16 Lyric Ct · Sicklerville, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.4/30.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 Bedroom 1 Full Bath home in the Lehigh Manor Condo Development. The home is 968 sq ft & is located in Sicklerville. Home has a Living Room, Dining Room and a Kitchen. The 2 bedrooms & the bathroom are on the 2nd floor. Home is being sold "As Is". The owner will not be doing any repairs.
Key facts
- Easy commuter access
- Upgraded kitchen
- Walk-in closets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property assessed values and taxes available but omitted per instructions
- Financial info: Lease is not being considered
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $110 covering common area maintenance, lawn maintenance, and snow removal; HOA amenities include basketball courts and other non-lake recreational areas; One-time other fee of $570
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking space #16 in a parking lot
- Security: Security features not provided
- Utilities: Public water and public sewer; 100 amp electric service; Electric hot water
- Home design: End of row/townhouse; One or more stories (specific count not provided); Entry level details not provided; Facing direction not provided
- Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Year built source: Assessor (year not specified)
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 40.00 x 37.50; Not in a federal flood zone; Above-grade and below-grade structures noted
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the first upper level
- Flooring: Flooring details not provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Living room and dining room; End of row/townhouse layout; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer details not provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.7% in Sicklerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Winslow Township School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #387 of 472 in NJ (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Winslow Township Elementary School Two (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,012 of 1,303 statewide, top 79%, 308 students, 44% FRL); Winslow Township Middle School (math 14% / reading 42%, grade F, #335 of 431 statewide, top 79%, 764 students, 46% FRL); Winslow Township High School (math 10% / reading 36%, grade F, #337 of 399 statewide, top 85%, 1,273 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 335 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $147k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.39%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $200,376
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Lyric Ct | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (0%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $207 | 98 |
| 10 Longbow Ct | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (0%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $191 | 93 |
| 15 Lawrence Ct | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (0%) | 3mo | $189,900 | $196 | 92 |
| 3 Linden Ct | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (0%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $207 | 92 |
| 7 Lennox Ct | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (0%) | 6mo | $212,000 | $219 | 92 |
| 24 Lennox Ct | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (0%) | 6mo | $194,000 | $200 | 90 |
| 23 Lennox Ct | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (0%) | 6mo | $199,500 | $206 | 90 |
| 9 Linden Ct | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (0%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $176 | 90 |
| 18 Langdon Ct | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,034 (+7%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $218 | 78 |
| 9 Lawrence Ct | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,034 (+7%) | 0mo | $234,900 | $227 | 78 |
| 21 Locust Ct | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,034 (+7%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $213 | 78 |
| 13 Lamont Ct | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,034 (+7%) | 4mo | $229,999 | $222 | 74 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-11,807
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $16,861
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08081
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 335
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,111 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$199 /mo · $2,387/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$110
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$443
- Net cashflow
- $283
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $391 | -5% $337 | +0% $283 | +5% $229 | +10% $176 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $116 | -5% $200 | +0% $283 | +5% $366 | +10% $450 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $379 | -0.5pp $331 | base $283 | +0.5pp $234 | +1.0pp $184 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Lawrence Ct Sicklerville, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,850 | $1.91 | 0d | 1 | 0.12mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $110 · $1,320/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-05-22status Pending
-
2026-05-16$190,000 Active
-
2024-04-24soldstatus $147,125
-
2024-04-01soldstatus $147,125 Closed 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
2 Bedroom 1 Full Bath home in the Lehigh Manor Condo Development. The home is 968 sq ft & is located in Sicklerville. Home has a Living Room, Dining Room and a Kitchen. The 2 bedrooms & the bathroom are on the 2nd floor. Home is being sold "As Is". The owner will not be doing any repairs.
-
2024-02-26status Pending 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
2 Bedroom 1 Full Bath home in the Lehigh Manor Condo Development. The home is 968 sq ft & is located in Sicklerville. Home has a Living Room, Dining Room and a Kitchen. The 2 bedrooms & the bathroom are on the 2nd floor. Home is being sold "As Is". The owner will not be doing any repairs.
-
2024-02-12$147,500 Active 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
2 Bedroom 1 Full Bath home in the Lehigh Manor Condo Development. The home is 968 sq ft & is located in Sicklerville. Home has a Living Room, Dining Room and a Kitchen. The 2 bedrooms & the bathroom are on the 2nd floor. Home is being sold "As Is". The owner will not be doing any repairs.
-
2014-12-17historical
-
2014-10-25$51,000
-
2007-10-04soldstatus $62,000
-
2007-09-26soldstatus $62,000
-
2007-09-14historical
-
2007-02-24$62,000
-
2003-06-12soldstatus $28,821
-
2003-01-22historical
-
2002-10-17$28,821
-
1992-08-06soldstatus $36,000
-
1978-07-01soldstatus $26,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,387 · $199/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,559 · $297/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,172/yr (+$98/mo · 49.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,330
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$2,387
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,026
- − Management
- −$2,026
- − HOA
- −$1,320
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable income
- $450
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$108
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,289/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Winslow Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3418060
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,254
- Composite
- 22.65/100
- National rank
- #8057
- State rank
- #387 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Sicklerville
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sicklerville, NJ
- County
- Camden County · 407,624 people
- City population
- 50,264
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,264
- Household income
- $105,800
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 979.0
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 507,964 people
- By 2030
- 502,182 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 485,602 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 465,630 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 419,986 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 369,492 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 34% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -176.48%
- Current HPI
- 303.1017
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+617.0% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-16 Listed $190,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $147,125 Public Records
- 2024-04-01 Sold (MLS) $147,125 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-02-26 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-02-12 Listed $147,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-12-17 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-10-25 Listed $51,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
- 2007-09-26 Sold (MLS) $62,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-09-14 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-02-24 Listed $62,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2003-06-12 Sold (MLS) $28,821 BRIGHT MLS
- 2003-01-22 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-10-17 Listed $28,821 BRIGHT MLS
- 1992-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
- 1978-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $26,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,387 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…