1334 Chaffee · Fort Polk North, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tucked away on 1.16 acres surrounded by mature trees, this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the privacy and peaceful setting buyers are looking for. The property has been kept in pristine condition and features a spacious layout designed for comfortable everyday living. One of the standout features is the inviting covered front porch and extended decking--perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or enjoying the quiet, wooded surroundings. The 2-car carport provides convenient covered parking, and the long drive adds to the sense of privacy and space.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- 2-car carport
- 1.16 acres
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $94 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (18.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $146k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#289 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Vernon Parish (rural): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #18 of 98 in LA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.6%/yr); 210 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Vernon Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Vernon County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.23%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-15,553
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $28,944
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71446
- Home prices YoY
- -32.1%
- Rents YoY
- 9.6%
- Active inventory
- 210
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,463 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $522/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$307
- Net cashflow
- $94
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $195 | -5% $144 | +0% $94 | +5% $43 | +10% $-8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-22 | -5% $36 | +0% $94 | +5% $151 | +10% $209 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $184 | -0.5pp $139 | base $94 | +0.5pp $47 | +1.0pp $0 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $179,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $179,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $179,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-04-06$179,900 Active 571-char remark
Show marketing remark (571 chars)
Tucked away on 1.16 acres surrounded by mature trees, this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the privacy and peaceful setting buyers are looking for. The property has been kept in pristine condition and features a spacious layout designed for comfortable everyday living. One of the standout features is the inviting covered front porch and extended decking--perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or enjoying the quiet, wooded surroundings. The 2-car carport provides convenient covered parking, and the long drive adds to the sense of privacy and space.
-
2022-08-09soldstatus
-
2022-03-31$118,000
-
2022-03-11$125,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $522 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $989 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$467/yr (+$39/mo · 89.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,551
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$522
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,404
- − Management
- −$1,404
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$1,990
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$477
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,600/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vernon Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201830
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -42.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,822
- Composite
- 36.42/100
- National rank
- #4674
- State rank
- #18 of 98 in LA
Livability — Fort Polk North
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #289
- US rank
- #20652
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Vernon Parish · 21,275 people
- Metro
- Fort Polk South, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,275
- Household income
- $55,925
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 659.0
Population outlook (Vernon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,401 people
- By 2030
- 43,015 · -5.3%
- By 2040
- 38,171 · -15.9%
- By 2050
- 34,087 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 28,267 · -37.7%
- By 2100
- 25,486 · -43.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vernon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.9) · D 15.6% · R 83.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.5pp toward R · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -67.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.9 2020: R+64.9 2016: R+65.0 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.06%
- Current HPI
- 128.8849
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.60%
- Metro
- Fort Polk South, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+43.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Listed $179,900 GFPAR
- 2022-08-09 Sold (MLS) — GFPAR
- 2022-03-31 Listed $118,000 GFPAR
- 2022-03-11 Listed $125,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+40.5%/yrLatest (2025): $522 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…