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400 W Midwest St
D+ Composite 48.76
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,500

400 W Midwest St · Hobbs, NM 88240
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 852 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1950 7,000 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers classic character and is situated on a large corner lot. The property features a small screened-in front porch and a large fenced-in yard, providing plenty of space for pets, gardening, outdoor gatherings or future improvements. Please note that the seller is offering the home in "as-is" condition and will not be making repairs. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to make this house your home.

Key facts

  • Corner lot
  • Fenced-in yard
  • 7,000 sq ft lot

Tags

CORNER LOTSCREENED-IN FRONT PORCHFENCED-IN YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $124k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $26 ($310/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (5.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (5.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#37 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Hobbs Municipal Schools (town): math 17% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #45 of 95 in NM (top 47%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 231 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 172 units permitted in Lea County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $861 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lea County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $122/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $117,492 (5.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.72%
Cash-on-cash
5.10%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.8%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-18,483
Equity at exit
$18,563
10-year hold
IRR
-6.1%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-13,796
Equity at exit
$10,764

Cash invested: $34,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 88240

Active inventory
231
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,175 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$653
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $903/yr
Insurance
$52
Flood insurance flood zone
−$122 /mo · $1,468/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$247
Net cashflow
$26

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,142
Max offer price $124,500
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,125
Closing costs
$3,735
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1122 3 E Broadway St Unit B-103 Hobbs, NM 1.0 1.0 580 $900 $1.55 43d 1 1.19mi
1122 3 E Broadway St Unit B-302 Hobbs, NM 3.0 2.0 976 $1,200 $1.23 43d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    price $124,500 459-char remark
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers classic character and is situated on a large corner lot. The property features a small screened-in front porch and a large fenced-in yard, providing plenty of space for pets, gardening, outdoor gatherings or future improvements. Please note that the seller is offering the home in "as-is" condition and will not be making repairs. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to make this house your home.

  2. 2026-04-20
    listed $127,000 Active 459-char remark
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers classic character and is situated on a large corner lot. The property features a small screened-in front porch and a large fenced-in yard, providing plenty of space for pets, gardening, outdoor gatherings or future improvements. Please note that the seller is offering the home in "as-is" condition and will not be making repairs. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to make this house your home.

  3. 2023-03-08
    soldstatus Closed 333-char remark
    Show marketing remark (333 chars)

    Very cute smaller home. Perfect for starter home or empty nesters. Many updates have been made by seller. Screened in front porch with large back yard all fenced. Front yard is also fenced in. This home sits on 2 lots & is on a corner. Must see to appreciate! Currently occupied so we will need 24 hour notice prior to showing

  4. 2023-02-07
    status Pending 333-char remark
    Show marketing remark (333 chars)

    Very cute smaller home. Perfect for starter home or empty nesters. Many updates have been made by seller. Screened in front porch with large back yard all fenced. Front yard is also fenced in. This home sits on 2 lots & is on a corner. Must see to appreciate! Currently occupied so we will need 24 hour notice prior to showing

  5. 2023-01-30
    listed $102,500 Active 333-char remark
    Show marketing remark (333 chars)

    Very cute smaller home. Perfect for starter home or empty nesters. Many updates have been made by seller. Screened in front porch with large back yard all fenced. Front yard is also fenced in. This home sits on 2 lots & is on a corner. Must see to appreciate! Currently occupied so we will need 24 hour notice prior to showing

  6. 2017-09-08
    soldstatus
  7. 2017-03-29
    listed $84,000
  8. 1996-07-15
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$903 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$996 · $83/mo
Expected delta
+$93/yr (+$8/mo · 10.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AO · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,099
− Mortgage interest
−$6,974
− Property taxes
−$903
− Insurance
−$2,090
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,128
− Management
−$1,128
− Depreciation
−$3,622
Taxable loss
−$1,746
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$419
After-tax cash flow
$729/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hobbs Municipal Schools
NCES district ID
3501260
Math proficiency
17%
Reading proficiency
31%
Median HH income
$52,575
Composite
24.53/100
National rank
#13068
State rank
#45 of 95 in NM

Livability — Hobbs

Score
66/100
State rank
#37
US rank
#11817

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hobbs, NM
County
Lea County · 41,557 people
City population
41,557
Metro
Hobbs, NM
Population (ZIP)
41,557
Household income
$63,270
Rent vs Own
32.9% rent · 67.1% own
Severe rent burden
968.0

Population outlook (Lea County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
84,268 people
By 2030
91,695 · +8.8%
By 2040
108,366 · +28.6%
By 2050
126,264 · +49.8%
By 2075
170,606 · +102.5%
By 2100
199,235 · +136.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 63% Two or more races 32% White 29% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 55%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
57% English-only · Spanish 41% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lea

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.5% · R 80.1% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-17.4pp toward R · 2008: -44.2pp · 2024: -61.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.6 2020: R+59.6 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+49.7 2008: R+44.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -246.71%
Current HPI
100.9905
Rent YoY
Metro
Hobbs, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+48.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $124,500 NMMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $127,000 NMMLS
  • 2023-03-08 Sold (MLS) NMMLS
  • 2023-02-07 Pending NMMLS
  • 2023-01-30 Listed $102,500 NMMLS
  • 2017-09-08 Sold (MLS) NMMLS
  • 2017-03-29 Listed $84,000 NMMLS
  • 1996-07-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+10.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $903 · -1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…