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15362 7th Ave
D Composite 41.01
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.8/10.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0

$249,900

15362 7th Ave · Phoenix, IL 60426
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,025 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 67 Days on market
Built 1997 3,101 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 Bedroom Split level in need of some TLC. Eat-In Kitchen, finished Basement with Family Room and a 2 Car detached Garage. Property is sold as is with as is Rider needed. No Survey or Termite Inspection Given. Taxes prorated 100%. Pre-Approval must accompany all Offers.

Key facts

  • 3,101 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1997

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area source: assessor; Possession negotiable
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener; Asphalt parking; Approximately 2 garage/total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story / Tri-level design; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Property age approximately 26–30 years
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 50 x 123; Lot under 0.25 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Main-level kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (master and two additional bedrooms on the second level)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Basement contains a bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Finished basement with exterior entry and daylight windows; 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Lower-level laundry with a laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-283 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $200k (20.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (5.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $200k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#230 in IL, #4,248 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, employment F.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Taft School (364 students, 0% FRL); Coolidge Middle School (math 3% / reading 7%, grade F, #636 of 665 statewide, top 98%, 507 students, 0% FRL); Thornton Township High School (math 7% / reading 7%, grade F, #605 of 693 statewide, top 87%, 1,628 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $95k; list at $250k implies a 164% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price.
Recommended offer $199,963 (20.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
4.94%
Cash-on-cash
-4.85%
DSCR
0.78
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$100,450
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
736 E 155th Pl 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,020 (-0%) 12mo $135,000 $132 84
931 Miller Pl 0.25mi 3/1.5 1,042 (+2%) 1mo $140,000 $134 83
15533 Vincennes Rd 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,020 (-0%) 6mo $85,000 $83 82
15316 4th Ave 0.22mi 3/1.0 964 (-6%) 2mo $35,000 $36 78
15137 7th Ave 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-2%) 8mo $78,000 $78 71
15131 6th Ave 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,064 (+4%) 11mo $75,000 $70 66
523 E 152nd St 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 942 (-8%) 3mo $16,000 $17 56
14931 Riverside Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,100 (+7%) 9mo $164,000 $149 46
15439 Dearborn St 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,108 (+8%) 10mo $235,000 $212 46
523 E 149th St 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,143 (+12%) 2mo $80,000 $70 43
15955 State St 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (-12%) 5mo $175,000 $194 42
551 E 149 St 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,174 (+14%) 10mo $115,000 $98 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
2.69×
Total profit
$118,395
Equity at exit
$225,130
10-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
6.19×
Total profit
$363,404
Equity at exit
$485,501

Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60426

Home prices YoY
6.9%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,367 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$738 /mo · $8,856/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$497
Net cashflow
$-283

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,725
Max offer price $199,963
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-141 -5% $-212 +0% $-283 +5% $-353 +10% $-424
Rent -10% $-470 -5% $-376 +0% $-283 +5% $-189 +10% $-96
Rate -1.0pp $-157 -0.5pp $-219 base $-283 +0.5pp $-347 +1.0pp $-413

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,475
Closing costs
$7,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16048 Halsted St Unit 2 Harvey, IL 3.0 1.0 1091 $1,650 $1.51 26d 1 0.92mi
14844 Wabash Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.5 1277 $2,320 $1.82 26d 1 1.14mi
15238 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 2W Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,500 $1.88 12d 1 1.20mi
15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL 4.0 1.5 1200 $3,400 $2.83 26d 1 1.33mi
15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL 4.0 1.5 1200 $3,400 $2.83 9d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $249,900 Active 67 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,900 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,900 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,900 Active 62 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    remarks 415-char remark
  6. 2026-06-16
    status $249,900 Active 61 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,900 Temporarily No Showings 61 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,900 Temporarily No Showings 59 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,900 Temporarily No Showings 58 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $249,900 Temporarily No Showings 55 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 54 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 53 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $249,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 50 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 49 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 48 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 47 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 46 DOM
  18. 2026-04-24
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  19. 2026-04-15
    listed $249,900 Active
  20. 2015-09-27
    status Contingent (Do Not Show)
  21. 2015-09-26
    historical
  22. 2015-09-25
    listed New
  23. 2008-02-29
    soldstatus $94,650 274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    3 Bedroom Split level in need of some TLC. Eat-In Kitchen, finished Basement with Family Room and a 2 Car detached Garage. Property is sold as is with as is Rider needed. No Survey or Termite Inspection Given. Taxes prorated 100%. Pre-Approval must accompany all Offers.

  24. 2008-02-06
    historical 274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    3 Bedroom Split level in need of some TLC. Eat-In Kitchen, finished Basement with Family Room and a 2 Car detached Garage. Property is sold as is with as is Rider needed. No Survey or Termite Inspection Given. Taxes prorated 100%. Pre-Approval must accompany all Offers.

  25. 2007-10-24
    listed $89,950 274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    3 Bedroom Split level in need of some TLC. Eat-In Kitchen, finished Basement with Family Room and a 2 Car detached Garage. Property is sold as is with as is Rider needed. No Survey or Termite Inspection Given. Taxes prorated 100%. Pre-Approval must accompany all Offers.

  26. 2003-03-25
    soldstatus $105,000
  27. 1994-12-01
    soldstatus $70,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$8,856 · $738/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,856 · $738/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,404
− Mortgage interest
−$13,998
− Property taxes
−$8,856
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,272
− Management
−$2,272
− Depreciation
−$7,270
Taxable loss
−$7,514
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,803
After-tax cash flow
$-1,589/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — Phoenix

Score
75/100
State rank
#230
US rank
#4248

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Phoenix, IL
Population (ZIP)
23,066

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (59%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 12% White 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 31%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 20.36%
Current HPI
313.7895
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+257.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $249,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-09-27 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-09-26 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-09-25 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-02-29 Sold (MLS) $94,650 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-02-06 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-10-24 Listed $89,950 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 1994-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2023): $8,856 · +471.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…