% below area Est $156k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A one level ranch in the City of Adams. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath ready to move in! Many new updates from new roof 2024, furnace, most windows and hot water heater. Beautiful, natural hardwood floors throughout most of the home. Relax in the large closed in front porch after a long day. 1 car garage is more for storage of lawn tools, ect. Basement has 2 partially finished rooms and a small bathroom with just a toilet. A great corner lot and location, close to shopping, parks and schools.

Key facts

  • Close to parks
  • Close to shopping
  • New roof

Tags

NEW ROOFNATURAL HARDWOOD FLOORSLARGE CLOSED IN FRONT PORCHCORNER LOTCLOSE TO SHOPPINGCLOSE TO PARKS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-82 ($-983/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $106k (12.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $89k (25.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (25.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.5% in Adams — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#611 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Adams-Friendship Area School District (rural): math 22% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #331 of 342 in WI (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 126 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Adams County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 452 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $29k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $93k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $88,979 (25.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 452 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
5.47%
Cash-on-cash
-2.93%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$155,886
List price
$120,000
Delta
-23.02%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.2%
Equity multiple
2.79×
Total profit
$60,122
Equity at exit
$108,106
10-year hold
IRR
19.9%
Equity multiple
6.39×
Total profit
$181,127
Equity at exit
$233,134

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 53910

Home prices YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
30
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$890 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$106 /mo · $1,267/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$187
Net cashflow
$-82

Break-even live

Break-even rent $994
Max offer price $105,524
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 452 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 451 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 450 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 449 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $120,000 Active 447 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 446 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $120,000 Active 444 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 443 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 442 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 441 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 437 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 436 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 435 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 434 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 433 DOM
  16. 2026-05-05
    status Active 485-char remark
    Show marketing remark (485 chars)

    A one level ranch in the City of Adams. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath ready to move in! Many new updates from new roof 2024, furnace, most windows and hot water heater. Beautiful, natural hardwood floors throughout most of the home. Relax in the large closed in front porch after a long day. 1 car garage is more for storage of lawn tools, ect. Basement has 2 partially finished rooms and a small bathroom with just a toilet. A great corner lot and location, close to shopping, parks and schools.

  17. 2026-03-25
    historical Offer Show 485-char remark
    Show marketing remark (485 chars)

    A one level ranch in the City of Adams. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath ready to move in! Many new updates from new roof 2024, furnace, most windows and hot water heater. Beautiful, natural hardwood floors throughout most of the home. Relax in the large closed in front porch after a long day. 1 car garage is more for storage of lawn tools, ect. Basement has 2 partially finished rooms and a small bathroom with just a toilet. A great corner lot and location, close to shopping, parks and schools.

  18. 2026-03-23
    status Active 485-char remark
    Show marketing remark (485 chars)

    A one level ranch in the City of Adams. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath ready to move in! Many new updates from new roof 2024, furnace, most windows and hot water heater. Beautiful, natural hardwood floors throughout most of the home. Relax in the large closed in front porch after a long day. 1 car garage is more for storage of lawn tools, ect. Basement has 2 partially finished rooms and a small bathroom with just a toilet. A great corner lot and location, close to shopping, parks and schools.

  19. 2026-03-22
    historical 485-char remark
    Show marketing remark (485 chars)

    A one level ranch in the City of Adams. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath ready to move in! Many new updates from new roof 2024, furnace, most windows and hot water heater. Beautiful, natural hardwood floors throughout most of the home. Relax in the large closed in front porch after a long day. 1 car garage is more for storage of lawn tools, ect. Basement has 2 partially finished rooms and a small bathroom with just a toilet. A great corner lot and location, close to shopping, parks and schools.

  20. 2025-12-01
    price $120,000 485-char remark
    Show marketing remark (485 chars)

    A one level ranch in the City of Adams. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath ready to move in! Many new updates from new roof 2024, furnace, most windows and hot water heater. Beautiful, natural hardwood floors throughout most of the home. Relax in the large closed in front porch after a long day. 1 car garage is more for storage of lawn tools, ect. Basement has 2 partially finished rooms and a small bathroom with just a toilet. A great corner lot and location, close to shopping, parks and schools.

  21. 2025-10-15
    price $132,500 485-char remark
    Show marketing remark (485 chars)

    A one level ranch in the City of Adams. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath ready to move in! Many new updates from new roof 2024, furnace, most windows and hot water heater. Beautiful, natural hardwood floors throughout most of the home. Relax in the large closed in front porch after a long day. 1 car garage is more for storage of lawn tools, ect. Basement has 2 partially finished rooms and a small bathroom with just a toilet. A great corner lot and location, close to shopping, parks and schools.

