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643 Belgrove St
D- Composite 38.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.3/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.8/30.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$324,000

643 Belgrove St · DeBary, FL 32713
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,548 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 282 Days on market
Built 2022 2,091 sqft lot $209/sqft · 9% below area Est $362k · 11% under $114/mo HOA · 4% of rent ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

? Beautiful and Move-In Ready Home in DeBary! ? Built in 2022, this well-maintained residence offers modern living with stunning granite countertops, an open and inviting layout. The home has been meticulously cared for, giving it a like-new feel. Conveniently located near shops, dining, and major roadways, this property combines comfort, style, and practicality—perfect for your next home!

Key facts

  • $114 HOA
  • Garage
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $324k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-356 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $261k (19.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $261k (19.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $261k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.8% in DeBary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#312 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 273 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($88k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 282 days — a 12% lower offer ($285k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $261,102 (19.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 282 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
4.97%
Cash-on-cash
-4.71%
DSCR
0.79
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$362,456
List price
$324,000
Delta
-10.61%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
17 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.6%
Equity multiple
0.14×
Total profit
$-77,915
Equity at exit
$48,309
10-year hold
IRR
-26.0%
Equity multiple
-0.19×
Total profit
$-108,017
Equity at exit
$28,014

Cash invested: $90,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32713

Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
273
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,613 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,699
Tax from tax record
$472 /mo · $5,668/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$114
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$549
Net cashflow
$-356

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,064
Max offer price $261,102
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,000
Closing costs
$9,720
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
700 Costa Ln Debary, FL 4.0 2.5 2200 $2,900 $1.32 23d 1 0.14mi
730 Rivington Ave Debary, FL 3.0 2.5 1998 $2,600 $1.30 23d 1 0.16mi
658 Reader Ln Debary, FL 3.0 2.5 1687 $2,295 $1.36 23d 1 0.41mi
550 Orient Ave Debary, FL 3.0 2.0 1639 $2,395 $1.46 23d 1 1.41mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$114 · $1,368/yr

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $324,000 Active 282 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $324,000 Active 281 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $324,000 Active 280 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $324,000 Active 279 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $324,000 Active 277 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $324,000 Active 274 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $324,000 Active 273 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $324,000 Active 272 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $324,000 Active 271 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $324,000 Active 268 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $324,000 Active 267 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $324,000 Active 266 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $324,000 Active 265 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $324,000 Active 264 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $324,000 Active 263 DOM
  16. 2026-02-15
    status Active 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    ? Beautiful and Move-In Ready Home in DeBary! ? Built in 2022, this well-maintained residence offers modern living with stunning granite countertops, an open and inviting layout. The home has been meticulously cared for, giving it a like-new feel. Conveniently located near shops, dining, and major roadways, this property combines comfort, style, and practicality—perfect for your next home!

  17. 2026-01-31
    historical 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    ? Beautiful and Move-In Ready Home in DeBary! ? Built in 2022, this well-maintained residence offers modern living with stunning granite countertops, an open and inviting layout. The home has been meticulously cared for, giving it a like-new feel. Conveniently located near shops, dining, and major roadways, this property combines comfort, style, and practicality—perfect for your next home!

  18. 2025-12-15
    price $324,000 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    ? Beautiful and Move-In Ready Home in DeBary! ? Built in 2022, this well-maintained residence offers modern living with stunning granite countertops, an open and inviting layout. The home has been meticulously cared for, giving it a like-new feel. Conveniently located near shops, dining, and major roadways, this property combines comfort, style, and practicality—perfect for your next home!

  19. 2025-10-13
    price $334,900 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    ? Beautiful and Move-In Ready Home in DeBary! ? Built in 2022, this well-maintained residence offers modern living with stunning granite countertops, an open and inviting layout. The home has been meticulously cared for, giving it a like-new feel. Conveniently located near shops, dining, and major roadways, this property combines comfort, style, and practicality—perfect for your next home!

  20. 2025-08-25
    listed $337,000 Active 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    ? Beautiful and Move-In Ready Home in DeBary! ? Built in 2022, this well-maintained residence offers modern living with stunning granite countertops, an open and inviting layout. The home has been meticulously cared for, giving it a like-new feel. Conveniently located near shops, dining, and major roadways, this property combines comfort, style, and practicality—perfect for your next home!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,668 · $472/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,668 · $472/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,357
− Mortgage interest
−$18,149
− Property taxes
−$5,668
− Insurance
−$1,620
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,509
− Management
−$2,509
− HOA
−$1,368
− Depreciation
−$9,425
Taxable loss
−$9,890
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,374
After-tax cash flow
$-1,899/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Volusia
NCES district ID
1201920
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,946
Composite
39.2/100
National rank
#4019
State rank
#47 of 73 in FL

Livability — DeBary

Score
73/100
State rank
#312
US rank
#5314

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
DeBary, FL
County
Volusia County · 556,871 people
City population
22,884
Metro
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
22,884
Household income
$88,500
Rent vs Own
12.9% rent · 87.1% own
Severe rent burden
265.0

Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
572,749 people
By 2030
598,695 · +4.5%
By 2040
644,880 · +12.6%
By 2050
681,451 · +19.0%
By 2075
759,957 · +32.7%
By 2100
778,902 · +36.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 10% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Volusia

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
2008→2024 swing
-27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -247.35%
Current HPI
294.803
Rent YoY
▲ 1.89%
Metro
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-15 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-31 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-15 Price Changed $324,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-13 Price Changed $334,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-25 Listed $337,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+32.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,668 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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