300 Wilson Dr · McComb, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Own your own paradise in the heart of McComb. This unique property offers an in-ground saltwater pool, security doors, and a floored attic, creating a wonderful foundation for comfortable living and entertaining. The home includes three bedrooms, one and a half baths, and a generously sized den ideal for gatherings and everyday enjoyment. An additional flexible space, previously used as a barber shop, provides endless possibilities for a home business, studio, or personalized retreat. The spacious backyard features a 16x18 pool house, perfect for hosting or relaxing poolside. Conveniently located near shopping and schools, this property presents an exciting opportunity to customize and create a space that truly feels like home. CASH OR REHAB LOAN ONLY
Key facts
- Security doors
- Floored attic
- 16x18 pool house
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $377 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 6.4% in McComb — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#50 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Mccomb School District (town): math 15% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #106 of 130 in MS (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 93% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 10 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pike County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (39%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.20%
- DSCR
- 1.90
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $146,929
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -45.62%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1409 Vermont Ave | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,738 (-1%) | 3mo | $189,400 | $109 | 75 |
| 813 Hart Rd Unit Ext | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,664 (-5%) | 8mo | $165,900 | $100 | 68 |
| 215 Shelly Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,927 (+10%) | 12mo | $159,900 | $83 | 68 |
| 1400 Stokes Ave | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,813 (+4%) | 15mo | $209,500 | $116 | 68 |
| 408 Wilson Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,566 (-11%) | 10mo | $128,000 | $82 | 66 |
| 103 Shannon Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,623 (-7%) | 19mo | $159,000 | $98 | 60 |
| 808 24th St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,778 (+2%) | 16mo | $99,500 | $56 | 59 |
| 1612 Pope Cir | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 | 1,896 (+8%) | 10mo | $160,440 | $85 | 58 |
| 1509 Park Dr | 0.25mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,881 (+7%) | 12mo | $165,000 | $88 | 55 |
| 629 Virginia Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,870 (+7%) | 13mo | $135,000 | $72 | 41 |
| 128 Sinclair St | 0.62mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,000 (+14%) | 0mo | $214,900 | $107 | 38 |
| 622 S Sixth St | 0.53mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,513 (-14%) | 11mo | $74,000 | $49 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $11,112
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.83×
- Total profit
- $40,854
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39648
- Active inventory
- 191
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,282 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$184 /mo · $2,206/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$269
- Net cashflow
- $377
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $422 | -5% $399 | +0% $377 | +5% $354 | +10% $331 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $275 | -5% $326 | +0% $377 | +5% $427 | +10% $478 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $417 | -0.5pp $397 | base $377 | +0.5pp $356 | +1.0pp $335 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 238 Westview Cir McComb, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1574 | $1,300 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1240 Parklane Rd McComb, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 994 | $999 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 606 Lakeview Ave McComb, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2312 | $1,500 | $0.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $79,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-05-16status Pending 761-char remark
Show marketing remark (761 chars)
Own your own paradise in the heart of McComb. This unique property offers an in-ground saltwater pool, security doors, and a floored attic, creating a wonderful foundation for comfortable living and entertaining. The home includes three bedrooms, one and a half baths, and a generously sized den ideal for gatherings and everyday enjoyment. An additional flexible space, previously used as a barber shop, provides endless possibilities for a home business, studio, or personalized retreat. The spacious backyard features a 16x18 pool house, perfect for hosting or relaxing poolside. Conveniently located near shopping and schools, this property presents an exciting opportunity to customize and create a space that truly feels like home. CASH OR REHAB LOAN ONLY
-
2026-04-28price $79,900 761-char remark
Show marketing remark (761 chars)
Own your own paradise in the heart of McComb. This unique property offers an in-ground saltwater pool, security doors, and a floored attic, creating a wonderful foundation for comfortable living and entertaining. The home includes three bedrooms, one and a half baths, and a generously sized den ideal for gatherings and everyday enjoyment. An additional flexible space, previously used as a barber shop, provides endless possibilities for a home business, studio, or personalized retreat. The spacious backyard features a 16x18 pool house, perfect for hosting or relaxing poolside. Conveniently located near shopping and schools, this property presents an exciting opportunity to customize and create a space that truly feels like home. CASH OR REHAB LOAN ONLY
-
2026-04-08price $84,900 761-char remark
Show marketing remark (761 chars)