  22. 2025-09-17
    status Active 485-char remark
    Show marketing remark (485 chars)

    A one level ranch in the City of Adams. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath ready to move in! Many new updates from new roof 2024, furnace, most windows and hot water heater. Beautiful, natural hardwood floors throughout most of the home. Relax in the large closed in front porch after a long day. 1 car garage is more for storage of lawn tools, ect. Basement has 2 partially finished rooms and a small bathroom with just a toilet. A great corner lot and location, close to shopping, parks and schools.

  23. 2025-09-06
    historical Offer Show 485-char remark
    Show marketing remark (485 chars)

    A one level ranch in the City of Adams. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath ready to move in! Many new updates from new roof 2024, furnace, most windows and hot water heater. Beautiful, natural hardwood floors throughout most of the home. Relax in the large closed in front porch after a long day. 1 car garage is more for storage of lawn tools, ect. Basement has 2 partially finished rooms and a small bathroom with just a toilet. A great corner lot and location, close to shopping, parks and schools.

  24. 2025-08-11
    price $135,000 485-char remark
    Show marketing remark (485 chars)

    A one level ranch in the City of Adams. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath ready to move in! Many new updates from new roof 2024, furnace, most windows and hot water heater. Beautiful, natural hardwood floors throughout most of the home. Relax in the large closed in front porch after a long day. 1 car garage is more for storage of lawn tools, ect. Basement has 2 partially finished rooms and a small bathroom with just a toilet. A great corner lot and location, close to shopping, parks and schools.

  25. 2025-07-04
    price $139,900 485-char remark
    Show marketing remark (485 chars)

    A one level ranch in the City of Adams. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath ready to move in! Many new updates from new roof 2024, furnace, most windows and hot water heater. Beautiful, natural hardwood floors throughout most of the home. Relax in the large closed in front porch after a long day. 1 car garage is more for storage of lawn tools, ect. Basement has 2 partially finished rooms and a small bathroom with just a toilet. A great corner lot and location, close to shopping, parks and schools.

  26. 2025-06-12
    price $145,000 485-char remark
    Show marketing remark (485 chars)

    A one level ranch in the City of Adams. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath ready to move in! Many new updates from new roof 2024, furnace, most windows and hot water heater. Beautiful, natural hardwood floors throughout most of the home. Relax in the large closed in front porch after a long day. 1 car garage is more for storage of lawn tools, ect. Basement has 2 partially finished rooms and a small bathroom with just a toilet. A great corner lot and location, close to shopping, parks and schools.

  27. 2025-03-22
    listed $149,000 Active 485-char remark
    Show marketing remark (485 chars)

    A one level ranch in the City of Adams. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath ready to move in! Many new updates from new roof 2024, furnace, most windows and hot water heater. Beautiful, natural hardwood floors throughout most of the home. Relax in the large closed in front porch after a long day. 1 car garage is more for storage of lawn tools, ect. Basement has 2 partially finished rooms and a small bathroom with just a toilet. A great corner lot and location, close to shopping, parks and schools.

  28. 2021-11-12
    soldstatus $93,000
  29. 2013-09-30
    soldstatus $36,000
  30. 2002-01-07
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,267 · $106/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,744 · $145/mo
Expected delta
+$476/yr (+$40/mo · 37.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,677
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,267
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$854
− Management
−$854
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable loss
−$3,111
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$747
After-tax cash flow
$-237/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Adams-Friendship Area School District
NCES district ID
5500060
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,165
Composite
17.22/100
National rank
#9100
State rank
#331 of 342 in WI

Livability — Adams

Score
63/100
State rank
#611
US rank
#15835

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Adams, WI
Population (ZIP)
3,618

Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,560 people
By 2030
17,523 · -5.6%
By 2040
14,888 · -19.8%
By 2050
12,359 · -33.4%
By 2075
8,662 · -53.3%
By 2100
6,000 · -67.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Portuguese 6% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Vietnam, Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Adams

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.8) · D 34.6% · R 60.4% · Other 5.0%
2008→2024 swing
-44.2pp toward R · 2008: 18.3pp · 2024: -25.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.8 2020: R+25.7 2016: R+21.8 2012: D+8.7 2008: D+18.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.36%
Current HPI
259.4096
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+200.0% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Relisted SCWMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Contingent SCWMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Relisted SCWMLS
  • 2026-03-22 Listing Removed SCWMLS
  • 2025-12-01 Price Changed $120,000 SCWMLS
  • 2025-10-15 Price Changed $132,500 SCWMLS
  • 2025-09-17 Relisted SCWMLS
  • 2025-09-06 Contingent SCWMLS
  • 2025-08-11 Price Changed $135,000 SCWMLS
  • 2025-07-04 Price Changed $139,900 SCWMLS
  • 2025-06-12 Price Changed $145,000 SCWMLS
  • 2025-03-22 Listed $149,000 SCWMLS
  • 2021-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
  • 2013-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
  • 2002-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,267 · -3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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