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19001 Indian Rd
C- Composite 53.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • Schools +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$171,000

19001 Indian Rd · Templeton, VA 23805
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,496 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 2000 5.00 ac lot ↓ 28% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Imagine the instant equity with just a few updates! Move-in ready home just waiting on the next owner to update! Welcome to 19001 Indian Road in the Indian Woods subdivision of South Prince George. This 2-story colonial home consists of 3 Bedrooms & 2.5 Bathrooms on 2,496 sqft of living space. From the full front porch, you enter into the foyer and are greeted with laminate floors leading into the family room that has a propane gas log fireplace and direct walk-out access to the screened porch. The eat-in kitchen features granite counters, an oversized pantry for storage & direct access to the formal dining room. The first level of the home is completed with a 24 x 24 fully finished garage space with its own heating/cooling system, this space can be used for recreation, entertaining or additional living space. The second floor has carpeted floors throughout & the laundry area directly off of the center hall. The master suite has 2 closets with an ensuite bathroom. This level is completed with 2 additional 12 x 13 bedrooms and a shared hallway bathroom. The exterior of the home is highlighted with 4+ wooded acres to the rear and a private fenced backyard. Easy access to I95 & I295.

Key facts

  • 5 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2000

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with direct access; 2 garage spaces; Driveway parking; Off-street parking (unpaved)
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Two-story home; Resale property
  • Construction: Built with frame construction and vinyl siding; Drywall interior; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Year-built recorded as actual
  • Exterior features: Front porch (screened); Porch; Patio space; Storage shed; Unpaved driveway; Partially fenced backyard with vinyl fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Disposal; Granite countertops; Eat-in layout; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8
  • Flooring: Partially carpeted; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; Second-floor full bath with tub and shower; Half bath on the first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump with electric heating; Zoned heating; Zoned cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Dining area and separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Fireplace with stone surround; Granite counters; Primary bedroom with bath; Pantry; Walk-in closets; Bathroom rough-in
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $171k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $171k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 39/100 on livability (#579 in VA) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Prince George County Public School District (rural): math 67% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #16 of 131 in VA (top 12%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 72 units permitted in Prince George County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Prince George County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 46% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $171,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
7.87%
Cash-on-cash
5.65%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$519,168
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1392 Noblin Ct 0.43mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,712 (+9%) 4mo $565,000 $208 57
19423 Indian Rd 0.66mi 3/2.0 2,265 (-9%) 2mo $389,000 $172 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.5%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-13,312
Equity at exit
$25,497
10-year hold
IRR
2.1%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$7,088
Equity at exit
$14,785

Cash invested: $47,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23805

Home prices YoY
-10.6%
Active inventory
115
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,829 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$897
Tax from tax record
$252 /mo · $3,024/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$384
Net cashflow
$225

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,544
Max offer price $171,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $322 -5% $274 +0% $225 +5% $177 +10% $128
Rent -10% $81 -5% $153 +0% $225 +5% $298 +10% $370
Rate -1.0pp $311 -0.5pp $269 base $225 +0.5pp $181 +1.0pp $136

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,750
Closing costs
$5,130
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $171,000 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $171,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    remarks 242-char remark
  4. 2026-06-02
    listed $171,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,024 · $252/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,024 · $252/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 46% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,953
− Mortgage interest
−$9,579
− Property taxes
−$3,024
− Insurance
−$855
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,756
− Management
−$1,756
− Depreciation
−$4,975
Taxable income
$8
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2
After-tax cash flow
$2,701/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Prince George County Public School District
NCES district ID
5103090
Math proficiency
67% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
75% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$63,354
Composite
61.44/100
National rank
#759
State rank
#16 of 131 in VA

Livability — Templeton

Score
39/100
State rank
#579
US rank
#27416

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Petersburg City · 21,408 people
Metro
Richmond, VA
Population (ZIP)
21,408
Household income
$60,807
Rent vs Own
41.1% rent · 58.9% own
Severe rent burden
719.0

Population outlook (Prince George County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,946 people
By 2030
48,155 · +7.1%
By 2040
54,455 · +21.2%
By 2050
61,115 · +36.0%
By 2075
78,510 · +74.7%
By 2100
85,572 · +90.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 58% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Hungarian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Prince George

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 38.9% · R 60.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+17.2 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+9.8 2008: R+10.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.37%
Current HPI
426.599
Rent YoY
Metro
Richmond, VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-27.8% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $171,000 CVRMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Pending CVRMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Pending CVRMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $289,000 CVRMLS
  • 2019-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
  • 2019-04-19 Sold (MLS) $220,000 CVRMLS
  • 2019-03-20 Pending CVRMLS
  • 2019-03-06 Price Changed $220,000 CVRMLS
  • 2019-02-26 Relisted CVRMLS
  • 2019-02-23 Pending CVRMLS
  • 2019-02-11 Price Changed $225,000 CVRMLS
  • 2018-12-20 Relisted CVRMLS
  • 2018-12-20 Listing Removed CVRMLS
  • 2018-12-12 Listed $230,000 CVRMLS
  • 2005-11-30 Listing Removed CVRMLS
  • 2005-11-30 Listing Removed CVRMLS
  • 2005-08-08 Listed $237,000 CVRMLS
  • 2005-08-08 Listed $237,000 CVRMLS

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,024 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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