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203 N Natchez St
B+ Composite 78.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0

$109,000

203 N Natchez St · Woodville, MS 39669
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,160 sqft · SingleFamily · 275 Days on market
Built 1985 Fair condition 0.60 ac lot $50/sqft · 46% below area Est $201k · 46% under ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is a duplex in Woodville MS. OWNER FINANCING IS AVAILABLE. 2- 2 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. Great rental opportunity, or live in one side and rent the other, whatever works for you! Off street parking, a nice back yard, and an extra lot next door for more options. Call today!

Key facts

  • Extra lot
  • Off street parking
  • Nice back yard

Tags

OFF STREET PARKINGNICE BACK YARDEXTRA LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $109k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $366 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#104 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Wilkinson County School District (rural): math 4% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #124 of 130 in MS (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 95% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.3% local appreciation)).
  • Wilkinson County population projected at -37% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 275 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $95,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 275 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.33%
Cash-on-cash
14.40%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$201,350
List price
$109,000
Delta
-45.87%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
814 Sligo St 0.60mi 3/1.0 (-1) 2,222 (+3%) 15mo $219,000 $99 48
550 Church St 0.46mi 4/3.0 1,950 (-10%) 19mo $233,000 $119 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.31% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.0%
Equity multiple
2.65×
Total profit
$50,424
Equity at exit
$63,842
10-year hold
IRR
24.8%
Equity multiple
5.31×
Total profit
$131,445
Equity at exit
$111,936

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39669

Home prices YoY
6.4%
Active inventory
35
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,417 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$572
Tax est. 1.5%
$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$366

Break-even live

Break-even rent $954
Max offer price $109,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,250
Closing costs
$3,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    This is a duplex in Woodville MS. OWNER FINANCING IS AVAILABLE. 2- 2 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. Great rental opportunity, or live in one side and rent the other, whatever works for you! Off street parking, a nice back yard, and an extra lot next door for more options. Call today!

  2. 2025-10-17
    price $109,000 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    This is a duplex in Woodville MS. OWNER FINANCING IS AVAILABLE. 2- 2 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. Great rental opportunity, or live in one side and rent the other, whatever works for you! Off street parking, a nice back yard, and an extra lot next door for more options. Call today!

  3. 2025-08-18
    price $120,000 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    This is a duplex in Woodville MS. OWNER FINANCING IS AVAILABLE. 2- 2 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. Great rental opportunity, or live in one side and rent the other, whatever works for you! Off street parking, a nice back yard, and an extra lot next door for more options. Call today!

  4. 2025-06-18
    listed $125,000 Active 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    This is a duplex in Woodville MS. OWNER FINANCING IS AVAILABLE. 2- 2 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. Great rental opportunity, or live in one side and rent the other, whatever works for you! Off street parking, a nice back yard, and an extra lot next door for more options. Call today!

  5. 2024-12-28
    historical
  6. 2024-06-28
    listed $125,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,007
− Mortgage interest
−$6,106
− Property taxes
−$1,635
− Insurance
−$545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,361
− Management
−$1,361
− Depreciation
−$3,171
Taxable income
$2,829
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$679
After-tax cash flow
$3,717/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and updates to improve its condition and value. The roof and siding are in poor condition, and the interior needs fresh paint and new flooring. The kitchen and bathrooms also need modernization.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Missing shingles
  • Major exterior siding — Weathered and peeling
  • Major interior walls — Worn wood paneling
  • Major flooring — Worn carpet
  • Major kitchen appliances — Old and outdated
  • Major bathroom fixtures — Small and outdated

Value-add opportunities

  • Both New roof — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Both New siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both New flooring — Freshens up the interior and improves value
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and boosts value
  • Both New bathroom fixtures — Improves functionality and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Missing shingles Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · Weathered and peeling Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls · Worn wood paneling Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · Worn carpet Major $15,000–50,000
kitchen appliances · Old and outdated Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · Small and outdated Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 6 items $90,000–300,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both New roof — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Both New siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both New flooring — Freshens up the interior and improves value
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and boosts value
  • Both New bathroom fixtures — Improves functionality and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wilkinson County School District
NCES district ID
2804710
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$29,558
Composite
5.57/100
National rank
#10025
State rank
#124 of 130 in MS

Livability — Woodville

Score
65/100
State rank
#104
US rank
#12514

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Woodville, MS
Population (ZIP)
4,260

Population outlook (Wilkinson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
7,916 people
By 2030
7,289 · -7.9%
By 2040
6,036 · -23.7%
By 2050
4,978 · -37.1%
By 2075
3,361 · -57.5%
By 2100
2,387 · -69.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 28% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Serbian 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wilkinson

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.3) · D 62.0% · R 36.7% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-13.1pp toward R · 2008: 38.4pp · 2024: 25.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.3 2020: D+34.5 2016: D+36.4 2012: D+39.3 2008: D+38.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.31%
Current HPI
88.8448
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-12.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending MLSU
  • 2025-10-17 Price Changed $109,000 MLSU
  • 2025-08-18 Price Changed $120,000 MLSU
  • 2025-06-18 Listed $125,000 MLSU
  • 2024-12-28 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2024-06-28 Listed $125,000 MLSU

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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