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1814 Elston St
B+ Composite 78.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,000

1814 Elston St · Michigan City, IN 46360
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,896 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1905 5,670 sqft lot $57/sqft · 35% below area Est $167k · 35% under ↓ 43% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice 4 bedroom bath and a half on Elston Street in Michigan City. Two bedrooms plus a den on the main floor along with a living and dining room and an all new kitchen with new stainless appliances. Upstairs has 2 bedrooms and a rec room between and the main bedroom has a half bath. New hvac and all new plumbing. Partially fenced yard and 1.5 car garage with a new garage door and opener. Come take a look.

Key facts

  • Lake michigan access
  • Full basement
  • Sandy beaches

Tags

LAKE MICHIGAN ACCESSSANDY BEACHESFULL BASEMENTOVERSIZED GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is vacant

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: One and one-half stories; Built in 1905
  • Exterior features: Neighborhood view; Back yard fencing; Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Microwave; Gas range
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Three additional bedrooms (Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3, Bedroom 4); Bonus room
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Other interior features; Full unfinished basement; 9 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $109k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $514 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 2.7% in Michigan City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#15 in IN, #1,317 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities D-.
  • Michigan City Area Schools (urban): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #262 of 301 in IN (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 371 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 216 units permitted in LaPorte County in 2024 (75 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • LaPorte County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $105,730 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
11.95%
Cash-on-cash
20.20%
DSCR
1.90
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$167,201
List price
$109,000
Delta
-34.81%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1601 Tennessee St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,840 (-3%) 6mo $80,000 $43 80
216 May Ave 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,769 (-7%) 1mo $77,000 $44 72
1210 Wabash St 0.38mi 3/2.5 1,816 (-4%) 4mo $150,000 $83 68
1310 Buffalo St 0.31mi 3/2.0 2,020 (+6%) 9mo $152,500 $75 65
105 Belden St 0.48mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,968 (+4%) 2mo $210,000 $107 63
1604-1608 Franklin St 0.39mi 3/2.5 2,000 (+6%) 10mo $180,000 $90 61
108 Hamilton Pl 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,776 (-6%) 8mo $102,500 $58 56
820 Elston St 0.54mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,086 (+10%) 0mo $203,900 $98 51
211 E Fulton St 0.51mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,051 (+8%) 3mo $310,000 $151 51
225 Detroit St 0.58mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,795 (-5%) 9mo $219,000 $122 50
422 Douglas Ave 0.75mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,768 (-7%) 8mo $199,900 $113 41
1210 Maple St 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,622 (-14%) 10mo $199,500 $123 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
1.76×
Total profit
$23,339
Equity at exit
$16,252
10-year hold
IRR
29.5%
Equity multiple
4.28×
Total profit
$100,120
Equity at exit
$9,424

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46360

Rents YoY
9.7%
Active inventory
371
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,565 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$572
Tax from tax record
$105 /mo · $1,263/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$329
Net cashflow
$514

Break-even live

Break-even rent $914
Max offer price $109,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,250
Closing costs
$3,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1303 Buffalo St Unit 1 Michigan City, IN 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,700 $1.00 43d 1 0.33mi
416 E 9th St Unit 2 Michigan City, IN 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,325 $0.95 43d 1 0.84mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $109,000 Active 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,000 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,000 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,000 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,000 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $109,000 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,000 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $109,000 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,000 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,000 Active 35 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 467-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $109,000 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,000 Active 30 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,000 Active 29 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,000 Active 28 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 27 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,000 Active 26 DOM
  18. 2026-05-03
    listed $129,000 Active 447-char remark
  19. 2026-04-07
    status Pending
  20. 2026-04-07
    historical
  21. 2026-03-18
    status Active
  22. 2026-03-06
    status Pending
  23. 2026-02-18
    price $139,000
  24. 2026-01-21
    price $150,000
  25. 2025-12-17
    listed $160,000 Active
  26. 2023-06-30
    soldstatus $185,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (407 chars)

    Nice 4 bedroom bath and a half on Elston Street in Michigan City. Two bedrooms plus a den on the main floor along with a living and dining room and an all new kitchen with new stainless appliances. Upstairs has 2 bedrooms and a rec room between and the main bedroom has a half bath. New hvac and all new plumbing. Partially fenced yard and 1.5 car garage with a new garage door and opener. Come take a look.

  27. 2023-05-02
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (407 chars)

    Nice 4 bedroom bath and a half on Elston Street in Michigan City. Two bedrooms plus a den on the main floor along with a living and dining room and an all new kitchen with new stainless appliances. Upstairs has 2 bedrooms and a rec room between and the main bedroom has a half bath. New hvac and all new plumbing. Partially fenced yard and 1.5 car garage with a new garage door and opener. Come take a look.

  28. 2023-04-19
    listed $189,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (407 chars)

    Nice 4 bedroom bath and a half on Elston Street in Michigan City. Two bedrooms plus a den on the main floor along with a living and dining room and an all new kitchen with new stainless appliances. Upstairs has 2 bedrooms and a rec room between and the main bedroom has a half bath. New hvac and all new plumbing. Partially fenced yard and 1.5 car garage with a new garage door and opener. Come take a look.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,263 · $105/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,263 · $105/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,777
− Mortgage interest
−$6,106
− Property taxes
−$1,263
− Insurance
−$545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,502
− Management
−$1,502
− Depreciation
−$3,171
Taxable income
$4,688
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,125
After-tax cash flow
$5,041/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Michigan City Area Schools
NCES district ID
1806570
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$42,629
Composite
21.76/100
National rank
#8257
State rank
#262 of 301 in IN

Livability — Michigan City

Score
81/100
State rank
#15
US rank
#1317

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Michigan City, IN
County
La Porte County · 88,580 people
City population
43,817
Metro
Michigan City-La Porte, IN
Population (ZIP)
43,817
Household income
$59,266
Rent vs Own
31.8% rent · 68.2% own
Severe rent burden
1152.0

Population outlook (LaPorte County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
109,757 people
By 2030
108,288 · -1.3%
By 2040
105,070 · -4.3%
By 2050
102,330 · -6.8%
By 2075
97,009 · -11.6%
By 2100
86,459 · -21.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · LaPorte

2024 margin
R (+14.1) · D 42.1% · R 56.2% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-19.1pp toward R · 2008: 5.0pp · 2024: -14.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.1 2020: R+7.2 2016: R+6.4 2012: D+12.6 2008: D+5.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -210.27%
Current HPI
206.0882
Rent YoY
▲ 9.72%
Metro
Michigan City-La Porte, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-42.6% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Price Changed $109,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $119,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-03 Listed $129,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-18 Relisted NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-06 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $139,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-21 Price Changed $150,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-17 Listed $160,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-30 Sold (MLS) $185,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-02 Contingent NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-19 Listed $189,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+9.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,263 · +16.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…