920 Brinwood Dr · Mango, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Back on Market: County Water and septic. Septic has been pumped out; inspection report for investor, and a Excellent area for potential professional office2/2. 2/2, with electric fireplace, and plenty of frontage for parking. Rear property fenced, with cement slab and a Aluminum storage building. Seller has never lived on property, and subject has been treated for termites/warranty. Please call for appointment, MH ready for floor repairs and renovations to one's taste. Property will me mowed perodically, due to lack of rain.
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- Built 1986
- Listed 90 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $562 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#265 in FL, #4,263 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 194 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.1% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $119k implies a 164% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.25%
- DSCR
- 1.90
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $14,945
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.58×
- Total profit
- $52,770
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33584
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 194
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,740 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$139 /mo · $1,668/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$365
- Net cashflow
- $562
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $630 | -5% $596 | +0% $562 | +5% $528 | +10% $495 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $425 | -5% $493 | +0% $562 | +5% $631 | +10% $700 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $622 | -0.5pp $592 | base $562 | +0.5pp $531 | +1.0pp $500 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12002 Embarcadero Dr Seffner, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,695 | $1.95 | 5d | 2 | 0.80mi |
| 12002 Embarcadero Dr Unit 12018 Seffner, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,695 | $1.95 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5619 Peach Ave Seffner, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,450 | $1.73 | 0d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 5502 Peach Ave Seffner, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,700 | $2.02 | 20d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5351 Peach Ave Unit B Seffner, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,299 | $1.53 | 5d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 5328 Orange Ave Unit A Seffner, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,850 | $2.18 | 18d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5228 Cherry Ave Seffner, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,425 | $2.19 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5228 Cherry Ave Unit B Seffner, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,425 | $2.19 | 12d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5228 Cherry Ave Unit B Seffner, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,425 | $2.19 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 901 S Taylor Rd Seffner, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,500 | $2.07 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1114 Park St Seffner, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $2,135 | $1.91 | 25d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5228 Orange Ave Apt A Seffner, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $1,850 | $2.11 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5226 Orange Ave Unit A Seffner, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 845 | $1,850 | $2.19 | 18d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $119,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-04-22status Active 534-char remark
Show marketing remark (534 chars)
Back on Market: County Water and septic. Septic has been pumped out; inspection report for investor, and a Excellent area for potential professional office2/2. 2/2, with electric fireplace, and plenty of frontage for parking. Rear property fenced, with cement slab and a Aluminum storage building. Seller has never lived on property, and subject has been treated for termites/warranty. Please call for appointment, MH ready for floor repairs and renovations to one's taste. Property will me mowed perodically, due to lack of rain.
-
2026-04-18status Pending 534-char remark
Show marketing remark (534 chars)
Back on Market: County Water and septic. Septic has been pumped out; inspection report for investor, and a Excellent area for potential professional office2/2. 2/2, with electric fireplace, and plenty of frontage for parking. Rear property fenced, with cement slab and a Aluminum storage building. Seller has never lived on property, and subject has been treated for termites/warranty. Please call for appointment, MH ready for floor repairs and renovations to one's taste. Property will me mowed perodically, due to lack of rain.
-
2026-04-07status Active 534-char remark
Show marketing remark (534 chars)
Back on Market: County Water and septic. Septic has been pumped out; inspection report for investor, and a Excellent area for potential professional office2/2. 2/2, with electric fireplace, and plenty of frontage for parking. Rear property fenced, with cement slab and a Aluminum storage building. Seller has never lived on property, and subject has been treated for termites/warranty. Please call for appointment, MH ready for floor repairs and renovations to one's taste. Property will me mowed perodically, due to lack of rain.
-
2026-04-02status Pending 534-char remark
Show marketing remark (534 chars)
Back on Market: County Water and septic. Septic has been pumped out; inspection report for investor, and a Excellent area for potential professional office2/2. 2/2, with electric fireplace, and plenty of frontage for parking. Rear property fenced, with cement slab and a Aluminum storage building. Seller has never lived on property, and subject has been treated for termites/warranty. Please call for appointment, MH ready for floor repairs and renovations to one's taste. Property will me mowed perodically, due to lack of rain.
-
2026-03-11$138,000 Active 534-char remark
Show marketing remark (534 chars)
Back on Market: County Water and septic. Septic has been pumped out; inspection report for investor, and a Excellent area for potential professional office2/2. 2/2, with electric fireplace, and plenty of frontage for parking. Rear property fenced, with cement slab and a Aluminum storage building. Seller has never lived on property, and subject has been treated for termites/warranty. Please call for appointment, MH ready for floor repairs and renovations to one's taste. Property will me mowed perodically, due to lack of rain.
-
2005-05-27soldstatus $45,100
-
2005-05-16soldstatus $45,011 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
HUD Property sold 'as-is', Information from sources deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Buyer to verify all information. To show use HUD master key. Case #093-554268. EVIDENCE OF MOLD NO REMEDIATION DONE, MOBILE HOME.
-
2005-04-01$50,000 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
HUD Property sold 'as-is', Information from sources deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Buyer to verify all information. To show use HUD master key. Case #093-554268. EVIDENCE OF MOLD NO REMEDIATION DONE, MOBILE HOME.
-
2003-05-29soldstatus $62,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,668 · $139/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,668 · $139/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,882
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$1,668
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,671
- − Management
- −$1,671
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $5,151
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,236
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,510/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Mango
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #265
- US rank
- #4263
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mango, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
- City population
- 27,172
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,579
- Household income
- $72,267
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 378.0
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 16% Two or more races 14% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 4% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 17% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -286.15%
- Current HPI
- 312.894
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.08%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+122.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-18 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-07 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-11 Listed $138,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $45,100 Public Records
- 2005-05-16 Sold (MLS) $45,011 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-04-01 Listed $50,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,668 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…