19001 Indian Rd · Templeton, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 46.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$171,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Imagine the instant equity with just a few updates! Move-in ready home just waiting on the next owner to update! Welcome to 19001 Indian Road in the Indian Woods subdivision of South Prince George. This 2-story colonial home consists of 3 Bedrooms & 2.5 Bathrooms on 2,496 sqft of living space. From the full front porch, you enter into the foyer and are greeted with laminate floors leading into the family room that has a propane gas log fireplace and direct walk-out access to the screened porch. The eat-in kitchen features granite counters, an oversized pantry for storage & direct access to the formal dining room. The first level of the home is completed with a 24 x 24 fully finished garage space with its own heating/cooling system, this space can be used for recreation, entertaining or additional living space. The second floor has carpeted floors throughout & the laundry area directly off of the center hall. The master suite has 2 closets with an ensuite bathroom. This level is completed with 2 additional 12 x 13 bedrooms and a shared hallway bathroom. The exterior of the home is highlighted with 4+ wooded acres to the rear and a private fenced backyard. Easy access to I95 & I295.
Key facts
- 5 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2000
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with direct access; 2 garage spaces; Driveway parking; Off-street parking (unpaved)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Two-story home; Resale property
- Construction: Built with frame construction and vinyl siding; Drywall interior; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Year-built recorded as actual
- Exterior features: Front porch (screened); Porch; Patio space; Storage shed; Unpaved driveway; Partially fenced backyard with vinyl fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Disposal; Granite countertops; Eat-in layout; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8
- Flooring: Partially carpeted; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; Second-floor full bath with tub and shower; Half bath on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump with electric heating; Zoned heating; Zoned cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Dining area and separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Fireplace with stone surround; Granite counters; Primary bedroom with bath; Pantry; Walk-in closets; Bathroom rough-in
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $171k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $171k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 39/100 on livability (#579 in VA) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Prince George County Public School District (rural): math 67% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #16 of 131 in VA (top 12%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 72 units permitted in Prince George County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Prince George County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 46% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.65%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $519,168
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1392 Noblin Ct | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,712 (+9%) | 4mo | $565,000 | $208 | 57 |
| 19423 Indian Rd | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 2,265 (-9%) | 2mo | $389,000 | $172 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-13,312
- Equity at exit
- $25,497
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $7,088
- Equity at exit
- $14,785
Cash invested: $47,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23805
- Home prices YoY
- -10.6%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,829 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$897
- Tax from tax record
- −$252 /mo · $3,024/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$384
- Net cashflow
- $225
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $322 | -5% $274 | +0% $225 | +5% $177 | +10% $128 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $81 | -5% $153 | +0% $225 | +5% $298 | +10% $370 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $311 | -0.5pp $269 | base $225 | +0.5pp $181 | +1.0pp $136 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,750
- Closing costs
- $5,130
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $171,000 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $171,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 242-char remark
-
2026-06-02$171,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,024 · $252/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,024 · $252/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 46% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,953
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,579
- − Property taxes
- −$3,024
- − Insurance
- −$855
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,756
- − Management
- −$1,756
- − Depreciation
- −$4,975
- Taxable income
- $8
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,701/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Prince George County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103090
- Math proficiency
- 67% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,354
- Composite
- 61.44/100
- National rank
- #759
- State rank
- #16 of 131 in VA
Livability — Templeton
- Score
- 39/100
- State rank
- #579
- US rank
- #27416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Petersburg City · 21,408 people
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,408
- Household income
- $60,807
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 719.0
Population outlook (Prince George County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,946 people
- By 2030
- 48,155 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 54,455 · +21.2%
- By 2050
- 61,115 · +36.0%
- By 2075
- 78,510 · +74.7%
- By 2100
- 85,572 · +90.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Hungarian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Prince George
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 38.9% · R 60.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+17.2 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+9.8 2008: R+10.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.37%
- Current HPI
- 426.599
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-27.8% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $171,000 CVRMLS
- 2026-05-18 Pending — CVRMLS
- 2026-04-15 Pending — CVRMLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $289,000 CVRMLS
- 2019-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
- 2019-04-19 Sold (MLS) $220,000 CVRMLS
- 2019-03-20 Pending — CVRMLS
- 2019-03-06 Price Changed $220,000 CVRMLS
- 2019-02-26 Relisted — CVRMLS
- 2019-02-23 Pending — CVRMLS
- 2019-02-11 Price Changed $225,000 CVRMLS
- 2018-12-20 Relisted — CVRMLS
- 2018-12-20 Listing Removed — CVRMLS
- 2018-12-12 Listed $230,000 CVRMLS
- 2005-11-30 Listing Removed — CVRMLS
- 2005-11-30 Listing Removed — CVRMLS
- 2005-08-08 Listed $237,000 CVRMLS
- 2005-08-08 Listed $237,000 CVRMLS
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,024 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…