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1546 Hartwell Hwy
C+ Composite 64.09
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$160,000

1546 Hartwell Hwy · Elberton, GA 30635
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured public records · 94 Days on market
Built 1979 5.49 ac lot $128/sqft · 32% below area Est $237k · 32% under ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Experience the perfect blend of privacy and convenience with this spacious manufactured home set on 5.49 beautiful, serene acres. Whether you're looking for a peaceful primary residence or a getaway close to the water, this property offers the best of Georgia country living. Enjoy quiet, private living while being just a short drive from the charm of Downtown Elberton and Hartwell. Sportsman's Paradise: Unbeatable access to the region's best recreation-minutes away from Lake Hartwell, Lake Russell, and Clarkes Hill Lake. The home features tasteful renovations, making it move-in ready and comfortable. There's also some Large outbuildings to provide ample storage or the perfect setup for a Man Cave, She Shed, or workshop. With over 5 acres to call your own, there is plenty of room to roam, garden, or simply enjoy the view. Don't miss this opportunity for affordable acreage in a fantastic location!

Key facts

  • Large outbuildings
  • Lake russell
  • Access to recreation

Tags

5.49 ACRESACCESS TO RECREATIONLAKE HARTWELLLAKE RUSSELLCLARKES HILL LAKELARGE OUTBUILDINGS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $171 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (12.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.5% in Elberton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#375 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Elbert County (rural): math 26% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #124 of 174 in GA (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Elbert County Elementary School (math 40% / reading 26%, grade F, #567 of 1,228 statewide, top 47%, 656 students, 85% FRL); Elbert County Middle School (math 23% / reading 27%, grade F, #291 of 470 statewide, top 64%, 929 students, 85% FRL); Elbert County High School (math 17% / reading 12%, grade F, #315 of 424 statewide, top 76%, 875 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 61% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 187 active listings in the ZIP; 77 units permitted in Elbert County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Elbert County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,747 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
7.58%
Cash-on-cash
4.59%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$236,987
List price
$160,000
Delta
-32.49%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.6%
Equity multiple
3.19×
Total profit
$97,974
Equity at exit
$144,141
10-year hold
IRR
24.1%
Equity multiple
7.24×
Total profit
$279,775
Equity at exit
$310,845

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30635

Home prices YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
187
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,407 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$35 /mo · $418/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$171

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,191
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $262 -5% $217 +0% $171 +5% $126 +10% $81
Rent -10% $60 -5% $116 +0% $171 +5% $227 +10% $283
Rate -1.0pp $252 -0.5pp $212 base $171 +0.5pp $130 +1.0pp $88

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $160,000 Active 94 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $160,000 Active 92 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $160,000 Active 91 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 90 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 89 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 88 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $160,000 Active 86 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 85 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $160,000 Active 83 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $160,000 Active 82 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Price Change 81 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    pricestatusdays on market $160,000 Price Change 80 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $170,000 Active 75 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $170,000 Active 74 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 73 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $170,000 Active 72 DOM
  17. 2026-05-05
    price $170,000 913-char remark
    Show marketing remark (913 chars)

    Experience the perfect blend of privacy and convenience with this spacious manufactured home set on 5.49 beautiful, serene acres. Whether you're looking for a peaceful primary residence or a getaway close to the water, this property offers the best of Georgia country living. Enjoy quiet, private living while being just a short drive from the charm of Downtown Elberton and Hartwell. Sportsman's Paradise: Unbeatable access to the region's best recreation-minutes away from Lake Hartwell, Lake Russell, and Clarkes Hill Lake. The home features tasteful renovations, making it move-in ready and comfortable. There's also some Large outbuildings to provide ample storage or the perfect setup for a Man Cave, She Shed, or workshop. With over 5 acres to call your own, there is plenty of room to roam, garden, or simply enjoy the view. Don't miss this opportunity for affordable acreage in a fantastic location!

  18. 2026-03-16
    listed $180,000 New 913-char remark
    Show marketing remark (913 chars)

    Experience the perfect blend of privacy and convenience with this spacious manufactured home set on 5.49 beautiful, serene acres. Whether you're looking for a peaceful primary residence or a getaway close to the water, this property offers the best of Georgia country living. Enjoy quiet, private living while being just a short drive from the charm of Downtown Elberton and Hartwell. Sportsman's Paradise: Unbeatable access to the region's best recreation-minutes away from Lake Hartwell, Lake Russell, and Clarkes Hill Lake. The home features tasteful renovations, making it move-in ready and comfortable. There's also some Large outbuildings to provide ample storage or the perfect setup for a Man Cave, She Shed, or workshop. With over 5 acres to call your own, there is plenty of room to roam, garden, or simply enjoy the view. Don't miss this opportunity for affordable acreage in a fantastic location!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$418 · $35/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,472 · $123/mo
Expected delta
+$1,054/yr (+$88/mo · 252.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,890
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$418
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,351
− Management
−$1,351
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$648
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$155
After-tax cash flow
$2,212/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elbert County
NCES district ID
1302010
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$34,498
Composite
21.0/100
National rank
#8458
State rank
#124 of 174 in GA

Livability — Elberton

Score
60/100
State rank
#375
US rank
#19001

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
15,107

Population outlook (Elbert County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,648 people
By 2030
16,675 · -5.5%
By 2040
14,631 · -17.1%
By 2050
12,632 · -28.4%
By 2075
8,704 · -50.7%
By 2100
5,958 · -66.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Elbert

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.4) · D 28.2% · R 71.5%
2008→2024 swing
-25.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -43.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.4 2020: R+36.5 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+18.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.03%
Current HPI
332.46
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $170,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $180,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $418 · +11.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…