CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
203 23rd Ave Duplex
C- Composite 53.94
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +6.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$725,000

203 23rd Ave · Seattle, WA 98122
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,570 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 232 Days on market
Built 1900 4,800 sqft lot $282/sqft · 35% below area Est $1117k · 35% under ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Fantastic investment or redevelopment opportunity in Seattle! This 1900-built duplex offers 2,940 total SF, all ready for renovation or reimagining. The 4,800 SF corner lot is zoned LR2(M), providing flexibility for multi-unit potential or redevelopment. Conveniently located near downtown, I-5, I-90, schools, parks, and transit. With strong fundamentals and zoning upside, this classic property is ready for its next chapter. An excellent option for builders, investors, or those seeking a project with vision.

Key facts

  • Near schools
  • Zoned lr2m
  • Near transit

Tags

CORNER LOTZONED LR2MMULTI-UNIT POTENTIALNEAR SCHOOLSNEAR PARKSNEAR TRANSIT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $725k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $263 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $131/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $639k (11.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $638k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 1.6% in Seattle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#166 in WA, #4,033 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Seattle Public Schools (urban): math 64% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #19 of 291 in WA (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 222 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,392/mo this rent would consume 72% of the median local household income ($107k/yr) (locally 3225% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 232 days — a 12% lower offer ($638k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $100k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $638,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 232 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.73%
Cash-on-cash
1.55%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,116,734
List price
$725,000
Delta
-35.08%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2762 S Washington St 0.36mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,760 (+7%) 14mo $1,257,500 $456 52
539 26th Ave S 0.50mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,680 (+4%) 13mo $800,000 $299 50
926 18th Ave 0.59mi 5/6.0 (+1) 2,940 (+14%) 19mo $1,950,000 $663 12

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.7%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-111,540
Equity at exit
$108,100
10-year hold
IRR
-10.3%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-118,383
Equity at exit
$62,685

Cash invested: $203,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City Seattle
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+52
Just Cause + Relocation Assistance + Source of Income + First in Time.

ZIP-level market 98122

Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
222
Price-to-rent
18.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,392 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,802
Tax from tax record
$683 /mo · $8,195/yr
Insurance
$302
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,342
Net cashflow
$263

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,059
Max offer price $725,000
Occupancy floor 91%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $6,392

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$181,250
Closing costs
$21,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
707 Lake Washington Blvd S Seattle, WA 3.0 1.5 2200 $5,950 $2.70 18d 1 0.83mi
1708 18th Ave Seattle, WA 3.0 3.5 1780 $4,995 $2.81 1d 1 0.92mi
1415 38th Ave Seattle, WA 4.0 3.0 2696 $6,250 $2.32 44d 1 1.05mi
113 27th Ave E Seattle, WA 3.0 3.0 1928 $4,695 $2.44 43d 1 1.09mi
200 27th Ave E Seattle, WA 4.0 3.0 2080 $3,800 $1.83 1d 1 1.16mi
344 17th Ave E Seattle, WA 5.0 2.0 3000 $3,900 $1.30 1d 1 1.27mi
702 Spring St Seattle, WA 3.0 1.0–2.0 1172 $7,115 $6.07 1d 34 1.31mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $725,000 Active 232 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $725,000 Active 231 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $725,000 Active 230 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $725,000 Active 229 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $725,000 Active 228 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $725,000 Active 227 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $725,000 Active 226 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $725,000 Active 225 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $725,000 Active 223 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $725,000 Active 222 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $725,000 Active 221 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $725,000 Active 220 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $725,000 Active 219 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $725,000 Active 217 DOM
  15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $725,000 Active 216 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $725,000 Active 215 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $725,000 Active 214 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $725,000 Active 213 DOM
  19. 2026-04-18
    price $725,000
  20. 2026-04-18
    price $725,000
  21. 2026-01-09
    status Active
  22. 2026-01-09
    status Active
  23. 2026-01-06
    status Pending
  24. 2026-01-06
    status Pending
  25. 2025-12-20
    price $775,000
  26. 2025-12-20
    price $775,000
  27. 2025-10-28
    listed $825,000 Active
  28. 2025-10-28
    listed $825,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$8,195 · $683/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,195 · $683/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$76,704
− Mortgage interest
−$40,611
− Property taxes
−$8,195
− Insurance
−$3,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,136
− Management
−$6,136
− Depreciation
−$21,091
Taxable loss
−$9,090
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,182
After-tax cash flow
$5,334/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Seattle Public Schools
NCES district ID
5307710
Math proficiency
64% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$68,695
Composite
60.76/100
National rank
#1649
State rank
#19 of 291 in WA

Livability — Seattle

Score
75/100
State rank
#166
US rank
#4033

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Seattle, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
706,262
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
43,234
Household income
$106,886
Rent vs Own
71.6% rent · 28.4% own
Severe rent burden
3225.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Asian 15% Two or more races 12% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 4% Other Indo-European 4%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -986.26%
Current HPI
277.8948
Rent YoY
▲ 1.30%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-18 Price Changed $725,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-18 Price Changed $725,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-09 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-09 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-06 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-06 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-20 Price Changed $775,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-20 Price Changed $775,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-28 Listed $825,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-28 Listed $825,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,195 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…