825 Booker Ave · Gonzalez, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderful 3 bedroom/ 1 bathroom home with an updated interior and additional storage shed in the backyard- all situated on OVER A QUARTER ACRE of land- fully-fenced in with chain-link fencing. Walk up the steps onto the wooden front porch and through the front door into the living/dining area. All new luxury vinyl flooring throughout, new interior paint, new ceiling fans. The updated kitchen features plenty of refinished cabinets and extra pantry space plus newer appliances. The spacious blank-slate backyard with a covered patio is ready for personal touches! BRAND NEW 2025 ROOF!! New water heater. 2015 HVAC recently serviced. Schedule a showing now!
Key facts
- Wooden front porch
- Updated interior
- New interior paint
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $643 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 4.2% in Gonzalez — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#385 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 513 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 9159% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $125k implies a 102% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.06%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $80,650
- List price
- $124,990
- Delta
- 54.98%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 Sheppard St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 888 (+2%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $68 | 89 |
| 108 Griggs St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 816 (-7%) | 21mo | $75,000 | $92 | 47 |
| 200 Rocky Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-1%) | 18mo | $154,000 | $178 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $20,676
- Equity at exit
- $18,636
- IRR
- 23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.02×
- Total profit
- $70,594
- Equity at exit
- $10,807
Cash invested: $34,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32533
- Home prices YoY
- -14.6%
- Active inventory
- 513
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,768 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $546/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$371
- Net cashflow
- $643
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,248
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,990 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,990 Active 190 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $124,990 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,990 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $124,990 Active 186 DOM
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2026-06-07statusdays on market $124,990 Pending 185 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $124,990 Active 182 DOM
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2026-06-03price $124,990 Active 181 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $129,990 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,990 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,990 Active 179 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $129,990 Active 178 DOM
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2026-05-04status Active 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
Wonderful 3 bedroom/ 1 bathroom home with an updated interior and additional storage shed in the backyard- all situated on OVER A QUARTER ACRE of land- fully-fenced in with chain-link fencing. Walk up the steps onto the wooden front porch and through the front door into the living/dining area. All new luxury vinyl flooring throughout, new interior paint, new ceiling fans. The updated kitchen features plenty of refinished cabinets and extra pantry space plus newer appliances. The spacious blank-slate backyard with a covered patio is ready for personal touches! BRAND NEW 2025 ROOF!! New water heater. 2015 HVAC recently serviced. Schedule a showing now!
-
2026-04-28historical Contingent 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
Wonderful 3 bedroom/ 1 bathroom home with an updated interior and additional storage shed in the backyard- all situated on OVER A QUARTER ACRE of land- fully-fenced in with chain-link fencing. Walk up the steps onto the wooden front porch and through the front door into the living/dining area. All new luxury vinyl flooring throughout, new interior paint, new ceiling fans. The updated kitchen features plenty of refinished cabinets and extra pantry space plus newer appliances. The spacious blank-slate backyard with a covered patio is ready for personal touches! BRAND NEW 2025 ROOF!! New water heater. 2015 HVAC recently serviced. Schedule a showing now!
-
2026-04-21price $129,990 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
Wonderful 3 bedroom/ 1 bathroom home with an updated interior and additional storage shed in the backyard- all situated on OVER A QUARTER ACRE of land- fully-fenced in with chain-link fencing. Walk up the steps onto the wooden front porch and through the front door into the living/dining area. All new luxury vinyl flooring throughout, new interior paint, new ceiling fans. The updated kitchen features plenty of refinished cabinets and extra pantry space plus newer appliances. The spacious blank-slate backyard with a covered patio is ready for personal touches! BRAND NEW 2025 ROOF!! New water heater. 2015 HVAC recently serviced. Schedule a showing now!
