6810 W Pershing Dr · Homosassa Springs, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,090
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Priced to sell. 3 br 2 bath 1296' doublewide. Fantastic eat-in-kitchen with cherry finished cabinets, breakfast bar, lg dining area and 22 x 10 foot deck.
Key facts
- 0.98 acre lot
- Built 1998
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Paved driveway; Unpaved parking areas
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewage
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Faces north
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Mobile home dimensions approximately 27' x 48'
- Exterior features: Deck; Level lot; Road frontage on a county road; Outdoor pool available
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Breakfast bar; Laminate countertops; No appliances included
- Bedrooms: Master downstairs
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Cathedral ceilings; Eat-in kitchen; Laminate counters; Open floorplan; Master bedroom on main level; Total of 6 rooms
- Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $861 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Cap rate 18.6% vs local median 5.9% in Homosassa Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#391 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Rock Crusher Elementary School (math 70% / reading 56%, grade B, #582 of 2,144 statewide, top 28%, 665 students, 68% FRL); Lecanto Middle School (math 49% / reading 49%, grade C-, #265 of 571 statewide, top 48%, 809 students, 55% FRL); Lecanto High School (math 46% / reading 53%, grade D, #179 of 667 statewide, top 29%, 1,630 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 307 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,974/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 113% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.12%
- DSCR
- 2.96
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $191,216
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6781 W Grant St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,294 (+0%) | 3mo | $186,000 | $144 | 86 |
| 7115 W Grant St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+0%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $112 | 79 |
| 3524 S Westmoreland Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,352 (+5%) | 5mo | $195,000 | $144 | 72 |
| 6589 W Rosedale Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+4%) | 15mo | $235,000 | $175 | 70 |
| 6718 W Pershing Dr | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,438 (+11%) | 2mo | $198,500 | $138 | 70 |
| 6910 W Rosedale Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (+10%) | 11mo | $259,900 | $183 | 63 |
| 6594 W Grant St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-11%) | 9mo | $184,000 | $160 | 61 |
| 2840 S Pine Ridge Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (+9%) | 3mo | $167,500 | $119 | 59 |
| 7059 W Jackson Ln | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,204 (-7%) | 18mo | $199,000 | $165 | 54 |
| 6394 W Beaumont Ln | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,153 (-11%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $173 | 54 |
| 3181 S Arundel Ter | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+13%) | 18mo | $215,000 | $148 | 36 |
| 3360 S Arundel Ter | 0.63mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,104 (-15%) | 17mo | $75,000 | $68 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $40,311
- Equity at exit
- $13,433
- IRR
- 44.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.20×
- Total profit
- $106,018
- Equity at exit
- $7,789
Cash invested: $25,225 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34448
- Home prices YoY
- -26.1%
- Active inventory
- 307
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,974 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$122 /mo · $1,462/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$414
- Net cashflow
- $861
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $912 | -5% $886 | +0% $861 | +5% $835 | +10% $810 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $705 | -5% $783 | +0% $861 | +5% $939 | +10% $1,017 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $906 | -0.5pp $884 | base $861 | +0.5pp $838 | +1.0pp $814 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,522
- Closing costs
- $2,703
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3844 S Swan Ter Homosassa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1172 | $1,800 | $1.54 | 22d | 1 | 0.57mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-10statusdays on market $90,090 Pending 1 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,090 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,090 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,090 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,090 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,090 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,090 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,090 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $90,090 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $90,090
-
2026-05-14price $90,090
-
2026-05-05$106,470 Active
-
2026-05-05$106,470 Active
-
2022-09-13soldstatus $200,000
-
2021-03-17soldstatus $116,000
-
2008-09-23soldstatus $75,000
-
2008-09-17soldstatus $75,000 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
Priced to sell. 3 br 2 bath 1296' doublewide. Fantastic eat-in-kitchen with cherry finished cabinets, breakfast bar, lg dining area and 22 x 10 foot deck.
-
2008-05-06$79,900 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
Priced to sell. 3 br 2 bath 1296' doublewide. Fantastic eat-in-kitchen with cherry finished cabinets, breakfast bar, lg dining area and 22 x 10 foot deck.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,462 · $122/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,462 · $122/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,684
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,046
- − Property taxes
- −$1,462
- − Insurance
- −$1,248
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,895
- − Management
- −$1,895
- − Depreciation
- −$2,621
- Taxable income
- $9,517
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,284
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,047/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Citrus
- NCES district ID
- 1200270
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,618
- Composite
- 41.28/100
- National rank
- #3519
- State rank
- #44 of 73 in FL
Livability — Homosassa Springs
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #391
- US rank
- #6877
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- County
- Citrus County · 111,314 people
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,817
- Household income
- $45,916
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 113.0
Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,622 people
- By 2030
- 136,886 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 132,009 · -4.8%
- By 2050
- 125,196 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 108,570 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 84,454 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Citrus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.27%
- Current HPI
- 312.4302
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+12.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $90,090 RACC
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $90,090 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-05 Listed $106,470 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-05 Listed $106,470 RACC
- 2022-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
- 2021-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $116,000 Public Records
- 2008-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2008-09-17 Sold (MLS) $75,000 RACC
- 2008-05-06 Listed $79,900 RACC
Property tax history
+12.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,462 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…