4315 Webster Ave Unit 3B · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Commuters dream. Spacious 1 bedroom coop. Metro North & Buses just steps away. Bronx River Parkway provides easy access to NYC and Westchester. Great Woodlawn area. Restaurants and Shops just a short walk away. Freshly painted, large dining area opens to even larger living room. Eat in kitchen with wood cabinets. Two closets in hall and His and Hers closets in Bedroom. Hardwood floors through out. This building is keeping up with the times. With renovated laundry room on premise, updated common areas and energy efficient LED lighting throughout. Keeping maintenance costs down. Why pay high rents when you could own for so much less. Come and see for yourself. Additional Information: Amenities:Storage,HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,
Key facts
- Tiled kitchen floor
- Updated electric
- New refrigerator
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $571 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 189 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 189 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.60%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $7,234
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- 13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $53,269
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10470
- Home prices YoY
- -28.6%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,297 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,700/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$482
- Net cashflow
- $571
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $695 | -5% $633 | +0% $571 | +5% $509 | +10% $447 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $390 | -5% $480 | +0% $571 | +5% $662 | +10% $752 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $662 | -0.5pp $617 | base $571 | +0.5pp $524 | +1.0pp $477 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135 Wakefield Ave Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $3,000 | $3.53 | 44d | 2 | 0.47mi |
| 216 1st St Unit 1 Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,000 | $3.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 255 Bronx River Rd Unit 4R Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,250 | $2.81 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 277 Bronx River Rd Apt 3M Yonkers, NY | — | 1.0 | 550 | $1,700 | $3.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2325 Cortlandt St Unit 4 Mt Vernon, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,300 | $3.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 675 McLean Ave Unit 006H Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 577 | $2,071 | $3.59 | 5d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 119 S 13th Ave Mount Vernon, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,997 | $3.75 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 20 Overhill Pl Unit 3 Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $3,000 | $3.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 119 S 11th Ave Unit 1 Mt Vernon, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,800 | $4.00 | 11d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 13 N Bond St Mount Vernon, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,785 | $2.98 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 18 N Bond St Unit 3D Mt Vernon, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,000 | $2.67 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 32 N Bond St Mount Vernon, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,900 | $2.24 | 8d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 495 Kimball Ave Unit First Floor Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,000 | $2.73 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 142 Trenchard St Unit 2E Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,250 | $2.50 | 11d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 150 S 6th Ave Unit 2 Mt Vernon, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,500 | $3.12 | 8d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 150 S 6th Ave Unit 2 Mt Vernon, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,500 | $3.12 | 18d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 14 Elm St Unit 2 Mt Vernon, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,800 | $2.80 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 86 Edgewood Ave Apt 2E Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,599 | $2.60 | 19d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 86 Edgewood Ave Unit 2W Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,699 | $2.70 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-06status Pending
-
2026-02-18status Active
-
2026-01-31historical
-
2025-11-02price $180,000
-
2025-09-11$185,000 Active
-
2019-04-30soldstatus $162,000 Sold 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Commuters dream. Spacious 1 bedroom coop. Metro North & Buses just steps away. Bronx River Parkway provides easy access to NYC and Westchester. Great Woodlawn area. Restaurants and Shops just a short walk away. Freshly painted, large dining area opens to even larger living room. Eat in kitchen with wood cabinets. Two closets in hall and His and Hers closets in Bedroom. Hardwood floors through out. This building is keeping up with the times. With renovated laundry room on premise, updated common areas and energy efficient LED lighting throughout. Keeping maintenance costs down. Why pay high rents when you could own for so much less. Come and see for yourself. Additional Information: Amenities:Storage,HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,
-
2018-12-24status Pending 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Commuters dream. Spacious 1 bedroom coop. Metro North & Buses just steps away. Bronx River Parkway provides easy access to NYC and Westchester. Great Woodlawn area. Restaurants and Shops just a short walk away. Freshly painted, large dining area opens to even larger living room. Eat in kitchen with wood cabinets. Two closets in hall and His and Hers closets in Bedroom. Hardwood floors through out. This building is keeping up with the times. With renovated laundry room on premise, updated common areas and energy efficient LED lighting throughout. Keeping maintenance costs down. Why pay high rents when you could own for so much less. Come and see for yourself. Additional Information: Amenities:Storage,HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,
-
2018-06-22$169,000 Active 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Commuters dream. Spacious 1 bedroom coop. Metro North & Buses just steps away. Bronx River Parkway provides easy access to NYC and Westchester. Great Woodlawn area. Restaurants and Shops just a short walk away. Freshly painted, large dining area opens to even larger living room. Eat in kitchen with wood cabinets. Two closets in hall and His and Hers closets in Bedroom. Hardwood floors through out. This building is keeping up with the times. With renovated laundry room on premise, updated common areas and energy efficient LED lighting throughout. Keeping maintenance costs down. Why pay high rents when you could own for so much less. Come and see for yourself. Additional Information: Amenities:Storage,HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,569
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$2,700
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,205
- − Management
- −$2,205
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable income
- $4,239
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,017
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,835/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,004
- Household income
- $90,046
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 805.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 9% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.64%
- Current HPI
- 286.9195
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+6.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-18 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-31 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-02 Price Changed $180,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-11 Listed $185,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-04-30 Sold (MLS) $162,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-24 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-22 Listed $169,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…