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303 W Lone Oak Rd
C+ Composite 62.64
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.4/30.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$112,999

303 W Lone Oak Rd · Onalaska, TX 77360
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,064 sqft · SingleFamily · 22 Days on market
Built 2023 Good condition 7,801 sqft lot $106/sqft · 25% above area Est $91k · 25% over $8/mo HOA · 1% of rent ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this incredibly well maintained 3 bedroom / 2 bath complete with a beautiful wooden porch and just minutes from the lake! This peaceful and inviting neighborhood will have you wondering how you haven't moved in sooner! Don't miss your chance to see this amazing property in person; schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Wooden porch
  • 7,801 sq ft lot
  • Built 2023

Tags

WOODEN PORCHMINUTES FROM THE LAKE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Canyon Park POA with an annual fee of $96

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; One-story entry with multiple floor levels (rooms on first, second, and third levels)
  • Construction: Built in 2023; Block foundation; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Located in a subdivision

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (11 x 13); Bedroom on the second floor (10 x 13); Bedroom on the third floor (11 x 8.5); Three total bedrooms possible
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Washer hookup and electric dryer hookup; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $113k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $332 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $113k).
  • Recommended offer: $111k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 2.9% in Onalaska — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,055 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
  • Onalaska ISD (rural): math 50% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #213 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Onalaska Jr/Sr High (math 48% / reading 55%, grade D+, #478 of 1,632 statewide, top 29%, 527 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 350 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 769 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $93 of equity ($781 loan paydown + $-688 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Polk County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $111,304 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
9.82%
Cash-on-cash
12.59%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$90,567
List price
$112,999
Delta
24.77%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
431 N Canyon Dr 0.05mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,044 (-2%) 7mo $129,900 $124 82
401 S Canyon Dr Dr 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,064 (0%) 14mo $75,000 $70 71
340 Persimmon Rd 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,109 (+4%) 20mo $200,000 $180 61
169 Popular St 0.53mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,092 (+3%) 12mo $180,000 $165 54
438 N Fm 356 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,080 (+2%) 10mo $135,000 $125 48
327 Pecan 0.40mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,200 (+13%) 14mo $180,000 $150 41
224 James St 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,150 (+8%) 16mo $124,900 $109 41
193 Choctau Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,152 (+8%) 19mo $166,000 $144 40
342 Cherokee Ln 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,216 (+14%) 16mo $95,000 $78 38
320 Lakeview Dr 0.68mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,194 (+12%) 21mo $140,000 $117 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.61% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.1%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$14,673
Equity at exit
$29,414
10-year hold
IRR
15.7%
Equity multiple
2.63×
Total profit
$51,427
Equity at exit
$32,749

Cash invested: $31,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77360

Home prices YoY
-0.4%
Active inventory
350
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,419 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$593
Tax est. 1.5%
$141 /mo · $1,695/yr
Insurance
$47
HOA
$8
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$332

Break-even live

Break-even rent $999
Max offer price $112,999
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $410 -5% $371 +0% $332 +5% $293 +10% $254
Rent -10% $220 -5% $276 +0% $332 +5% $388 +10% $444
Rate -1.0pp $389 -0.5pp $361 base $332 +0.5pp $303 +1.0pp $273

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,250
Closing costs
$3,390
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
132 Broken Arrow Onalaska, TX 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 44d 1 0.64mi
120 Farm to Market Road 356 Unit 4 Onalaska, TX 2.0 1.0 754 $875 $1.16 44d 1 1.05mi
947 Yaupon Cove Dr Onalaska, TX 4.0 2.0 1170 $2,000 $1.71 12d 1 1.33mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$8 · $96/yr

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-16
    status Pending 321-char remark
  2. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 321-char remark
  3. 2026-04-30
    price $112,999 321-char remark
  4. 2026-04-24
    listed $118,000 Active 321-char remark
  5. 2025-07-27
    historical
  6. 2025-07-02
    price $118,900
  7. 2025-06-26
    price $124,500
  8. 2025-06-11
    price $124,900
  9. 2025-06-11
    price $128,000
  10. 2025-05-21
    price $129,000
  11. 2025-05-01
    price $129,500
  12. 2025-04-16
    listed $129,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,027
− Mortgage interest
−$6,330
− Property taxes
−$1,695
− Insurance
−$565
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,362
− Management
−$1,362
− HOA
−$96
− Depreciation
−$3,287
Taxable income
$2,329
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$559
After-tax cash flow
$3,425/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained single-family home with a wooden porch and modern kitchen is ready for immediate occupancy. It offers a good investment opportunity with minor maintenance items to address.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace gutters — Improves water drainage and reduces maintenance costs

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace gutters — Improves water drainage and reduces maintenance costs

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Onalaska ISD
NCES district ID
4833690
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$38,882
Composite
40.91/100
National rank
#3616
State rank
#213 of 826 in TX

Livability — Onalaska

Score
60/100
State rank
#1055
US rank
#18716

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Onalaska, TX
Population (ZIP)
6,130

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
51,049 people
By 2030
53,243 · +4.3%
By 2040
56,528 · +10.7%
By 2050
59,243 · +16.1%
By 2075
63,528 · +24.4%
By 2100
60,376 · +18.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.9) · D 20.2% · R 79.1%
2008→2024 swing
-21.7pp toward R · 2008: -37.2pp · 2024: -58.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.9 2020: R+54.5 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+48.2 2008: R+37.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.61%
Current HPI
150.9486
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2026-05-16 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $112,999 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $118,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-07-27 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-07-02 Price Changed $118,900 HARMLS
  • 2025-06-26 Price Changed $124,500 HARMLS
  • 2025-06-11 Price Changed $124,900 HARMLS
  • 2025-06-11 Price Changed $128,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-05-21 Price Changed $129,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-05-01 Price Changed $129,500 HARMLS
  • 2025-04-16 Listed $129,900 HARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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