Own your own paradise in the heart of McComb. This unique property offers an in-ground saltwater pool, security doors, and a floored attic, creating a wonderful foundation for comfortable living and entertaining. The home includes three bedrooms, one and a half baths, and a generously sized den ideal for gatherings and everyday enjoyment. An additional flexible space, previously used as a barber shop, provides endless possibilities for a home business, studio, or personalized retreat. The spacious backyard features a 16x18 pool house, perfect for hosting or relaxing poolside. Conveniently located near shopping and schools, this property presents an exciting opportunity to customize and create a space that truly feels like home. CASH OR REHAB LOAN ONLY
-
2026-02-25price $99,900 761-char remark
Show marketing remark (761 chars)
Own your own paradise in the heart of McComb. This unique property offers an in-ground saltwater pool, security doors, and a floored attic, creating a wonderful foundation for comfortable living and entertaining. The home includes three bedrooms, one and a half baths, and a generously sized den ideal for gatherings and everyday enjoyment. An additional flexible space, previously used as a barber shop, provides endless possibilities for a home business, studio, or personalized retreat. The spacious backyard features a 16x18 pool house, perfect for hosting or relaxing poolside. Conveniently located near shopping and schools, this property presents an exciting opportunity to customize and create a space that truly feels like home. CASH OR REHAB LOAN ONLY
-
2026-02-03price $123,500 761-char remark
Show marketing remark (761 chars)
Own your own paradise in the heart of McComb. This unique property offers an in-ground saltwater pool, security doors, and a floored attic, creating a wonderful foundation for comfortable living and entertaining. The home includes three bedrooms, one and a half baths, and a generously sized den ideal for gatherings and everyday enjoyment. An additional flexible space, previously used as a barber shop, provides endless possibilities for a home business, studio, or personalized retreat. The spacious backyard features a 16x18 pool house, perfect for hosting or relaxing poolside. Conveniently located near shopping and schools, this property presents an exciting opportunity to customize and create a space that truly feels like home. CASH OR REHAB LOAN ONLY
-
2026-01-15$130,000 Active 761-char remark
Show marketing remark (761 chars)
Own your own paradise in the heart of McComb. This unique property offers an in-ground saltwater pool, security doors, and a floored attic, creating a wonderful foundation for comfortable living and entertaining. The home includes three bedrooms, one and a half baths, and a generously sized den ideal for gatherings and everyday enjoyment. An additional flexible space, previously used as a barber shop, provides endless possibilities for a home business, studio, or personalized retreat. The spacious backyard features a 16x18 pool house, perfect for hosting or relaxing poolside. Conveniently located near shopping and schools, this property presents an exciting opportunity to customize and create a space that truly feels like home. CASH OR REHAB LOAN ONLY
-
2018-08-24soldstatus 446-char remark
Show marketing remark (446 chars)
Own your own PARADISE!! Located in the heart of McComb, this home features pristine landscaping, an in-ground salt water pool, security doors and a floored attic. Included in the home are 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, a HUGE den for family gatherings, and an add-on that was used as a barber shop! Lovely backyard has a nice 16X18 pool house! This home is convenient to shopping and schools and perfect for entertaining! Make this treasure your HOME!!!
-
2018-05-31$120,000 446-char remark
Show marketing remark (446 chars)
Own your own PARADISE!! Located in the heart of McComb, this home features pristine landscaping, an in-ground salt water pool, security doors and a floored attic. Included in the home are 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, a HUGE den for family gatherings, and an add-on that was used as a barber shop! Lovely backyard has a nice 16X18 pool house! This home is convenient to shopping and schools and perfect for entertaining! Make this treasure your HOME!!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,206 · $184/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,206 · $184/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,384
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$2,206
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,231
- − Management
- −$1,231
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $3,517
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$844
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,676/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mccomb School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802880
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,855
- Composite
- 12.26/100
- National rank
- #9645
- State rank
- #106 of 130 in MS
Livability — McComb
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #8347
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McComb, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,767
Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,766 people
- By 2030
- 37,874 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 35,743 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 33,276 · -14.2%
- By 2075
- 26,799 · -30.9%
- By 2100
- 18,562 · -52.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 32% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pike
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 51.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.0pp toward R · 2008: 3.5pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+1.0 2016: R+0.7 2012: D+7.6 2008: D+3.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.61%
- Current HPI
- 92.2495
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-33.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $79,900 MLSU
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $84,900 MLSU
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $99,900 MLSU
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $123,500 MLSU
- 2026-01-15 Listed $130,000 MLSU
- 2018-08-24 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2018-05-31 Listed $120,000 MLSU
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,206 · +119.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…