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808 Grand Ave
D+ Composite 46.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

808 Grand Ave · Sturgis, MI 49091
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1949 6,098 sqft lot $133/sqft · 14% below area Est $185k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Life is grand on Grand Avenue!! This picturesque 4 bedroom home is so muich bigger than what meets the eye! The main level showcases a large livig room, formal dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 2 large bedroom. Upstairs you will find 2 additional large and bright bedrooms! The hardwood floors throughout main and upper levels had been professional refinished in recent years, and are truly beautiful! You will find 960 sq feet of space in the basement that awaits your imagination! Windows, roof, furnace and ac have all been replaced between 2012 and 2015, so there should be many worry free years ahead in this home! This home has never been sold, and has been lovingly cared for by the same family since the day it was built! Surrounding neighbors also show pride of ownership, which makes Grand Avenue truly something special. Sit on your front porch of this idylic street, and you can't help but feel like you are home! Schedule your showing today!!

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Built 1949

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Built in 1949
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Approx. 1,200 building area
  • Exterior features: Sidewalk; Paved road access; Yard shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; Replacement windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $23 ($281/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (18.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.0% in Sturgis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#226 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Sturgis Public Schools (town): math 20% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #413 of 540 in MI (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Eastwood School (math 26% / reading 31%, grade F, #915 of 1,397 statewide, top 66%, 665 students, 71% FRL); Sturgis Middle School (math 13% / reading 30%, grade F, #415 of 493 statewide, top 85%, 643 students, 67% FRL); Sturgis High School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #405 of 713 statewide, top 59%, 993 students, 55% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 117 active listings in the ZIP; 125 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Joseph County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $131,120 (18.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.63%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$185,472
List price
$160,000
Delta
-13.73%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
406 Virginia St 0.28mi 4/1.0 1,200 (0%) 6mo $120,000 $100 82
432 E South St 0.24mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,252 (+4%) 5mo $170,000 $136 72
201 Ilene St 0.69mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,160 (-3%) 2mo $170,000 $147 55
69760 Sunnyfield Rd 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,226 (+2%) 8mo $169,900 $139 53
201 Virginia Ave 0.47mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,110 (-8%) 7mo $168,500 $152 53
1411 Sunnyfield Rd 0.52mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,280 (+7%) 8mo $198,000 $155 53
410 Walker St 0.34mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,334 (+11%) 18mo $155,000 $116 46
108 Arden Park Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,140 (-5%) 15mo $166,500 $146 41
306 S Jefferson St 0.67mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,350 (+12%) 3mo $176,000 $130 38
310 Linda Ln 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (+12%) 10mo $265,000 $197 38
303 Williams St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,029 (-14%) 7mo $115,000 $112 31
1305 Lockwood St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,020 (-15%) 23mo $93,000 $91 21

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.3%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-24,475
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
-6.8%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-19,547
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49091

Active inventory
117
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,311 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$107 /mo · $1,281/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$23

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,282
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $114 -5% $69 +0% $23 +5% $-22 +10% $-67
Rent -10% $-80 -5% $-28 +0% $23 +5% $75 +10% $127
Rate -1.0pp $104 -0.5pp $64 base $23 +0.5pp $-18 +1.0pp $-60

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-16
    status Pending 967-char remark
    Show marketing remark (958 chars)

    Life is grand on Grand Avenue!! This picturesque 4 bedroom home is so muich bigger than what meets the eye! The main level showcases a large livig room, formal dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 2 large bedroom. Upstairs you will find 2 additional large and bright bedrooms! The hardwood floors throughout main and upper levels had been professional refinished in recent years, and are truly beautiful! You will find 960 sq feet of space in the basement that awaits your imagination! Windows, roof, furnace and ac have all been replaced between 2012 and 2015, so there should be many worry free years ahead in this home! This home has never been sold, and has been lovingly cared for by the same family since the day it was built! Surrounding neighbors also show pride of ownership, which makes Grand Avenue truly something special. Sit on your front porch of this idylic street, and you can't help but feel like you are home! Schedule your showing today!!

  2. 2026-05-16
    status Pending 958-char remark
    Show marketing remark (958 chars)

    Life is grand on Grand Avenue!! This picturesque 4 bedroom home is so muich bigger than what meets the eye! The main level showcases a large livig room, formal dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 2 large bedroom. Upstairs you will find 2 additional large and bright bedrooms! The hardwood floors throughout main and upper levels had been professional refinished in recent years, and are truly beautiful! You will find 960 sq feet of space in the basement that awaits your imagination! Windows, roof, furnace and ac have all been replaced between 2012 and 2015, so there should be many worry free years ahead in this home! This home has never been sold, and has been lovingly cared for by the same family since the day it was built! Surrounding neighbors also show pride of ownership, which makes Grand Avenue truly something special. Sit on your front porch of this idylic street, and you can't help but feel like you are home! Schedule your showing today!!

