235 Magnolia Hts Dr · Hernando, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.9/15.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$330,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful new home in Magnolia Commons Final Phase! Open living concept with corner wall fireplace and hardwood flooring. Spacious kitchen has a center island/snack bar, granite tops, custom cabinets, stainless steel appliances, breakfast area and dining room. Awesome master bath with dual vanities, jetted tub, tile shower, walk-in closet and private toilet. Upstairs is the 4th bedroom and walk-in attic access. Full sod yard, brick exterior, gutters, covered patio and landscaping.
Key facts
- Luxury flooring
- Covered patio
- Walk in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowner association with $300 annual fee
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Single-family house; One and a half stories; General residential zoning
- Construction: Adobe and brick veneer construction; Slab foundation; Architectural shingle roof; Built (year source: appraiser)
- Exterior features: Rain gutters
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Stainless steel appliances; Granite counters; Kitchen island; Breakfast bar; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level (18 x 13); Bedroom on main level (11 x 10); Bedroom on main level (11 x 10); Bonus room/upper level playroom (15 x 16)
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (dual system)
- Interior features: Open floorplan with recessed lighting; Breakfast bar; Kitchen island; Pantry; Ceiling fans; Granite counters; Double vanity
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $330k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-315 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $274k (16.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (31.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $225k (31.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#44 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Desoto County School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #20 of 130 in MS (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hernando Elem (779 students, 100% FRL); Hernando Middle School (math 75% / reading 57%, grade A-, #2 of 179 statewide, top 1%, 1,150 students, 100% FRL); Hernando High School (math 69% / reading 62%, grade B, #2 of 197 statewide, top 1%, 1,419 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 43% district-wide (56 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 66% at this address vs 45% district-wide (+21 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Desoto County School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 407 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,155 units permitted in DeSoto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- DeSoto County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($325k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.09%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 12.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $299,280
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 187 Magnolia Gardens Dr | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 1,800 (+3%) | 2mo | $309,000 | $172 | 80 |
| 255 Magnolia Gardens Dr | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 1,800 (+3%) | 5mo | $309,900 | $172 | 78 |
| 3282 Magnolia Bloom Dr | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 | 1,800 (+3%) | 10mo | $315,000 | $175 | 77 |
| 244 Magnolia Gardens Dr | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 | 1,871 (+8%) | 2mo | $319,900 | $171 | 75 |
| 406 S Vaiden Ridge Dr | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 | 1,844 (+6%) | 0mo | $309,900 | $168 | 75 |
| 75 Wren St | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 | 1,850 (+6%) | 14mo | $295,000 | $159 | 71 |
| 380 N Vaiden Ridge Dr | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 | 1,825 (+5%) | 9mo | $299,900 | $164 | 70 |
| 3246 Magnolia Ridge Dr | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 | 1,897 (+9%) | 12mo | $315,000 | $166 | 67 |
| 65 Vaiden Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,733 (-0%) | 11mo | $269,000 | $155 | 67 |
| 230 Magnolia Gardens Dr | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 | 1,887 (+8%) | 9mo | $359,900 | $191 | 67 |
| 3040 Logans Loop | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (-8%) | 13mo | $292,000 | $183 | 64 |
| 3140 Magnolia Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,500 (-14%) | 12mo | $267,000 | $178 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-80,203
- Equity at exit
- $49,204
- IRR
- -35.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.31×
- Total profit
- $-121,450
- Equity at exit
- $28,532
Cash invested: $92,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38632
- Home prices YoY
- -31.8%
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 407
- Price-to-rent
- 12.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,246 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,731
- Tax from tax record
- −$196 /mo · $2,356/yr
- Insurance
- −$138
- HOA
- −$25
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$472
- Net cashflow
- $-315
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-128 | -5% $-222 | +0% $-315 | +5% $-408 | +10% $-502 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-492 | -5% $-404 | +0% $-315 | +5% $-226 | +10% $-138 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-149 | -0.5pp $-231 | base $-315 | +0.5pp $-401 | +1.0pp $-488 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,500
- Closing costs
- $9,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 285 Maidelle Cv Hernando, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,395 | $1.21 | 4d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 285 Maidelle Cv Hernando, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,395 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 2948 Mount Pleasant S Hernando, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1557 | $2,090 | $1.34 | 19d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 249 Vaiden Ridge Cv Hernando, MS | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2240 | $2,300 | $1.03 | 3d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 493 Southern St Hernando, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 3d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3426 Clepsyda Dr Hernando, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1943 | $1,995 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2159 Timberlane St Hernando, MS | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2150 | $4,500 | $2.09 | 6d | 1 | 1.21mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $25 · $300/yr
- Likely covers
- landscaping
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $330,000 Pending 15 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $330,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $330,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $330,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $330,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $330,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $330,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $330,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $330,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$330,000 Active
-
2022-02-25soldstatus Closed 485-char remark
Show marketing remark (485 chars)
Beautiful new home in Magnolia Commons Final Phase! Open living concept with corner wall fireplace and hardwood flooring. Spacious kitchen has a center island/snack bar, granite tops, custom cabinets, stainless steel appliances, breakfast area and dining room. Awesome master bath with dual vanities, jetted tub, tile shower, walk-in closet and private toilet. Upstairs is the 4th bedroom and walk-in attic access. Full sod yard, brick exterior, gutters, covered patio and landscaping.
