808 Grand Ave · Sturgis, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Life is grand on Grand Avenue!! This picturesque 4 bedroom home is so muich bigger than what meets the eye! The main level showcases a large livig room, formal dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 2 large bedroom. Upstairs you will find 2 additional large and bright bedrooms! The hardwood floors throughout main and upper levels had been professional refinished in recent years, and are truly beautiful! You will find 960 sq feet of space in the basement that awaits your imagination! Windows, roof, furnace and ac have all been replaced between 2012 and 2015, so there should be many worry free years ahead in this home! This home has never been sold, and has been lovingly cared for by the same family since the day it was built! Surrounding neighbors also show pride of ownership, which makes Grand Avenue truly something special. Sit on your front porch of this idylic street, and you can't help but feel like you are home! Schedule your showing today!!
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Built 1949
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Built in 1949
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Approx. 1,200 building area
- Exterior features: Sidewalk; Paved road access; Yard shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: 7 total rooms; Replacement windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $23 ($281/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (18.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $131k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.0% in Sturgis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#226 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Sturgis Public Schools (town): math 20% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #413 of 540 in MI (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Eastwood School (math 26% / reading 31%, grade F, #915 of 1,397 statewide, top 66%, 665 students, 71% FRL); Sturgis Middle School (math 13% / reading 30%, grade F, #415 of 493 statewide, top 85%, 643 students, 67% FRL); Sturgis High School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #405 of 713 statewide, top 59%, 993 students, 55% FRL).
- Market conditions: 117 active listings in the ZIP; 125 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Joseph County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.63%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $185,472
- List price
- $160,000
- Delta
- -13.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 406 Virginia St | 0.28mi | 4/1.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $100 | 82 |
| 432 E South St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,252 (+4%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $136 | 72 |
| 201 Ilene St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,160 (-3%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $147 | 55 |
| 69760 Sunnyfield Rd | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,226 (+2%) | 8mo | $169,900 | $139 | 53 |
| 201 Virginia Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,110 (-8%) | 7mo | $168,500 | $152 | 53 |
| 1411 Sunnyfield Rd | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,280 (+7%) | 8mo | $198,000 | $155 | 53 |
| 410 Walker St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,334 (+11%) | 18mo | $155,000 | $116 | 46 |
| 108 Arden Park Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,140 (-5%) | 15mo | $166,500 | $146 | 41 |
| 306 S Jefferson St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,350 (+12%) | 3mo | $176,000 | $130 | 38 |
| 310 Linda Ln | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+12%) | 10mo | $265,000 | $197 | 38 |
| 303 Williams St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,029 (-14%) | 7mo | $115,000 | $112 | 31 |
| 1305 Lockwood St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,020 (-15%) | 23mo | $93,000 | $91 | 21 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-24,475
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-19,547
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49091
- Active inventory
- 117
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,311 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$107 /mo · $1,281/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $23
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $114 | -5% $69 | +0% $23 | +5% $-22 | +10% $-67 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-80 | -5% $-28 | +0% $23 | +5% $75 | +10% $127 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $104 | -0.5pp $64 | base $23 | +0.5pp $-18 | +1.0pp $-60 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending 967-char remark
Show marketing remark (958 chars)
Life is grand on Grand Avenue!! This picturesque 4 bedroom home is so muich bigger than what meets the eye! The main level showcases a large livig room, formal dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 2 large bedroom. Upstairs you will find 2 additional large and bright bedrooms! The hardwood floors throughout main and upper levels had been professional refinished in recent years, and are truly beautiful! You will find 960 sq feet of space in the basement that awaits your imagination! Windows, roof, furnace and ac have all been replaced between 2012 and 2015, so there should be many worry free years ahead in this home! This home has never been sold, and has been lovingly cared for by the same family since the day it was built! Surrounding neighbors also show pride of ownership, which makes Grand Avenue truly something special. Sit on your front porch of this idylic street, and you can't help but feel like you are home! Schedule your showing today!!
-
2026-05-16status Pending 958-char remark
Show marketing remark (958 chars)
Life is grand on Grand Avenue!! This picturesque 4 bedroom home is so muich bigger than what meets the eye! The main level showcases a large livig room, formal dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 2 large bedroom. Upstairs you will find 2 additional large and bright bedrooms! The hardwood floors throughout main and upper levels had been professional refinished in recent years, and are truly beautiful! You will find 960 sq feet of space in the basement that awaits your imagination! Windows, roof, furnace and ac have all been replaced between 2012 and 2015, so there should be many worry free years ahead in this home! This home has never been sold, and has been lovingly cared for by the same family since the day it was built! Surrounding neighbors also show pride of ownership, which makes Grand Avenue truly something special. Sit on your front porch of this idylic street, and you can't help but feel like you are home! Schedule your showing today!!
