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223 Hudson St St
D+ Composite 45.89
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$189,900

223 Hudson St St · Johnson City, NY 13790
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,404 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1938 4,791 sqft lot Est $135k · 41% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Student housing investment opportunity currently leased to students for $2,600 per month through 2027, providing immediate cash flow. The existing 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom layout offers potential for a 5th bedroom conversion. This fully furnished home features spacious living and dining areas, a bright enclosed sun porch, stainless steel appliances, first-floor laundry plus additional laundry in the basement, and a WiFi-controlled smart thermostat. Generous bedroom sizes, ample closet space, basement storage, and a functional layout support strong tenant appeal. Additional features include a detached garage, off-street parking, and backyard space. Conveniently located near Binghamton Universit

Key facts

  • Off street parking
  • Fully furnished home
  • First-floor laundry

Tags

FULLY FURNISHED HOMEBRIGHT ENCLOSED SUN PORCHSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESFIRST-FLOOR LAUNDRYDETACHED GARAGEOFF STREET PARKING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with driveway (1 garage space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two stories; Residential property
  • Construction: Wood siding; Built-up above-grade finished area (information provided)
  • Exterior features: Deck, Enclosed deck, Porch; Fenced, Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range, Free-Standing Range, Dishwasher, Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 8 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Hardwood, Tile, Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Range, Free-Standing Range, Dishwasher, Refrigerator, Washer, Dryer, Gas water heater; Hardwood floors, Tile, Vinyl; Basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-49/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $189k (0.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (7.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $176k (7.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#238 in NY, #3,739 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Johnson City Central School District (suburban): math 38% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Johnson City Elementary/Primary School (496 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.5%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $33k; list at $190k implies a 475% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $175,902 (7.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.27%
Cash-on-cash
-0.09%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$134,784
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
73 Elizabeth St 0.11mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,480 (+5%) 2mo $190,000 $128 77
129 Ackley Ave 0.32mi 4/1.5 1,460 (+4%) 4mo $160,000 $110 73
41 Elizabeth St 0.11mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,312 (-7%) 6mo $126,000 $96 70
446 Grand Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,364 (-3%) 1mo $100,000 $73 69
43 Haynes Ave 0.44mi 4/1.5 1,360 (-3%) 5mo $155,000 $114 68
20 Brown St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,386 (-1%) 0mo $95,000 $69 60
95 Thomas St 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,488 (+6%) 2mo $131,978 $89 60
12 Eldridge Ave 0.44mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,518 (+8%) 4mo $132,000 $87 56
3 Banks Ave Ave 0.41mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,248 (-11%) 0mo $190,000 $152 55
32 Haynes Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,518 (+8%) 5mo $95,000 $63 54
19 Stokes Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,369 (-2%) 5mo $175,000 $128 52
119 Lincoln Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,248 (-11%) 5mo $120,000 $96 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.1%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$112,535
Equity at exit
$171,077
10-year hold
IRR
24.4%
Equity multiple
7.67×
Total profit
$354,785
Equity at exit
$368,934

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13790

Home prices YoY
6.8%
Rents YoY
9.5%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,759 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$319 /mo · $3,825/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$369
Net cashflow
$-4

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,764
Max offer price $189,174
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $103 -5% $50 +0% $-4 +5% $-58 +10% $-112
Rent -10% $-143 -5% $-74 +0% $-4 +5% $65 +10% $135
Rate -1.0pp $92 -0.5pp $44 base $-4 +0.5pp $-53 +1.0pp $-103

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
145 Floral Ave Unit 4 Johnson City, NY 3.0 1.0 1095 $1,250 $1.14 21d 1 0.26mi
51 Allen St Unit 1 Johnson City, NY 3.0 1.0 1170 $1,575 $1.35 21d 1 0.38mi
50 Crocker Ave Johnson City, NY 4.0 2.0 1411 $2,000 $1.42 21d 1 0.43mi
400 Riverside Dr Unit 15 Johnson City, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,425 $2.42 13d 1 0.60mi
400 Riverside Dr Unit 212 Johnson City, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,500 $2.27 13d 1 0.60mi
133 Crestmont Rd Unit 2 Binghamton, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,900 $1.46 44d 1 0.93mi
296 Main St Unit 6 Binghamton, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 13d 1 0.93mi
129 Helen St Unit 1 Binghamton, NY 4.0 2.0 1850 $2,200 $1.19 44d 1 1.01mi
4 Baxter St Unit Left Binghamton, NY 4.0 2.5 1800 $1,500 $0.83 13d 1 1.08mi
99 Helen St Unit 2 Binghamton, NY 3.0 1.0 1220 $1,600 $1.31 44d 1 1.09mi
10 Bidwell St Johnson City, NY 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 44d 1 1.13mi
16 Highland Ave Unit 1 Binghamton, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,650 $1.18 44d 1 1.27mi
36 Haendel St Unit Second Floor Binghamton, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 44d 1 1.30mi
36 Haendel St Unit 1 Binghamton, NY 3.0 1.0 1600 $1,650 $1.03 44d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $189,900 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,900 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $189,900 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $189,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,825 · $319/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,825 · $319/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,108
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$3,825
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,689
− Management
−$1,689
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable loss
−$3,205
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$769
After-tax cash flow
$720/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Johnson City Central School District
NCES district ID
3615900
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$40,514
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5545
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Johnson City

Score
76/100
State rank
#238
US rank
#3739

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Johnson City, NY
County
Broome County · 126,805 people
City population
18,739
Metro
Binghamton, NY
Population (ZIP)
18,739
Household income
$59,045
Rent vs Own
44.8% rent · 55.2% own
Severe rent burden
1233.0

Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,989 people
By 2030
183,066 · -2.6%
By 2040
172,228 · -8.4%
By 2050
163,161 · -13.2%
By 2075
153,641 · -18.3%
By 2100
140,851 · -25.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Two or more races 9% Asian 8% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Broome

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 18.06%
Current HPI
285.3668
Rent YoY
▲ 9.47%
Metro
Binghamton, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1595.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $189,900 GBAOR
  • 2026-03-05 Rental Removed $2,600 GBAOR
  • 2026-02-04 Listed for Rent $2,600 GBAOR
  • 2006-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
  • 1999-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $11,200 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,825 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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