-
2026-04-02price $134,990 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
Wonderful 3 bedroom/ 1 bathroom home with an updated interior and additional storage shed in the backyard- all situated on OVER A QUARTER ACRE of land- fully-fenced in with chain-link fencing. Walk up the steps onto the wooden front porch and through the front door into the living/dining area. All new luxury vinyl flooring throughout, new interior paint, new ceiling fans. The updated kitchen features plenty of refinished cabinets and extra pantry space plus newer appliances. The spacious blank-slate backyard with a covered patio is ready for personal touches! BRAND NEW 2025 ROOF!! New water heater. 2015 HVAC recently serviced. Schedule a showing now!
-
2026-03-19$1,350
-
2026-02-10price $139,990 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
Wonderful 3 bedroom/ 1 bathroom home with an updated interior and additional storage shed in the backyard- all situated on OVER A QUARTER ACRE of land- fully-fenced in with chain-link fencing. Walk up the steps onto the wooden front porch and through the front door into the living/dining area. All new luxury vinyl flooring throughout, new interior paint, new ceiling fans. The updated kitchen features plenty of refinished cabinets and extra pantry space plus newer appliances. The spacious blank-slate backyard with a covered patio is ready for personal touches! BRAND NEW 2025 ROOF!! New water heater. 2015 HVAC recently serviced. Schedule a showing now!
-
2026-01-23price $144,990 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
Wonderful 3 bedroom/ 1 bathroom home with an updated interior and additional storage shed in the backyard- all situated on OVER A QUARTER ACRE of land- fully-fenced in with chain-link fencing. Walk up the steps onto the wooden front porch and through the front door into the living/dining area. All new luxury vinyl flooring throughout, new interior paint, new ceiling fans. The updated kitchen features plenty of refinished cabinets and extra pantry space plus newer appliances. The spacious blank-slate backyard with a covered patio is ready for personal touches! BRAND NEW 2025 ROOF!! New water heater. 2015 HVAC recently serviced. Schedule a showing now!
-
2026-01-05price $149,990 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
Wonderful 3 bedroom/ 1 bathroom home with an updated interior and additional storage shed in the backyard- all situated on OVER A QUARTER ACRE of land- fully-fenced in with chain-link fencing. Walk up the steps onto the wooden front porch and through the front door into the living/dining area. All new luxury vinyl flooring throughout, new interior paint, new ceiling fans. The updated kitchen features plenty of refinished cabinets and extra pantry space plus newer appliances. The spacious blank-slate backyard with a covered patio is ready for personal touches! BRAND NEW 2025 ROOF!! New water heater. 2015 HVAC recently serviced. Schedule a showing now!
-
2025-12-03$159,990 Active 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
Wonderful 3 bedroom/ 1 bathroom home with an updated interior and additional storage shed in the backyard- all situated on OVER A QUARTER ACRE of land- fully-fenced in with chain-link fencing. Walk up the steps onto the wooden front porch and through the front door into the living/dining area. All new luxury vinyl flooring throughout, new interior paint, new ceiling fans. The updated kitchen features plenty of refinished cabinets and extra pantry space plus newer appliances. The spacious blank-slate backyard with a covered patio is ready for personal touches! BRAND NEW 2025 ROOF!! New water heater. 2015 HVAC recently serviced. Schedule a showing now!
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2025-09-02soldstatus $62,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $546 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,037 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- +$491/yr (+$41/mo · 89.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,210
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,001
- − Property taxes
- −$546
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,697
- − Management
- −$1,697
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $6,008
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,442
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,278/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — Gonzalez
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #385
- US rank
- #6813
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,860
- Household income
- $86,087
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 389.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Guatemala, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.13%
- Current HPI
- 259.2605
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+109.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2026-04-28 Contingent — PARMLS
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $129,990 PARMLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $134,990 PARMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed for Rent $1,350 PARMLS
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $139,990 PARMLS
- 2026-01-23 Price Changed $144,990 PARMLS
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $149,990 PARMLS
- 2025-12-03 Listed $159,990 PARMLS
- 2025-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+18.9%/yrLatest (2025): $546 · +29.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…