4315 Webster Ave Unit 1B · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Rare Sponsor One Bedroom Apartment in the Woodlawn Heights Section of the Bronx ~ The Mid-Century Style Saratogian was Built in 1957 and Boasts Abundant Windows and Hi-Ceilings ~ Large Entrance Foyer and Dining Area ~ Freshly Painted with New Lighting ~ Very Spacious Living Room with Beautiful Parquet Hardwood Floors ~ Remodeled and Updated Kitchen with New Cabinets-Quartz Countertops-Tile Floor and New Appliances Including Dishwasher ~ King Size Bedroom on the Quiet Side of the Building with Cross Light ~ Totally Renovated Bathroom with Tub/Shower Combination and New Vanity ~ Good Closet Space ~ Apartment is on the 2nd Floor ~ Live-In Superintendent and Excellent Management ~ No Board Appr
Key facts
- Mid-century style
- Hi-ceilings
- Large entrance foyer
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking (waitlist); Garage with 30 spaces available
- Security: Building security; Fire escape; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Electricity connected (Con-Edison); Natural gas connected; Public water connected; Public sewer
- Home design: Stock cooperative; 7-story building; Entry on first floor
- Construction: Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Building security; Fire escape; Smoke detectors; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 rooms total (first floor location)
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Elevator; High ceilings; Open floor plan; Quartz/Quartzite counters
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $179k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $698 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+21.0%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.71%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $28,435
- Equity at exit
- $26,689
- IRR
- 25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.81×
- Total profit
- $141,077
- Equity at exit
- $15,477
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10704
- Rents YoY
- 21.0%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,449 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$224 /mo · $2,685/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$514
- Net cashflow
- $698
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135 Wakefield Ave Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $3,000 | $3.53 | 43d | 2 | 0.47mi |
| 216 1st St Unit 1 Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,000 | $3.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 255 Bronx River Rd Unit 4R Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,250 | $2.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 277 Bronx River Rd Apt 3M Yonkers, NY | — | 1.0 | 550 | $1,700 | $3.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2325 Cortlandt St Unit 4 Mt Vernon, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,300 | $3.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 675 McLean Ave Unit 006H Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 577 | $2,071 | $3.59 | 4d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 119 S 13th Ave Mount Vernon, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,997 | $3.75 | 13d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 20 Overhill Pl Unit 3 Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $3,000 | $3.75 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 119 S 11th Ave Unit 1 Mt Vernon, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,800 | $4.00 | 11d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 13 N Bond St Mount Vernon, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,785 | $2.98 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 18 N Bond St Unit 3D Mt Vernon, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,000 | $2.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 32 N Bond St Mount Vernon, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,900 | $2.24 | 7d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 495 Kimball Ave Unit First Floor Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,000 | $2.73 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 142 Trenchard St Unit 2E Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,250 | $2.50 | 11d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 150 S 6th Ave Unit 2 Mt Vernon, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,500 | $3.12 | 7d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 150 S 6th Ave Unit 2 Mt Vernon, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,500 | $3.12 | 17d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 14 Elm St Unit 2 Mt Vernon, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,800 | $2.80 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 86 Edgewood Ave Apt 2E Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,599 | $2.60 | 19d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 86 Edgewood Ave Unit 2W Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,699 | $2.70 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-08$179,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,394
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$2,685
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,351
- − Management
- −$2,351
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable income
- $5,877
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,410
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,966/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This well-maintained, fully-renovated condo in Woodlawn Heights offers a good balance of modern updates and classic charm, making it an attractive option for both buyers and renters.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics, attracting more buyers and renters
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances improve functionality and appeal to a broader range of potential buyers and renters
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics, attracting more buyers and renters ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances improve functionality and appeal to a broader range of potential buyers and renters ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Westchester County · 709,332 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,921
- Household income
- $106,786
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1078.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 15% Black 7% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 11% Cuban 2% Dominican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Subsaharan African 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 54% English-only · Spanish 25% Other Indo-European 13% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -466.66%
- Current HPI
- 293.4414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 21.03%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Listed $179,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…