1546 Hartwell Hwy · Elberton, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Experience the perfect blend of privacy and convenience with this spacious manufactured home set on 5.49 beautiful, serene acres. Whether you're looking for a peaceful primary residence or a getaway close to the water, this property offers the best of Georgia country living. Enjoy quiet, private living while being just a short drive from the charm of Downtown Elberton and Hartwell. Sportsman's Paradise: Unbeatable access to the region's best recreation-minutes away from Lake Hartwell, Lake Russell, and Clarkes Hill Lake. The home features tasteful renovations, making it move-in ready and comfortable. There's also some Large outbuildings to provide ample storage or the perfect setup for a Man Cave, She Shed, or workshop. With over 5 acres to call your own, there is plenty of room to roam, garden, or simply enjoy the view. Don't miss this opportunity for affordable acreage in a fantastic location!
Key facts
- Large outbuildings
- Lake russell
- Access to recreation
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $171 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (12.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.5% in Elberton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#375 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Elbert County (rural): math 26% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #124 of 174 in GA (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Elbert County Elementary School (math 40% / reading 26%, grade F, #567 of 1,228 statewide, top 47%, 656 students, 85% FRL); Elbert County Middle School (math 23% / reading 27%, grade F, #291 of 470 statewide, top 64%, 929 students, 85% FRL); Elbert County High School (math 17% / reading 12%, grade F, #315 of 424 statewide, top 76%, 875 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 61% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 187 active listings in the ZIP; 77 units permitted in Elbert County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Elbert County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.59%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $236,987
- List price
- $160,000
- Delta
- -32.49%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.19×
- Total profit
- $97,974
- Equity at exit
- $144,141
- IRR
- 24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.24×
- Total profit
- $279,775
- Equity at exit
- $310,845
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30635
- Home prices YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 187
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,407 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$35 /mo · $418/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $171
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $262 | -5% $217 | +0% $171 | +5% $126 | +10% $81 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $60 | -5% $116 | +0% $171 | +5% $227 | +10% $283 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $252 | -0.5pp $212 | base $171 | +0.5pp $130 | +1.0pp $88 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $160,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $160,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $160,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $160,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-09statusdays on market $160,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Price Change 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricestatusdays on market $160,000 Price Change 80 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $170,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $170,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $170,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $170,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $170,000 913-char remark
Show marketing remark (913 chars)
Experience the perfect blend of privacy and convenience with this spacious manufactured home set on 5.49 beautiful, serene acres. Whether you're looking for a peaceful primary residence or a getaway close to the water, this property offers the best of Georgia country living. Enjoy quiet, private living while being just a short drive from the charm of Downtown Elberton and Hartwell. Sportsman's Paradise: Unbeatable access to the region's best recreation-minutes away from Lake Hartwell, Lake Russell, and Clarkes Hill Lake. The home features tasteful renovations, making it move-in ready and comfortable. There's also some Large outbuildings to provide ample storage or the perfect setup for a Man Cave, She Shed, or workshop. With over 5 acres to call your own, there is plenty of room to roam, garden, or simply enjoy the view. Don't miss this opportunity for affordable acreage in a fantastic location!
-
2026-03-16$180,000 New 913-char remark
Show marketing remark (913 chars)
Experience the perfect blend of privacy and convenience with this spacious manufactured home set on 5.49 beautiful, serene acres. Whether you're looking for a peaceful primary residence or a getaway close to the water, this property offers the best of Georgia country living. Enjoy quiet, private living while being just a short drive from the charm of Downtown Elberton and Hartwell. Sportsman's Paradise: Unbeatable access to the region's best recreation-minutes away from Lake Hartwell, Lake Russell, and Clarkes Hill Lake. The home features tasteful renovations, making it move-in ready and comfortable. There's also some Large outbuildings to provide ample storage or the perfect setup for a Man Cave, She Shed, or workshop. With over 5 acres to call your own, there is plenty of room to roam, garden, or simply enjoy the view. Don't miss this opportunity for affordable acreage in a fantastic location!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $418 · $35/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,472 · $123/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,054/yr (+$88/mo · 252.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,890
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$418
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,351
- − Management
- −$1,351
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable loss
- −$648
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$155
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,212/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elbert County
- NCES district ID
- 1302010
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,498
- Composite
- 21.0/100
- National rank
- #8458
- State rank
- #124 of 174 in GA
Livability — Elberton
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #375
- US rank
- #19001
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,107
Population outlook (Elbert County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,648 people
- By 2030
- 16,675 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 14,631 · -17.1%
- By 2050
- 12,632 · -28.4%
- By 2075
- 8,704 · -50.7%
- By 2100
- 5,958 · -66.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Elbert
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.4) · D 28.2% · R 71.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -43.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.4 2020: R+36.5 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+18.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.03%
- Current HPI
- 332.46
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-5.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $170,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-16 Listed $180,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $418 · +11.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…