408 Crest Dr · Fairfield, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fully Rehabbed and Rented Property!
Key facts
- Spacious backyard
- Convenient carport
- 0.26 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway and off-street parking; One carport space
- Utilities: Public water; Electric water heater; Internet availability unknown
- Home design: Existing property; Siding (other)
- Construction: Basement foundation; Concrete block basement
- Exterior features: No waterfront; No pool; No patio; No garden or deck; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate countertops
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on main level
- Flooring: Hardwood and laminate floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Tri-level: No; Split level: No; Split foyer: No; Ceilings: see remarks; Basement: partial basement with both finished and unfinished areas, concrete block construction; Attic with pull-down access; Living area reported per tax report
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level; Washer hookup; Dryer hookups for electric and gas
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $368 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#160 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, employment F.
- Fairfield City (suburban): math 2% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #125 of 129 in AL (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Glen Oaks Elementary School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #568 of 627 statewide, top 94%, 324 students, 70% FRL).
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.59%
- DSCR
- 1.83
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $173,967
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6828 Cherokee Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,675 (-1%) | 16mo | $108,000 | $64 | 69 |
| 7317 Westmoreland Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,703 (+1%) | 13mo | $175,000 | $103 | 61 |
| 909 Owen Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,732 (+2%) | 1mo | $199,900 | $115 | 59 |
| 7121 Westmoreland Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,647 (-2%) | 20mo | $160,000 | $97 | 54 |
| 209 Fair Oaks Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,558 (-8%) | 16mo | $174,400 | $112 | 51 |
| 621 Beacon Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (+7%) | 10mo | $96,900 | $54 | 44 |
| 521 Fair Oaks Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,442 (-15%) | 19mo | $205,000 | $142 | 42 |
| 719 Owen Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,527 (-10%) | 17mo | $105,000 | $69 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $9,724
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $38,759
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35064
- Home prices YoY
- -28.8%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,213 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,311/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $368
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6629 Grasselli Rd Fairfield, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $1,295 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 6516 Millard Fuller Rd Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $950 | $0.85 | 2d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 733 Glen Ridge Dr Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $1,378 | $1.12 | 1d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 120 Parkwood St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $1,150 | $0.94 | 16d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 800 Fairfax Dr Fairfield, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 1d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 226 3rd Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 222 4th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,050 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 923 Woodward Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1273 | $1,200 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 925 Woodward Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $950 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 502 64th St Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $695 | $0.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 109 59th St Fairfield, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,200 | $0.89 | 11d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 435 62nd St Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1249 | $985 | $0.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 537 Grant St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,200 | $0.83 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 336 McPherson Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1094 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1412 Woodward Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1220 | $1,203 | $0.99 | 16d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 209 58th St Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1468 | $1,200 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5722 Terrace Ave Fairfield, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1548 | $1,495 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1433 Rayfield Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $950 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 373 Belcher Dr Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1255 | $1,100 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 704 61st St Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1184 | $1,050 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 608 5th Ave Midfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1241 | $795 | $0.64 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1441 Creel St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $1,275 | $0.97 | 3d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 408 Midway St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1301 | $1,075 | $0.83 | 19d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 616 Rutledge Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1416 | $1,095 | $0.77 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 801 Rutledge Dr Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1808 | $1,600 | $0.88 | 1d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 328 54th St Unit B Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1570 | $750 | $0.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5503 Myron Massey Blvd Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1119 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 617 8th Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,350 | $0.94 | 1d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 410 54th St Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $700 | $0.66 | 2d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 5709 Court H Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1455 | $1,400 | $0.96 | 1d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1112 S Gale Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1053 | $1,175 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5624 Cairo Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $1,200 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5406 Court G Unit G Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $1,199 | $0.83 | 11d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 605 10th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $850 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 304 52nd St Fairfield, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $1,000 | $0.74 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 63 Wilkes Cir Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $1,200 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 63 Wilkes Cir Unit 1 Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $1,250 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 603 11th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1289 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 80 Wilkes Cir Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1078 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 5219 Court G Unit G Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $950 | $0.83 | 23d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $84,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $84,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $84,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$84,900 Active
-
2022-02-02soldstatus $94,000
-
2019-06-19soldstatus $79,999 35-char remark
Show marketing remark (35 chars)
Fully Rehabbed and Rented Property!
-
2019-06-19$79,999 35-char remark
Show marketing remark (35 chars)
Fully Rehabbed and Rented Property!
-
1981-01-01soldstatus $84,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,311 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,311 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,555
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$1,311
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,164
- − Management
- −$1,164
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $3,265
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$784
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,637/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fairfield City
- NCES district ID
- 0101440
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,288
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9974
- State rank
- #125 of 129 in AL
Livability — Fairfield
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #160
- US rank
- #14390
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fairfield, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 9,872
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,872
- Household income
- $48,692
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 784.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% White 7% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.47%
- Current HPI
- 124.7012
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+0.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $84,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records
- 2019-06-19 Listed $79,999 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2019-06-19 Sold (MLS) $79,999 Greater Alabama MLS
- 1981-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $84,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,311 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…