708 Barrow St · Goldthwaite, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +9.1/10.0
- Cash flow +7.1/30.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.3/10.0
$169,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Gorgeous Remodeled 4 bed 2 bath home. Everything is new and I mean everything, the only existing is the frame and exterior siding. This is a like new home at a pre owned home price. Nice open kitchen living and dining areas. Large closets in all 4 bedrooms. Nice large laundry room. Move in ready, call us today before it is gone.
Key facts
- Laminate floors
- Updated kitchen
- Open concept home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Probate listing; 1031 exchange, cash, or conventional offers accepted; Listing is for sale
- Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
- HOA & community: No association (no HOA)
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking (no covered or carport spaces listed)
- Security: No security details provided
- Utilities: City sewer; City water; Electricity available; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story; Attached
- Construction: Built in 1930; No additional construction details provided
- Exterior features: Lot is less than 0.5 acre (about 0.28 acre); Gravel parking area
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (primary bedroom on level 1, approx. 12 x 12)
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No heating or cooling details provided
- Interior features: High speed internet available; Two living areas; One dining area; One level
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-238 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (24.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (24.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $127k (24.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 1.6% in Goldthwaite — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#725 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Goldthwaite ISD (rural): math 65% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #50 of 826 in TX (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Goldthwaite El (math 67% / reading 62%, grade B, #257 of 4,322 statewide, top 6%, 242 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (8.2% local appreciation)).
- Mills County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 424 days — a 12% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 424 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.03%
- DSCR
- 0.73
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $312,120
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1310 W 7th St | 0.08mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,012 (-12%) | 9mo | $75,000 | $37 | 59 |
| 506 W Second St W | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 | 2,052 (-11%) | 7mo | $280,000 | $136 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.21% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $56,963
- Equity at exit
- $131,173
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.73×
- Total profit
- $176,800
- Equity at exit
- $262,698
Cash invested: $47,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76844
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,278 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$889
- Tax from tax record
- −$289 /mo · $3,464/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $-238
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-142 | -5% $-190 | +0% $-238 | +5% $-286 | +10% $-334 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-339 | -5% $-289 | +0% $-238 | +5% $-188 | +10% $-137 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-153 | -0.5pp $-195 | base $-238 | +0.5pp $-282 | +1.0pp $-327 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,375
- Closing costs
- $5,085
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $169,500 Active 424 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $169,500 Active 423 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,500 Active 421 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,500 Active 420 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,500 Active 419 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,500 Active 418 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,500 Active 416 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $169,500 Active 415 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,500 Active 412 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,500 Active 411 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,500 Active 410 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,500 Active 406 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,500 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,500 Active 404 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,500 Active 403 DOM
-
2026-04-27price $169,500
-
2026-04-27status Active
-
2026-04-18historical Active Option Contract
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2026-04-03price $182,500
-
2026-01-30price $189,500
-
2025-12-30price $199,500
-
2025-10-21price $210,500
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2025-08-14price $220,500
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2025-07-24status Active
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2025-07-17historical Active Option Contract
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2025-04-21$229,500 Active
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2021-12-20soldstatus Sold 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Gorgeous Remodeled 4 bed 2 bath home. Everything is new and I mean everything, the only existing is the frame and exterior siding. This is a like new home at a pre owned home price. Nice open kitchen living and dining areas. Large closets in all 4 bedrooms. Nice large laundry room. Move in ready, call us today before it is gone.
-
2021-12-11status Pending 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Gorgeous Remodeled 4 bed 2 bath home. Everything is new and I mean everything, the only existing is the frame and exterior siding. This is a like new home at a pre owned home price. Nice open kitchen living and dining areas. Large closets in all 4 bedrooms. Nice large laundry room. Move in ready, call us today before it is gone.
-
2021-12-07historical Active Option Contract 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Gorgeous Remodeled 4 bed 2 bath home. Everything is new and I mean everything, the only existing is the frame and exterior siding. This is a like new home at a pre owned home price. Nice open kitchen living and dining areas. Large closets in all 4 bedrooms. Nice large laundry room. Move in ready, call us today before it is gone.
-
2021-11-30price $192,000 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Gorgeous Remodeled 4 bed 2 bath home. Everything is new and I mean everything, the only existing is the frame and exterior siding. This is a like new home at a pre owned home price. Nice open kitchen living and dining areas. Large closets in all 4 bedrooms. Nice large laundry room. Move in ready, call us today before it is gone.
-
2021-11-02$209,000 Active 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Gorgeous Remodeled 4 bed 2 bath home. Everything is new and I mean everything, the only existing is the frame and exterior siding. This is a like new home at a pre owned home price. Nice open kitchen living and dining areas. Large closets in all 4 bedrooms. Nice large laundry room. Move in ready, call us today before it is gone.
-
2009-06-12soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,464 · $289/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,464 · $289/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,339
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,495
- − Property taxes
- −$3,464
- − Insurance
- −$848
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,227
- − Management
- −$1,227
- − Depreciation
- −$4,931
- Taxable loss
- −$5,853
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,405
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,456/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Goldthwaite ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4821000
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,846
- Composite
- 53.53/100
- National rank
- #1447
- State rank
- #50 of 826 in TX
Livability — Goldthwaite
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #725
- US rank
- #13478
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Goldthwaite, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,202
Population outlook (Mills County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,793 people
- By 2030
- 4,723 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 4,562 · -4.8%
- By 2050
- 4,366 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 4,053 · -15.4%
- By 2100
- 3,628 · -24.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 15%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 8% Slovak 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Mills
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+76.9) · D 11.3% · R 88.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.7pp toward R · 2008: -62.2pp · 2024: -76.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+76.9 2020: R+77.7 2016: R+76.3 2012: R+73.0 2008: R+62.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.21%
- Current HPI
- 205.1126
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-18.9% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $169,500 NTREIS
- 2026-04-27 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-04-18 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $182,500 NTREIS
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $189,500 NTREIS
- 2025-12-30 Price Changed $199,500 NTREIS
- 2025-10-21 Price Changed $210,500 NTREIS
- 2025-08-14 Price Changed $220,500 NTREIS
- 2025-07-24 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-07-17 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2025-04-21 Listed $229,500 NTREIS
- 2021-12-20 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2021-12-11 Pending — NTREIS
- 2021-12-07 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2021-11-30 Price Changed $192,000 NTREIS
- 2021-11-02 Listed $209,000 NTREIS
- 2009-06-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+12.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,464 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…