  3. 2026-05-16
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (958 chars)

    Life is grand on Grand Avenue!! This picturesque 4 bedroom home is so muich bigger than what meets the eye! The main level showcases a large livig room, formal dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 2 large bedroom. Upstairs you will find 2 additional large and bright bedrooms! The hardwood floors throughout main and upper levels had been professional refinished in recent years, and are truly beautiful! You will find 960 sq feet of space in the basement that awaits your imagination! Windows, roof, furnace and ac have all been replaced between 2012 and 2015, so there should be many worry free years ahead in this home! This home has never been sold, and has been lovingly cared for by the same family since the day it was built! Surrounding neighbors also show pride of ownership, which makes Grand Avenue truly something special. Sit on your front porch of this idylic street, and you can't help but feel like you are home! Schedule your showing today!!

  4. 2026-05-15
    listed $160,000 Active 967-char remark
    Show marketing remark (958 chars)

    Life is grand on Grand Avenue!! This picturesque 4 bedroom home is so muich bigger than what meets the eye! The main level showcases a large livig room, formal dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 2 large bedroom. Upstairs you will find 2 additional large and bright bedrooms! The hardwood floors throughout main and upper levels had been professional refinished in recent years, and are truly beautiful! You will find 960 sq feet of space in the basement that awaits your imagination! Windows, roof, furnace and ac have all been replaced between 2012 and 2015, so there should be many worry free years ahead in this home! This home has never been sold, and has been lovingly cared for by the same family since the day it was built! Surrounding neighbors also show pride of ownership, which makes Grand Avenue truly something special. Sit on your front porch of this idylic street, and you can't help but feel like you are home! Schedule your showing today!!

  5. 2026-05-15
    listed $160,000 Active 958-char remark
    Show marketing remark (958 chars)

    Life is grand on Grand Avenue!! This picturesque 4 bedroom home is so muich bigger than what meets the eye! The main level showcases a large livig room, formal dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 2 large bedroom. Upstairs you will find 2 additional large and bright bedrooms! The hardwood floors throughout main and upper levels had been professional refinished in recent years, and are truly beautiful! You will find 960 sq feet of space in the basement that awaits your imagination! Windows, roof, furnace and ac have all been replaced between 2012 and 2015, so there should be many worry free years ahead in this home! This home has never been sold, and has been lovingly cared for by the same family since the day it was built! Surrounding neighbors also show pride of ownership, which makes Grand Avenue truly something special. Sit on your front porch of this idylic street, and you can't help but feel like you are home! Schedule your showing today!!

  6. 2026-05-15
    listed $160,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (958 chars)

    Life is grand on Grand Avenue!! This picturesque 4 bedroom home is so muich bigger than what meets the eye! The main level showcases a large livig room, formal dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 2 large bedroom. Upstairs you will find 2 additional large and bright bedrooms! The hardwood floors throughout main and upper levels had been professional refinished in recent years, and are truly beautiful! You will find 960 sq feet of space in the basement that awaits your imagination! Windows, roof, furnace and ac have all been replaced between 2012 and 2015, so there should be many worry free years ahead in this home! This home has never been sold, and has been lovingly cared for by the same family since the day it was built! Surrounding neighbors also show pride of ownership, which makes Grand Avenue truly something special. Sit on your front porch of this idylic street, and you can't help but feel like you are home! Schedule your showing today!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,281 · $107/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,872 · $156/mo
Expected delta
+$592/yr (+$49/mo · 46.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,734
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$1,281
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,259
− Management
−$1,259
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$2,481
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$595
After-tax cash flow
$876/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sturgis Public Schools
NCES district ID
2633090
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$40,702
Composite
21.95/100
National rank
#8220
State rank
#413 of 540 in MI

Livability — Sturgis

Score
73/100
State rank
#226
US rank
#5687

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sturgis, MI
Population (ZIP)
19,448

Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
58,726 people
By 2030
57,030 · -2.9%
By 2040
53,266 · -9.3%
By 2050
49,343 · -16.0%
By 2075
40,441 · -31.1%
By 2100
31,981 · -45.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 12% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18%
Common ancestry
Italian 10% Romanian 4% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 16% German/W. Germanic 4%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.2% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+12.3 2008: R+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -121.64%
Current HPI
205.9474
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-16 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-16 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $160,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $160,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $160,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,281 · -16.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…