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300 Wilson Dr
B Composite 74.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

300 Wilson Dr · McComb, MS 39648
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,752 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 122 Days on market
Built 1972 0.26 ac lot $46/sqft · 44% below area Est $147k · 46% under ↓ 33% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Own your own paradise in the heart of McComb. This unique property offers an in-ground saltwater pool, security doors, and a floored attic, creating a wonderful foundation for comfortable living and entertaining. The home includes three bedrooms, one and a half baths, and a generously sized den ideal for gatherings and everyday enjoyment. An additional flexible space, previously used as a barber shop, provides endless possibilities for a home business, studio, or personalized retreat. The spacious backyard features a 16x18 pool house, perfect for hosting or relaxing poolside. Conveniently located near shopping and schools, this property presents an exciting opportunity to customize and create a space that truly feels like home. CASH OR REHAB LOAN ONLY

Key facts

  • Security doors
  • Floored attic
  • 16x18 pool house

Tags

IN-GROUND SALTWATER POOLSECURITY DOORSFLOORED ATTIC16X18 POOL HOUSE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $377 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 6.4% in McComb — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#50 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mccomb School District (town): math 15% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #106 of 130 in MS (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 93% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 10 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pike County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (39%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
11.95%
Cash-on-cash
20.20%
DSCR
1.90
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$146,929
List price
$79,900
Delta
-45.62%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1409 Vermont Ave 0.30mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,738 (-1%) 3mo $189,400 $109 75
813 Hart Rd Unit Ext 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,664 (-5%) 8mo $165,900 $100 68
215 Shelly Dr 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,927 (+10%) 12mo $159,900 $83 68
1400 Stokes Ave 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,813 (+4%) 15mo $209,500 $116 68
408 Wilson Dr 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,566 (-11%) 10mo $128,000 $82 66
103 Shannon Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,623 (-7%) 19mo $159,000 $98 60
808 24th St 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,778 (+2%) 16mo $99,500 $56 59
1612 Pope Cir 0.36mi 3/2.5 1,896 (+8%) 10mo $160,440 $85 58
1509 Park Dr 0.25mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,881 (+7%) 12mo $165,000 $88 55
629 Virginia Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,870 (+7%) 13mo $135,000 $72 41
128 Sinclair St 0.62mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,000 (+14%) 0mo $214,900 $107 38
622 S Sixth St 0.53mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,513 (-14%) 11mo $74,000 $49 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.5%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$11,112
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
21.4%
Equity multiple
2.83×
Total profit
$40,854
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39648

Active inventory
191
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,282 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$184 /mo · $2,206/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$377

Break-even live

Break-even rent $805
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $422 -5% $399 +0% $377 +5% $354 +10% $331
Rent -10% $275 -5% $326 +0% $377 +5% $427 +10% $478
Rate -1.0pp $417 -0.5pp $397 base $377 +0.5pp $356 +1.0pp $335

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
238 Westview Cir McComb, MS 3.0 2.0 1574 $1,300 $0.83 44d 1 0.12mi
1240 Parklane Rd McComb, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 994 $999 $1.01 44d 1 0.64mi
606 Lakeview Ave McComb, MS 2.0 2.0 2312 $1,500 $0.65 44d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $79,900 Active 122 DOM
  2. 2026-05-16
    status Pending 761-char remark
    Show marketing remark (761 chars)

    Own your own paradise in the heart of McComb. This unique property offers an in-ground saltwater pool, security doors, and a floored attic, creating a wonderful foundation for comfortable living and entertaining. The home includes three bedrooms, one and a half baths, and a generously sized den ideal for gatherings and everyday enjoyment. An additional flexible space, previously used as a barber shop, provides endless possibilities for a home business, studio, or personalized retreat. The spacious backyard features a 16x18 pool house, perfect for hosting or relaxing poolside. Conveniently located near shopping and schools, this property presents an exciting opportunity to customize and create a space that truly feels like home. CASH OR REHAB LOAN ONLY

  3. 2026-04-28
    price $79,900 761-char remark
    Show marketing remark (761 chars)

    Own your own paradise in the heart of McComb. This unique property offers an in-ground saltwater pool, security doors, and a floored attic, creating a wonderful foundation for comfortable living and entertaining. The home includes three bedrooms, one and a half baths, and a generously sized den ideal for gatherings and everyday enjoyment. An additional flexible space, previously used as a barber shop, provides endless possibilities for a home business, studio, or personalized retreat. The spacious backyard features a 16x18 pool house, perfect for hosting or relaxing poolside. Conveniently located near shopping and schools, this property presents an exciting opportunity to customize and create a space that truly feels like home. CASH OR REHAB LOAN ONLY

