15362 7th Ave · Phoenix, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.8/10.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 Bedroom Split level in need of some TLC. Eat-In Kitchen, finished Basement with Family Room and a 2 Car detached Garage. Property is sold as is with as is Rider needed. No Survey or Termite Inspection Given. Taxes prorated 100%. Pre-Approval must accompany all Offers.
Key facts
- 3,101 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1997
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area source: assessor; Possession negotiable
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener; Asphalt parking; Approximately 2 garage/total parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story / Tri-level design; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Property age approximately 26–30 years
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 50 x 123; Lot under 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Main-level kitchen
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (master and two additional bedrooms on the second level)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Basement contains a bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished basement with exterior entry and daylight windows; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Lower-level laundry with a laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-283 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $200k (20.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (5.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $200k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#230 in IL, #4,248 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, employment F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Taft School (364 students, 0% FRL); Coolidge Middle School (math 3% / reading 7%, grade F, #636 of 665 statewide, top 98%, 507 students, 0% FRL); Thornton Township High School (math 7% / reading 7%, grade F, #605 of 693 statewide, top 87%, 1,628 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $250k implies a 164% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.85%
- DSCR
- 0.78
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $100,450
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 736 E 155th Pl | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,020 (-0%) | 12mo | $135,000 | $132 | 84 |
| 931 Miller Pl | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 | 1,042 (+2%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $134 | 83 |
| 15533 Vincennes Rd | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,020 (-0%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $83 | 82 |
| 15316 4th Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 964 (-6%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $36 | 78 |
| 15137 7th Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-2%) | 8mo | $78,000 | $78 | 71 |
| 15131 6th Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (+4%) | 11mo | $75,000 | $70 | 66 |
| 523 E 152nd St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 942 (-8%) | 3mo | $16,000 | $17 | 56 |
| 14931 Riverside Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (+7%) | 9mo | $164,000 | $149 | 46 |
| 15439 Dearborn St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,108 (+8%) | 10mo | $235,000 | $212 | 46 |
| 523 E 149th St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,143 (+12%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $70 | 43 |
| 15955 State St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-12%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $194 | 42 |
| 551 E 149 St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,174 (+14%) | 10mo | $115,000 | $98 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $118,395
- Equity at exit
- $225,130
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.19×
- Total profit
- $363,404
- Equity at exit
- $485,501
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60426
- Home prices YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,367 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$738 /mo · $8,856/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$497
- Net cashflow
- $-283
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-141 | -5% $-212 | +0% $-283 | +5% $-353 | +10% $-424 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-470 | -5% $-376 | +0% $-283 | +5% $-189 | +10% $-96 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-157 | -0.5pp $-219 | base $-283 | +0.5pp $-347 | +1.0pp $-413 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16048 Halsted St Unit 2 Harvey, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,650 | $1.51 | 26d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 14844 Wabash Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1277 | $2,320 | $1.82 | 26d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 15238 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 2W Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 12d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 26d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 9d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $249,900 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $249,900 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $249,900 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $249,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 415-char remark
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2026-06-16status $249,900 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $249,900 Temporarily No Showings 61 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $249,900 Temporarily No Showings 59 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $249,900 Temporarily No Showings 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09statusdays on market $249,900 Temporarily No Showings 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 54 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $249,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 53 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $249,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 50 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $249,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 49 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $249,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 48 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $249,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 47 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $249,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 46 DOM
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2026-04-24historical Contingent - Continue to Show
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2026-04-15$249,900 Active
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2015-09-27status Contingent (Do Not Show)
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2015-09-26historical
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2015-09-25New
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2008-02-29soldstatus $94,650 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
3 Bedroom Split level in need of some TLC. Eat-In Kitchen, finished Basement with Family Room and a 2 Car detached Garage. Property is sold as is with as is Rider needed. No Survey or Termite Inspection Given. Taxes prorated 100%. Pre-Approval must accompany all Offers.
-
2008-02-06historical 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
3 Bedroom Split level in need of some TLC. Eat-In Kitchen, finished Basement with Family Room and a 2 Car detached Garage. Property is sold as is with as is Rider needed. No Survey or Termite Inspection Given. Taxes prorated 100%. Pre-Approval must accompany all Offers.
-
2007-10-24$89,950 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
3 Bedroom Split level in need of some TLC. Eat-In Kitchen, finished Basement with Family Room and a 2 Car detached Garage. Property is sold as is with as is Rider needed. No Survey or Termite Inspection Given. Taxes prorated 100%. Pre-Approval must accompany all Offers.
-
2003-03-25soldstatus $105,000
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1994-12-01soldstatus $70,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $8,856 · $738/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,856 · $738/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,404
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$8,856
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,272
- − Management
- −$2,272
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$7,514
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,803
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,589/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Phoenix
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #230
- US rank
- #4248
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Phoenix, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,066
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 12% White 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.36%
- Current HPI
- 313.7895
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+257.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-15 Listed $249,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-09-27 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-09-26 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-09-25 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-02-29 Sold (MLS) $94,650 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-02-06 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-10-24 Listed $89,950 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 1994-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2023): $8,856 · +471.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…