-
2022-01-06status Pending 485-char remark
Show marketing remark (485 chars)
Beautiful new home in Magnolia Commons Final Phase! Open living concept with corner wall fireplace and hardwood flooring. Spacious kitchen has a center island/snack bar, granite tops, custom cabinets, stainless steel appliances, breakfast area and dining room. Awesome master bath with dual vanities, jetted tub, tile shower, walk-in closet and private toilet. Upstairs is the 4th bedroom and walk-in attic access. Full sod yard, brick exterior, gutters, covered patio and landscaping.
-
2022-01-03$312,900 Active 485-char remark
Show marketing remark (485 chars)
Beautiful new home in Magnolia Commons Final Phase! Open living concept with corner wall fireplace and hardwood flooring. Spacious kitchen has a center island/snack bar, granite tops, custom cabinets, stainless steel appliances, breakfast area and dining room. Awesome master bath with dual vanities, jetted tub, tile shower, walk-in closet and private toilet. Upstairs is the 4th bedroom and walk-in attic access. Full sod yard, brick exterior, gutters, covered patio and landscaping.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,356 · $196/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,607 · $217/mo
- Expected delta
- +$251/yr (+$21/mo · 10.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,952
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,485
- − Property taxes
- −$2,356
- − Insurance
- −$1,650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,156
- − Management
- −$2,156
- − HOA
- −$300
- − Depreciation
- −$9,600
- Taxable loss
- −$9,751
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,340
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,440/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a cosmetic rehab level and requires minimal repairs and maintenance. The highest-ROI updates that would raise its resale or rental value are painting the exterior and interior, landscaping improvements, HVAC maintenance, and kitchen appliances maintenance.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value
- Both HVAC maintenance — Regular HVAC maintenance ensures comfort and energy efficiency
- Both Kitchen appliances maintenance — Regular maintenance of appliances ensures they function properly and last longer
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both HVAC maintenance — Regular HVAC maintenance ensures comfort and energy efficiency ↑
- Both Kitchen appliances maintenance — Regular maintenance of appliances ensures they function properly and last longer ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desoto County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801320
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,272
- Composite
- 39.56/100
- National rank
- #3933
- State rank
- #20 of 130 in MS
Livability — Hernando
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #44
- US rank
- #8034
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hernando, MS
- County
- DeSoto County · 176,513 people
- City population
- 31,374
- Metro
- Memphis, TN-MS-AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,374
- Household income
- $93,583
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 24.0
Population outlook (DeSoto County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 203,338 people
- By 2030
- 217,692 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 245,320 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 270,133 · +32.8%
- By 2075
- 323,341 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 348,742 · +71.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 13% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · DeSoto
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 36.7% · R 60.8% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.2pp toward D · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+23.9 2016: R+34.8 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+38.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.49%
- Current HPI
- 176.8843
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.43%
- Metro
- Memphis, TN-MS-AR
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+5.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $330,000 MLSU
- 2022-02-25 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2022-01-06 Pending — MLSU
- 2022-01-03 Listed $312,900 MLSU
Property tax history
+103.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,356 · +20.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…