  4. 2026-04-08
    price $84,900 761-char remark
    Show marketing remark (761 chars)

    Own your own paradise in the heart of McComb. This unique property offers an in-ground saltwater pool, security doors, and a floored attic, creating a wonderful foundation for comfortable living and entertaining. The home includes three bedrooms, one and a half baths, and a generously sized den ideal for gatherings and everyday enjoyment. An additional flexible space, previously used as a barber shop, provides endless possibilities for a home business, studio, or personalized retreat. The spacious backyard features a 16x18 pool house, perfect for hosting or relaxing poolside. Conveniently located near shopping and schools, this property presents an exciting opportunity to customize and create a space that truly feels like home. CASH OR REHAB LOAN ONLY

  5. 2026-02-25
    price $99,900 761-char remark
    Show marketing remark (761 chars)

    Own your own paradise in the heart of McComb. This unique property offers an in-ground saltwater pool, security doors, and a floored attic, creating a wonderful foundation for comfortable living and entertaining. The home includes three bedrooms, one and a half baths, and a generously sized den ideal for gatherings and everyday enjoyment. An additional flexible space, previously used as a barber shop, provides endless possibilities for a home business, studio, or personalized retreat. The spacious backyard features a 16x18 pool house, perfect for hosting or relaxing poolside. Conveniently located near shopping and schools, this property presents an exciting opportunity to customize and create a space that truly feels like home. CASH OR REHAB LOAN ONLY

  6. 2026-02-03
    price $123,500 761-char remark
    Show marketing remark (761 chars)

    Own your own paradise in the heart of McComb. This unique property offers an in-ground saltwater pool, security doors, and a floored attic, creating a wonderful foundation for comfortable living and entertaining. The home includes three bedrooms, one and a half baths, and a generously sized den ideal for gatherings and everyday enjoyment. An additional flexible space, previously used as a barber shop, provides endless possibilities for a home business, studio, or personalized retreat. The spacious backyard features a 16x18 pool house, perfect for hosting or relaxing poolside. Conveniently located near shopping and schools, this property presents an exciting opportunity to customize and create a space that truly feels like home. CASH OR REHAB LOAN ONLY

  7. 2026-01-15
    listed $130,000 Active 761-char remark
    Show marketing remark (761 chars)

    Own your own paradise in the heart of McComb. This unique property offers an in-ground saltwater pool, security doors, and a floored attic, creating a wonderful foundation for comfortable living and entertaining. The home includes three bedrooms, one and a half baths, and a generously sized den ideal for gatherings and everyday enjoyment. An additional flexible space, previously used as a barber shop, provides endless possibilities for a home business, studio, or personalized retreat. The spacious backyard features a 16x18 pool house, perfect for hosting or relaxing poolside. Conveniently located near shopping and schools, this property presents an exciting opportunity to customize and create a space that truly feels like home. CASH OR REHAB LOAN ONLY

  8. 2018-08-24
    soldstatus 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    Own your own PARADISE!! Located in the heart of McComb, this home features pristine landscaping, an in-ground salt water pool, security doors and a floored attic. Included in the home are 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, a HUGE den for family gatherings, and an add-on that was used as a barber shop! Lovely backyard has a nice 16X18 pool house! This home is convenient to shopping and schools and perfect for entertaining! Make this treasure your HOME!!!

  9. 2018-05-31
    listed $120,000 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    Own your own PARADISE!! Located in the heart of McComb, this home features pristine landscaping, an in-ground salt water pool, security doors and a floored attic. Included in the home are 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, a HUGE den for family gatherings, and an add-on that was used as a barber shop! Lovely backyard has a nice 16X18 pool house! This home is convenient to shopping and schools and perfect for entertaining! Make this treasure your HOME!!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,206 · $184/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,206 · $184/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,384
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$2,206
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,231
− Management
−$1,231
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$3,517
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$844
After-tax cash flow
$3,676/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mccomb School District
NCES district ID
2802880
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$29,855
Composite
12.26/100
National rank
#9645
State rank
#106 of 130 in MS

Livability — McComb

Score
69/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#8347

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
McComb, MS
Population (ZIP)
19,767

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,766 people
By 2030
37,874 · -2.3%
By 2040
35,743 · -7.8%
By 2050
33,276 · -14.2%
By 2075
26,799 · -30.9%
By 2100
18,562 · -52.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 32% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 51.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.0pp toward R · 2008: 3.5pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+1.0 2016: R+0.7 2012: D+7.6 2008: D+3.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.61%
Current HPI
92.2495
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-33.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $79,900 MLSU
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $84,900 MLSU
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $99,900 MLSU
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $123,500 MLSU
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $130,000 MLSU
  • 2018-08-24 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2018-05-31 Listed $120,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,206 · +119.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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