-
2026-05-16status Pending
Show marketing remark (958 chars)
Life is grand on Grand Avenue!! This picturesque 4 bedroom home is so muich bigger than what meets the eye! The main level showcases a large livig room, formal dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 2 large bedroom. Upstairs you will find 2 additional large and bright bedrooms! The hardwood floors throughout main and upper levels had been professional refinished in recent years, and are truly beautiful! You will find 960 sq feet of space in the basement that awaits your imagination! Windows, roof, furnace and ac have all been replaced between 2012 and 2015, so there should be many worry free years ahead in this home! This home has never been sold, and has been lovingly cared for by the same family since the day it was built! Surrounding neighbors also show pride of ownership, which makes Grand Avenue truly something special. Sit on your front porch of this idylic street, and you can't help but feel like you are home! Schedule your showing today!!
-
2026-05-15$160,000 Active 967-char remark
Show marketing remark (958 chars)
Life is grand on Grand Avenue!! This picturesque 4 bedroom home is so muich bigger than what meets the eye! The main level showcases a large livig room, formal dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 2 large bedroom. Upstairs you will find 2 additional large and bright bedrooms! The hardwood floors throughout main and upper levels had been professional refinished in recent years, and are truly beautiful! You will find 960 sq feet of space in the basement that awaits your imagination! Windows, roof, furnace and ac have all been replaced between 2012 and 2015, so there should be many worry free years ahead in this home! This home has never been sold, and has been lovingly cared for by the same family since the day it was built! Surrounding neighbors also show pride of ownership, which makes Grand Avenue truly something special. Sit on your front porch of this idylic street, and you can't help but feel like you are home! Schedule your showing today!!
-
2026-05-15$160,000 Active 958-char remark
Show marketing remark (958 chars)
Life is grand on Grand Avenue!! This picturesque 4 bedroom home is so muich bigger than what meets the eye! The main level showcases a large livig room, formal dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 2 large bedroom. Upstairs you will find 2 additional large and bright bedrooms! The hardwood floors throughout main and upper levels had been professional refinished in recent years, and are truly beautiful! You will find 960 sq feet of space in the basement that awaits your imagination! Windows, roof, furnace and ac have all been replaced between 2012 and 2015, so there should be many worry free years ahead in this home! This home has never been sold, and has been lovingly cared for by the same family since the day it was built! Surrounding neighbors also show pride of ownership, which makes Grand Avenue truly something special. Sit on your front porch of this idylic street, and you can't help but feel like you are home! Schedule your showing today!!
-
2026-05-15$160,000 Active
Show marketing remark (958 chars)
Life is grand on Grand Avenue!! This picturesque 4 bedroom home is so muich bigger than what meets the eye! The main level showcases a large livig room, formal dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 2 large bedroom. Upstairs you will find 2 additional large and bright bedrooms! The hardwood floors throughout main and upper levels had been professional refinished in recent years, and are truly beautiful! You will find 960 sq feet of space in the basement that awaits your imagination! Windows, roof, furnace and ac have all been replaced between 2012 and 2015, so there should be many worry free years ahead in this home! This home has never been sold, and has been lovingly cared for by the same family since the day it was built! Surrounding neighbors also show pride of ownership, which makes Grand Avenue truly something special. Sit on your front porch of this idylic street, and you can't help but feel like you are home! Schedule your showing today!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,281 · $107/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,872 · $156/mo
- Expected delta
- +$592/yr (+$49/mo · 46.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,734
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$1,281
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,259
- − Management
- −$1,259
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable loss
- −$2,481
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$595
- After-tax cash flow
- $876/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sturgis Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2633090
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,702
- Composite
- 21.95/100
- National rank
- #8220
- State rank
- #413 of 540 in MI
Livability — Sturgis
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #226
- US rank
- #5687
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sturgis, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,448
Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 58,726 people
- By 2030
- 57,030 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 53,266 · -9.3%
- By 2050
- 49,343 · -16.0%
- By 2075
- 40,441 · -31.1%
- By 2100
- 31,981 · -45.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 12% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 10% Romanian 4% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 16% German/W. Germanic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.2% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+12.3 2008: R+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -121.64%
- Current HPI
- 205.9474
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-16 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-16 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $160,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $160,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $160,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,281 · -16.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…