2119 Jean St · Leesville, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,776
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment opportunity or family home. This spacious 4 bedroom 2 full bath offers a large living room with beautiful hardwood floors throughout. Outside you have 2 storage sheds and a beautiful yard with plenty of shade trees and not far from all the amenities Leesville has to offer. Also 15 minutes to Fort Polk.
Key facts
- Shade trees
- Large living room
- Beautiful yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $146k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $377 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $146k).
- Recommended offer: $137k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 7.3% in Leesville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#30 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Vernon Parish (rural): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #18 of 98 in LA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.6%/yr); 210 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 26 units permitted in Vernon Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Vernon County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $146k implies a 161% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.08%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $166,834
- List price
- $145,776
- Delta
- -12.62%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1908 Circles End | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,836 (-5%) | 4mo | $233,000 | $127 | 60 |
| 2005 Columbus Cir | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 1,850 (-4%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $95 | 57 |
| 1213 Port Arthur Ter | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,016 (+4%) | 4mo | $213,000 | $106 | 52 |
| 2004 Columbus Cir | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,731 (-11%) | 1mo | $192,000 | $111 | 51 |
| 2005 Allison St | 0.60mi | 4/1.0 | 1,795 (-7%) | 15mo | $164,000 | $91 | 43 |
| 802 Dennis Ave | 0.52mi | 3/4.0 (-1) | 1,725 (-11%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $81 | 43 |
| 1032 Hood Ln | 0.41mi | 4/1.5 | 1,660 (-14%) | 15mo | $75,000 | $45 | 43 |
| 1209 Port Arthur Ter | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,785 (-8%) | 18mo | $245,000 | $137 | 31 |
| 109 Nelda | 0.73mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,187 (+13%) | 16mo | $155,000 | $71 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $9,043
- Equity at exit
- $21,736
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.92×
- Total profit
- $78,225
- Equity at exit
- $12,604
Cash invested: $40,817 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71446
- Home prices YoY
- -32.1%
- Rents YoY
- 9.6%
- Active inventory
- 210
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,645 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$764
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,165/yr
- Insurance
- −$61
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$345
- Net cashflow
- $377
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $459 | -5% $418 | +0% $377 | +5% $336 | +10% $294 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $247 | -5% $312 | +0% $377 | +5% $442 | +10% $507 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $450 | -0.5pp $414 | base $377 | +0.5pp $339 | +1.0pp $301 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,444
- Closing costs
- $4,373
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1219 Port Arthur Ter Leesville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,400 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
Listing history 23 events
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2026-06-19days on market $145,776 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $145,776 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $145,776 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $145,776 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $145,776 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $145,776 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $145,776 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $145,776 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $145,776 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $145,776 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $145,776 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $145,776 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $145,776 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $145,776 Active 46 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $145,776 Active 45 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $145,776 Active 44 DOM
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2026-04-16$145,776 Active 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Investment opportunity or family home. This spacious 4 bedroom 2 full bath offers a large living room with beautiful hardwood floors throughout. Outside you have 2 storage sheds and a beautiful yard with plenty of shade trees and not far from all the amenities Leesville has to offer. Also 15 minutes to Fort Polk.
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2024-08-22historical $1,150
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2024-08-19price $1,150
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2024-06-17$1,300
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2021-06-22soldstatus 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
4 bedroom 2 bath, two bedrooms are jack n Jill bedrooms with a huge closet shared, dividing the two rooms. Spacious Living room! Tree limb went thru the roof, price deducted for that. .
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2021-02-23$90,000 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
4 bedroom 2 bath, two bedrooms are jack n Jill bedrooms with a huge closet shared, dividing the two rooms. Spacious Living room! Tree limb went thru the roof, price deducted for that. .
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2007-05-25soldstatus $55,833
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,165 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,165 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,734
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,166
- − Property taxes
- −$1,165
- − Insurance
- −$729
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,579
- − Management
- −$1,579
- − Depreciation
- −$4,241
- Taxable income
- $2,276
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$546
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,976/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vernon Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201830
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -42.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,822
- Composite
- 36.42/100
- National rank
- #4674
- State rank
- #18 of 98 in LA
Livability — Leesville
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #5046
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leesville, LA
- County
- Vernon Parish · 21,275 people
- City population
- 21,275
- Metro
- Fort Polk South, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,275
- Household income
- $55,925
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 659.0
Population outlook (Vernon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,401 people
- By 2030
- 43,015 · -5.3%
- By 2040
- 38,171 · -15.9%
- By 2050
- 34,087 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 28,267 · -37.7%
- By 2100
- 25,486 · -43.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vernon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.9) · D 15.6% · R 83.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.5pp toward R · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -67.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.9 2020: R+64.9 2016: R+65.0 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.06%
- Current HPI
- 128.8849
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.60%
- Metro
- Fort Polk South, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+161.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $145,776 GFPAR
- 2024-08-22 Rental Removed $1,150 RENTEC
- 2024-08-19 Price Changed $1,150 RENTEC
- 2024-06-17 Listed for Rent $1,300 RENTEC
- 2021-06-22 Sold (MLS) — GFPAR
- 2021-02-23 Listed $90,000 GFPAR
- 2007-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $55,833 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,165 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…