93 W College Ave · Johnstown, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
POTENTIAL INVESTMENT IN THE VILLAGE OF JOHNSTOWN. GREAT LOCATION! THISCAN BE SPLIT FOR 2 FAMILY. 1 SIDE IS 1 BDRM AND THE OTHER SIDE IS 2 BDRM. NEWER CARPET, ROOF, VINYL SIDING & WINDOWS.
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 3.8% in Johnstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#186 in OH, #2,873 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Johnstown-Monroe Local (town): math 70% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #85 of 656 in OH (top 13%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 159 units permitted in Licking County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $76k; list at $115k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.12%
- DSCR
- 2.70
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $265,756
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206-208 Edwards Rd | 0.59mi | 4/— (+1) | 1,664 (-1%) | 10mo | $263,000 | $158 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.45×
- Total profit
- $46,584
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 41.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.87×
- Total profit
- $124,737
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43031
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,370 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$199 /mo · $2,385/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$498
- Net cashflow
- $1,023
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 137 S Williams St Johnstown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1312 | $1,100 | $0.84 | 16d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 291 S Main St Johnstown, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1712 | $2,700 | $1.58 | 10d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 291 S Main St Johnstown, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1712 | $2,700 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 304 Gray Fox Ct Johnstown, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1710 | $2,599 | $1.52 | 4d | 1 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2024-12-02status Pending
-
2010-07-27historical
-
2010-07-13$115,000
-
1998-04-09soldstatus $76,500 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (193 chars)
POTENTIAL INVESTMENT IN THE VILLAGE OF JOHNSTOWN. GREAT LOCATION! THISCAN BE SPLIT FOR 2 FAMILY. 1 SIDE IS 1 BDRM AND THE OTHER SIDE IS 2 BDRM. NEWER CARPET, ROOF, VINYL SIDING & WINDOWS.
-
1998-03-03historical 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (193 chars)
POTENTIAL INVESTMENT IN THE VILLAGE OF JOHNSTOWN. GREAT LOCATION! THISCAN BE SPLIT FOR 2 FAMILY. 1 SIDE IS 1 BDRM AND THE OTHER SIDE IS 2 BDRM. NEWER CARPET, ROOF, VINYL SIDING & WINDOWS.
-
1998-01-08$84,900 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (193 chars)
POTENTIAL INVESTMENT IN THE VILLAGE OF JOHNSTOWN. GREAT LOCATION! THISCAN BE SPLIT FOR 2 FAMILY. 1 SIDE IS 1 BDRM AND THE OTHER SIDE IS 2 BDRM. NEWER CARPET, ROOF, VINYL SIDING & WINDOWS.
-
1998-01-06historical
-
1997-11-03$89,900
-
1997-10-29historical
-
1997-09-04$89,921
-
1986-04-24soldstatus $11,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,385 · $199/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,385 · $199/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,445
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$2,385
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,276
- − Management
- −$2,276
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $11,147
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,675
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,600/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Johnstown-Monroe Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904798
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,411
- Composite
- 64.92/100
- National rank
- #510
- State rank
- #85 of 656 in OH
Livability — Johnstown
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #186
- US rank
- #2873
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Johnstown, OH
- County
- Licking County · 109,194 people
- City population
- 13,876
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,876
- Household income
- $110,930
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 216.0
Population outlook (Licking County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 178,210 people
- By 2030
- 180,917 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 183,885 · +3.2%
- By 2050
- 182,985 · +2.7%
- By 2075
- 178,377 · +0.1%
- By 2100
- 161,075 · -9.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Licking
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.5% · R 64.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.2pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -30.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+28.9 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -310.19%
- Current HPI
- 280.5337
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+945.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2024-12-02 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2010-07-27 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2010-07-13 Listed $115,000 CBRMLS
- 1998-04-09 Sold (MLS) $76,500 CBRMLS
- 1998-03-03 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 1998-01-08 Listed $84,900 CBRMLS
- 1998-01-06 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 1997-11-03 Listed $89,900 CBRMLS
- 1997-10-29 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 1997-09-04 Listed $89,921 CBRMLS
- 1986-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,385 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…